Matt Coutney — OGILVIE

Matt Coutney1B Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 230 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .264 / .300

PA1

HR0

K%36

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	ROK	ACL Angels	—	32	26	6	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	0	231	375	385	760	154	357	34	19	349	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	192	173	47	8	1	3	11	66	6	0	1	272	337	382	718	110	415	34	6	322	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	320	262	68	8	4	12	47	87	6	0	0	260	384	458	842	198	333	27	15	371	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	114	103	20	3	0	1	10	42	0	0	0	194	265	252	518	58	317	37	9	240	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	387	337	91	22	2	8	38	98	7	2	1	270	355	418	773	148	355	25	10	344	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	100	89	16	7	1	1	9	26	1	0	0	180	263	315	577	135	238	26	9	260	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	297	253	66	14	0	14	37	77	6	3	1	261	368	482	850	221	321	26	12	376	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	41	35	8	4	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	229	325	343	668	114	296	22	10	300	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	337	283	71	20	0	7	46	99	6	3	0	251	367	396	763	145	360	29	14	346	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	32	28	5	1	0	1	4	16	0	0	0	179	281	321	603	143	266	50	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	192	177	41	7	1	2	7	85	6	0	1	232	284	316	601	85	403	44	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	320	277	56	6	3	10	32	118	6	0	0	202	298	354	652	152	287	37	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	114	107	16	2	0	1	6	53	0	0	0	150	195	196	391	47	283	46	5	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	387	350	79	18	1	7	26	130	7	2	1	226	292	343	635	117	325	34	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	100	92	15	7	1	1	6	31	1	0	0	163	222	293	516	130	227	31	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	297	264	52	11	0	10	26	102	6	3	1	197	284	352	636	155	274	34	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	41	36	6	3	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	167	250	250	500	83	233	29	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	337	298	54	14	0	5	31	134	6	3	0	181	272	279	550	97	302	40	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	32	28	5	1	0	1	4	16	0	0	0	179	281	321	603	143	364	50	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	32	26	6	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	0	231	375	385	760	154	357	34	19	349	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	512	454	97	13	4	12	39	203	12	0	1	214	293	339	632	126	346	40	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	512	435	115	16	5	15	58	153	12	0	1	264	366	428	794	163	365	30	11	353	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	501	457	95	21	1	7	32	183	7	2	1	208	270	304	574	96	326	37	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	501	440	111	25	2	9	48	140	7	2	1	252	335	380	714	127	347	28	10	320	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	438	392	74	21	1	11	35	145	8	3	1	189	269	332	601	143	265	33	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	438	377	90	25	1	15	50	112	8	3	1	239	340	430	770	191	298	26	11	343	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	337	298	54	14	0	5	31	134	6	3	0	181	272	279	550	97	306	40	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	337	283	71	20	0	7	46	99	6	3	0	251	367	396	763	145	360	29	14	346	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	32	28	5	1	0	1	4	16	0	0	0	179	281	321	603	143	266	50	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	512	456	97	13	4	12	39	203	12	0	1	213	293	338	631	125	331	40	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	501	457	95	21	1	7	32	183	7	2	1	208	270	304	574	96	315	37	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	438	392	74	21	1	11	35	145	8	3	1	189	269	332	601	143	259	33	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	337	297	54	14	0	5	31	134	6	3	0	182	272	279	551	98	302	40	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	501	457	95	21	1	7	32	183	7	2	1	208	270	304	574	96	315	37	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	438	392	74	21	1	11	35	145	8	3	1	189	269	332	601	143	259	33	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	337	297	54	14	0	5	31	134	6	3	0	182	272	279	551	98	302	40	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	380	341	64	16	1	7	31	139	5	3	1	187	265	302	568	115	286	37	8	259	61	-18	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	186	264	300	564	114	283	0	0	257	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAA	22%	258	232	43	11	0	5	21	93	3	1	0	187	265	301	566	113	284	36	8	258	61	-12	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAA	22%	56	50	9	2	0	1	5	20	1	0	0	186	264	299	562	113	281	36	9	257	61	-3	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	50	9	2	0	1	5	20	1	0	0	180	268	280	548	100	276	36	9	257	63	-3	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	105	23	0	12	58	232	12	0	0	181	269	283	552	102	277	36	9	257	63	-30	+0	-4	-12	+14	-3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2328	2085	409	91	6	46	183	865	39	11	3	196	274	312	585	116	305	37	8	261	63	-24	+1	-1	-9	+11	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	114	25	2	13	51	242	11	3	1	196	273	313	586	117	305	37	8	261	63	-30	+1	-2	-12	+14	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Coutney (OGILVIE)	28	40	55	45	50	186/263/300	114	286	5	2	37%	8%	61	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Viosergy Rosa 2018 · AA	28	40→49	45	39→30	43	201/263/319	117	276	13	2	31%	8%	64	-1.3	220/275/355	135	297	15	5	30%	7%	77	-0.3	234/296/403	168	305	18	0	28%	8%	93	+0.2
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→45	42→45	41→45	38	210/258/310	100	304	10	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	220/274/341	121	326	12	7	34%	6%	73	-0.6	218/275/351	133	322	14	5	35%	6%	72	-0.4
✕A.J. Zapp 2006 · AAA	28	45→44	41→45	46→30	39	217/268/317	101	303	8	4	30%	6%	65	-1.2	212/277/331	119	318	12	5	35%	7%	72	-0.7	186/264/303	117	292	12	0	38%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Rhett Wiseman 2021 · AA	27	37→44	49→50	46→45	37	195/254/338	144	289	17	8	38%	6%	65	-1.2	197/247/313	116	324	12	7	41%	5%	57	-1.8	169/215/277	108	284	12	3	43%	4%	34	-1.8
✕Eric Crozier 2007 · MLB	28	41	46→50	46→40	35	198/248/331	133	321	13	8	41%	6%	61	-1.5	204/268/340	136	310	15	6	37%	8%	71	-0.8	180/254/320	140	256	16	2	35%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40	44→45	42	188/257/280	92	287	8	6	35%	8%	53	-2.1	216/270/329	113	305	11	6	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/278/357	129	302	14	2	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Dariel Gomez 2023 · A	27	35→43	48→50	42→30	36	175/245/315	140	313	16	2	47%	8%	57	-1.8	192/262/308	116	343	12	5	43%	8%	62	-1.4	156/244/235	79	314	6	0	47%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Tim Pahuta 2011 · AA	28	38→40	49→55	45→40	37	203/236/344	142	257	17	5	29%	4%	59	-1.6	205/246/353	148	266	18	4	30%	5%	65	-1.2	196/239/346	150	249	19	2	30%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA	27	40→44	47→55	47→40	42	206/260/337	131	267	15	3	28%	6%	68	-1.0	204/251/378	174	262	22	5	31%	5%	74	-0.6	195/241/366	171	246	22	4	31%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Matt Cepicky 2006 · MLB	28	44→43	48→50	40→30	43	223/274/369	146	291	15	5	28%	7%	80	-0.2	211/262/341	130	278	13	4	28%	7%	69	-0.9	198/249/322	124	259	12	2	28%	6%	60	-1.1
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA	26	39	45→50	49→30	38	194/251/320	126	297	13	4	38%	7%	59	-1.6	228/292/403	175	317	21	5	33%	8%	95	+0.9	232/302/445	212	307	28	0	33%	9%	109	+0.6
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA	27	39	48→55	44→45	40	197/263/342	145	301	16	8	38%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/314	104	314	10	11	33%	9%	76	-0.4	164/293/225	62	252	8	11	34%	12%	57	-0.4
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	42→50	46→50	46→40	40	209/265/343	134	294	13	6	32%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/335	129	289	13	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	194/256/315	122	268	13	1	32%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Craig Dedelow 2022 · AA	27	35	47→50	44→45	36	184/239/318	134	278	15	5	39%	6%	55	-1.9	186/258/330	144	325	17	11	45%	8%	65	-1.2	157/239/305	148	280	19	14	48%	8%	51	-2.1
✕Greg Deichmann 2023 · MLB	28	44→49	42→45	49→50	41	209/269/314	105	312	9	13	34%	7%	65	-1.2	209/265/352	143	302	16	16	35%	7%	73	-0.6	192/249/348	157	267	20	18	35%	6%	62	-1.0
✕Mike Gonzales 2015 · AA	27	42→47	46→45	46→30	41	213/275/345	132	285	14	2	30%	6%	75	-0.5	209/268/314	105	285	10	4	29%	6%	65	-1.2	179/239/254	75	246	7	0	29%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→40	42→45	51→50	41	175/259/268	94	291	11	13	41%	9%	53	-2.1	205/294/329	124	325	13	13	37%	10%	79	-0.2	214/314/364	150	322	16	13	35%	11%	91	+0.4
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	40→42	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/333	129	267	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	211/260/333	122	287	14	8	30%	6%	66	-1.1	209/246/322	114	273	15	6	29%	4%	55	-1.4
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	48→45	42	193/264/333	141	287	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	193/257/322	129	289	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Shane Matheny 2024 · AAA	28	42	45	51→50	47	205/290/326	122	308	13	11	36%	10%	77	-0.3	210/287/332	122	313	11	11	34%	9%	76	-0.4	178/257/297	119	272	7	4	35%	8%	55	-0.6