Matt Coutney — OGILVIE

Matt Coutney1B Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 230 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION299 act + 199 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .258 / .296

PA199

HR4

K%38

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Angels	—	32	28	5	1	0	1	4	15	0	0	0	179	281	321	603	143	333	47	12	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Angels	—	32	26	6	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	0	231	375	385	760	154	357	34	19	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	512	452	99	13	3	15	41	200	12	0	1	219	301	361	662	142	344	39	8	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	512	435	115	16	5	15	58	153	12	0	1	264	366	428	794	163	365	30	11	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	2 teams	—	501	459	94	20	1	8	30	190	7	2	1	205	264	305	569	100	326	38	6	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	2 teams	—	501	440	111	25	2	9	48	140	7	2	1	252	335	380	714	127	347	28	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	3 teams	—	438	394	73	21	1	12	33	149	8	3	1	185	262	335	597	150	260	34	8	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	3 teams	—	438	377	90	25	1	15	50	112	8	3	1	239	340	430	770	191	298	26	11	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	A+	LAA	—	299	266	47	13	0	4	25	122	6	3	0	177	263	271	533	94	305	41	8	241	43	-19	+1	+0	-5	+8	-1.6
YTD	27	A+	LAA	—	299	252	64	19	0	6	39	87	6	3	0	254	367	401	768	147	362	29	13	347	124	+8	+1	+0	-5	+8	1.2
ROS	27	A+	LAA	0%	199	179	33	8	0	4	15	75	3	2	0	184	258	296	554	112	292	38	8	256	54	-10	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.8
ROS	27	MLB	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						291	0	0	243	44	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	A+	LAA	—	300	267	47	13	0	4	25	122	6	3	0	176	262	270	531	94	303	41	8	241	43	-19	+1	+0	-5	+8	-1.6
TOT	27	A+	LAA	—	498	445	80	21	0	8	40	197	9	5	0	180	261	281	542	101	297	40	8	247	47	-30	+1	+0	-9	+14	-2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	LAA	26%	405	365	70	17	1	8	31	147	6	3	0	192	266	310	576	118	291	36	8	261	58	-19	+1	-1	-7	+11	-1.5
2028	29	MLB	LAA	37%	462	417	81	19	1	9	36	164	6	3	1	194	268	309	577	115	290	35	8	264	60	-21	+0	-1	-8	+13	-1.8
2027	28	MLB	LAA	26%	106	96	18	4	0	2	8	38	1	1	0	188	257	292	549	104	289	36	8	250	49	-6	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.5
2028	29	MLB	LAA	37%	169	152	29	7	0	3	13	60	2	1	0	191	263	296	560	105	288	36	8	252	51	-9	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	276	249	47	11	0	5	21	98	3	2	0	189	260	293	553	104	284	36	8	251	50	-15	+0	-1	-5	+8	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	111	26	0	12	49	231	7	5	0	189	260	295	555	106	284	36	8	251	50	-36	+1	-2	-12	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	2549	2294	455	99	7	57	190	940	42	13	4	198	272	322	594	124	303	37	7	264	61	-114	+1	-2	-46	+72	-9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	116	25	2	15	48	240	11	3	1	198	272	325	597	126	302	37	7	264	61	-29	+0	-1	-12	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Angels	—	32	26	6	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	0	231	375	385	760	154	357	34	19	349	125	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	192	173	47	8	1	3	11	66	6	0	1	272	337	382	718	110	415	34	6	322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	24	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	320	262	68	8	4	12	47	87	6	0	0	260	384	458	842	198	333	27	15	371	142	+15	+0	—	—	+9	2.5
2024	25	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	114	103	20	3	0	1	10	42	0	0	0	194	265	252	518	58	317	37	9	240	42	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	25	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	387	337	91	22	2	8	38	98	7	2	1	270	355	418	773	148	355	25	10	344	122	+9	+0	—	—	+11	2.1
2025	26	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	100	89	16	7	1	1	9	26	1	0	0	180	263	315	577	135	238	26	9	260	57	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	26	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	297	253	66	14	0	14	37	77	6	3	1	261	368	482	850	221	321	26	12	376	146	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.5
2025	26	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	41	35	8	4	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	229	325	343	668	114	296	22	10	300	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	276	6	2	194	266	312	-5	-2	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	13	4	194	266	312	-11.9	-3.6	-2.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Coutney (OGILVIE)	27	40	55	45	50	180/261/281	101	297	8	5	40%	8%	47	-2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA	26	39→41	46→50	48→30	38	197/254/328	131	299	14	4	37%	7%	58	-1.2	242/305/458	216	333	28	5	34%	8%	114	+2.7	259/327/548	289	332	42	0	34%	9%	148	+1.6
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA	27	38→41	46→60	47→40	41	200/253/330	129	263	15	3	30%	6%	58	-1.2	209/257/398	189	267	25	5	31%	6%	79	+0.3	201/249/391	190	248	25	4	31%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Mike Gonzales 2015 · AA	27	43→48	47→50	46→30	41	215/277/350	135	289	14	2	30%	6%	74	-0.1	210/269/316	106	292	10	4	30%	6%	61	-1.0	181/240/252	72	257	7	0	31%	6%	30	-1.4
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→46	43→45	41→45	37	211/259/315	104	313	11	5	35%	6%	56	-1.3	225/281/354	129	331	13	7	34%	6%	76	+0.1	230/289/378	148	332	15	5	33%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA	27	38→40	47→50	44→40	46	199/272/331	132	262	16	4	30%	9%	67	-0.5	194/257/338	144	249	18	4	29%	7%	63	-0.9	175/249/299	124	238	15	1	32%	8%	48	-1.3
✕Luke Tendler 2019 · AA	27	41→42	45	38→40	39	208/258/327	118	279	13	3	30%	6%	59	-1.1	201/252/317	116	275	13	6	31%	6%	54	-1.4	176/228/284	108	235	14	4	31%	6%	33	-2.2
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	40→35	47→50	46→40	41	204/267/335	131	282	15	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/284/358	146	304	15	8	33%	8%	79	+0.3	176/267/354	178	239	19	7	34%	10%	68	-0.1
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	37→46	45→50	46→40	39	190/253/307	117	280	13	6	36%	7%	53	-1.5	205/270/321	116	336	11	7	39%	7%	63	-0.8	161/235/277	116	284	12	0	44%	7%	35	-0.6
✕Viosergy Rosa 2017 · AA	27	41→49	42→45	40→30	44	201/272/305	104	298	10	2	34%	9%	60	-1.0	207/264/349	142	294	16	3	34%	7%	68	-0.5	196/250/356	160	264	20	0	34%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Dariel Gomez 2023 · A	27	34→44	47→50	42→30	34	169/236/300	131	309	15	2	48%	7%	43	-2.2	187/256/299	112	344	11	5	45%	8%	52	-1.6	149/238/229	80	317	7	0	50%	10%	24	-0.7
✕Tim Pahuta 2010 · A	27	41	46→55	42→40	38	212/252/337	125	282	14	5	30%	5%	59	-1.1	211/247/375	164	274	21	5	31%	4%	68	-0.5	203/241/379	177	253	23	3	30%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→43	46→45	45→40	40	207/267/331	124	274	14	5	29%	6%	65	-0.7	215/279/345	130	279	13	8	27%	6%	73	-0.1	178/266/339	160	218	17	6	26%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Rhett Wiseman 2021 · AA	27	37→46	49→50	46→45	36	193/251/337	144	293	17	8	39%	6%	59	-1.1	196/248/313	117	340	12	7	43%	5%	52	-1.6	164/215/273	108	295	12	3	46%	4%	24	-1.8
✕Vince Fernandez 2021 · AA	26	38→37	47→55	48→45	35	183/249/319	136	323	15	7	45%	7%	54	-1.4	199/270/367	168	316	20	6	41%	6%	76	+0.1	178/255/351	173	282	22	4	42%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Carlos Franco 2018 · AAA	26	44→49	45	42→45	40	219/273/337	119	310	14	3	33%	7%	68	-0.5	213/263/344	131	335	16	4	39%	6%	66	-0.6	194/244/317	123	315	16	1	42%	6%	50	-1.4
✕Eric Crozier 2006 · MLB	27	38	46→50	45→40	36	188/244/325	138	305	13	8	41%	7%	53	-1.5	204/261/343	139	334	15	7	41%	7%	66	-0.6	184/260/342	158	267	20	2	37%	9%	64	-0.3
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA	27	39→40	49→55	44→45	39	197/263/344	147	307	17	8	40%	8%	66	-0.6	210/297/317	107	321	10	11	34%	9%	75	-0.0	166/296/234	68	265	9	11	35%	12%	54	-0.3
✕Ricky Oropesa 2016 · AA	26	42→44	49→50	43→30	38	220/264/364	144	295	18	2	32%	5%	72	-0.2	214/265/352	138	299	17	5	33%	6%	69	-0.4	182/237/299	117	253	17	0	35%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Preston Palmeiro 2022 · AAA	27	40→47	48→45	45→40	38	210/247/344	134	266	16	7	28%	5%	59	-1.1	213/269/330	117	271	11	5	24%	7%	65	-0.7	204/268/308	104	259	7	2	23%	7%	56	-0.7