Matt Coutney1B
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 27
L/R
6'1" / 230 lbs
A+
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .262 / .318
PA250
HR6
K%37
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
55→55
SPD
45→45
EYE
46↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-7M | $-20M | -$13M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Angels | 32 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .179 | .281 | .321 | .603 | .143 | .364 | 50 | 12 | .224 | 30 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 512 | 454 | 96 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 204 | 12 | 0 | 1 | .211 | .291 | .339 | .630 | .128 | .340 | 40 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -16 | -0 | +0 | -9 | +15 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | 2 teams | 501 | 459 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 191 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .196 | .256 | .288 | .544 | .092 | .314 | 38 | 6 | .241 | 42 | -33 | +0 | +0 | -9 | +14 | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | 3 teams | 438 | 394 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 151 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .185 | .262 | .332 | .595 | .147 | .262 | 34 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +12 | -1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 57 | 48 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .368 | .354 | .723 | .104 | .440 | 39 | 14 | .314 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 193 | 172 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .203 | .283 | .326 | .608 | .122 | .308 | 37 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | LAA | 250 | 220 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 93 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .302 | .332 | .634 | .118 | .341 | 37 | 10 | .283 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 8% | LAA | 267 | 237 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 84 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .215 | .298 | .346 | .644 | .131 | .296 | 31 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 18% | LAA | 309 | 274 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .212 | .294 | .339 | .634 | .128 | .295 | 31 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 28% | LAA | 336 | 299 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 104 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .214 | .294 | .344 | .639 | .130 | .294 | 31 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 39% | LAA | 340 | 303 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .211 | .291 | .340 | .631 | .129 | .292 | 31 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 53% | LAA | 334 | 297 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 106 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .290 | .330 | .620 | .121 | .291 | 32 | 9 | .280 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 70% | LAA | 312 | 277 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 101 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .202 | .285 | .314 | .599 | .112 | .289 | 32 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 88% | LAA | 273 | 244 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .201 | .280 | .311 | .592 | .111 | .287 | 33 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3847 | 3438 | 703 | 143 | 13 | 84 | 316 | 1321 | 57 | 16 | 4 | .204 | .282 | .327 | .609 | .122 | .301 | 34 | 8 | .272 | 67 | -145 | +2 | -20 | -69 | +109 | -12.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 118 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 53 | 223 | 10 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .281 | .324 | .605 | .120 | .299 | 34 | 8 | .272 | 67 | -24 | +0 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Angels | 32 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .375 | .385 | .760 | .154 | .357 | 34 | 19 | .349 | 125 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 192 | 173 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .272 | .337 | .382 | .718 | .110 | .415 | 34 | 6 | .322 | 105 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 320 | 262 | 68 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 87 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .260 | .384 | .458 | .842 | .198 | .333 | 27 | 15 | .371 | 142 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 114 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .265 | .252 | .518 | .058 | .317 | 37 | 9 | .240 | 42 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 387 | 337 | 91 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .270 | .355 | .418 | .773 | .148 | .355 | 25 | 10 | .344 | 122 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 100 | 89 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .180 | .263 | .315 | .577 | .135 | .238 | 26 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 297 | 253 | 66 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37 | 77 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .261 | .368 | .482 | .850 | .221 | .321 | 26 | 12 | .376 | 146 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 41 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .229 | .325 | .343 | .668 | .114 | .296 | 22 | 10 | .300 | 87 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matt Coutney (OGILVIE) | 27 | 40 | 55 | 45 | 50 | .193/.262/.318 | .125 | .292 | 6 | 2 | 37% | 7% | 60 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mike Costanzo 2011 · AAA |
27 | 44→48 | 45→50 | 48→40 | 40 | .215/.270/.338 | .124 | .309 | 12 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .212/.270/.349 | .137 | .300 | 14 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.267/.342 | .137 | .287 | 15 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA |
27 | 40→43 | 48→60 | 48→40 | 42 | .207/.262/.346 | .139 | .270 | 16 | 3 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.257/.398 | .189 | .266 | 25 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .203/.249/.394 | .191 | .250 | 26 | 4 | 31% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA |
27 | 39→40 | 50→55 | 43→45 | 39 | .199/.266/.355 | .156 | .307 | 18 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .206/.294/.312 | .106 | .319 | 10 | 11 | 35% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .162/.295/.228 | .066 | .258 | 9 | 11 | 36% | 12% | 53 | -0.3 |
|
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA |
27 | 39 | 47→50 | 44→40 | 47 | .203/.277/.337 | .134 | .268 | 16 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .200/.265/.347 | .147 | .255 | 18 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .186/.263/.326 | .140 | .247 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Mike Gonzales 2015 · AA |
27 | 43→49 | 47→50 | 46→30 | 42 | .214/.279/.348 | .134 | .290 | 14 | 3 | 30% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .211/.271/.322 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .179/.240/.260 | .081 | .253 | 8 | 0 | 31% | 6% | 33 | -1.3 |
|
✕Darick Hall 2022 · AAA |
27 | 39→38 | 48→55 | 42→40 | 44 | .203/.278/.351 | .149 | .262 | 16 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .223/.279/.403 | .180 | .271 | 24 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .220/.275/.394 | .174 | .263 | 25 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕KD Kang 2015 · AA |
27 | 45→51 | 48→50 | 47→45 | 41 | .224/.283/.373 | .149 | .319 | 15 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .234/.287/.359 | .125 | .327 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.288/.341 | .111 | .328 | 10 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dariel Gomez 2023 · A |
27 | 36→45 | 48→50 | 42→30 | 34 | .177/.245/.318 | .141 | .323 | 16 | 2 | 48% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .187/.257/.304 | .117 | .348 | 12 | 5 | 46% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .152/.242/.230 | .079 | .323 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 11% | 26 | -0.7 |
|
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA |
27 | 38→48 | 47→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .193/.275/.329 | .136 | .282 | 15 | 7 | 35% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .235/.300/.399 | .164 | .296 | 19 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .244/.311/.426 | .182 | .293 | 22 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 105 | +1.1 |
|
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA |
25 | 37→41 | 48→50 | 47→40 | 41 | .188/.271/.327 | .138 | .287 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .206/.299/.338 | .132 | .309 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.311/.326 | .126 | .298 | 15 | 2 | 34% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA |
27 | 38→47 | 45→50 | 47→40 | 39 | .195/.256/.315 | .120 | .286 | 13 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .205/.270/.325 | .120 | .330 | 12 | 7 | 38% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .168/.241/.293 | .125 | .286 | 13 | 0 | 43% | 7% | 41 | -0.5 |
|
✕Viosergy Rosa 2017 · AA |
27 | 43→49 | 43→45 | 41→30 | 45 | .208/.279/.316 | .108 | .296 | 11 | 2 | 32% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.267/.341 | .133 | .294 | 15 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .202/.256/.351 | .149 | .271 | 19 | 0 | 32% | 7% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
●Rudy Flores 2018 · AAA |
27 | 45→47 | 48→55 | 43→30 | 33 | .220/.263/.359 | .139 | .330 | 16 | 3 | 37% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .242/.298/.413 | .171 | .335 | 22 | 3 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 | .248/.311/.436 | .188 | .329 | 26 | 1 | 31% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jack Larsen 2021 · A |
26 | 41→49 | 46→50 | 47→45 | 41 | .196/.269/.329 | .133 | .316 | 14 | 5 | 40% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .232/.305/.376 | .144 | .322 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .237/.318/.374 | .138 | .320 | 15 | 8 | 28% | 10% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA |
26 | 40→39 | 50→55 | 44→45 | 40 | .208/.265/.364 | .157 | .282 | 18 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .214/.279/.366 | .152 | .276 | 14 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .217/.291/.379 | .162 | .266 | 13 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Alex Burg 2015 · AAA |
27 | 45→42 | 44→50 | 42→40 | 43 | .218/.282/.338 | .119 | .305 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .216/.286/.366 | .150 | .286 | 18 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .202/.275/.362 | .160 | .255 | 20 | 1 | 29% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Mike Gerber 2019 · MLB |
27 | 42→52 | 47→50 | 45 | 38 | .211/.263/.349 | .138 | .307 | 15 | 7 | 35% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .215/.268/.373 | .158 | .318 | 18 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .214/.268/.384 | .170 | .315 | 20 | 5 | 37% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Vince Fernandez 2021 · AA |
26 | 39→38 | 49→55 | 48→45 | 36 | .189/.258/.339 | .149 | .329 | 16 | 7 | 45% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .199/.270/.366 | .167 | .319 | 20 | 6 | 42% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .177/.255/.348 | .171 | .283 | 21 | 4 | 43% | 6% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jim Murphy 2013 · A |
27 | 41→43 | 48→50 | 43→30 | 39 | .207/.269/.350 | .144 | .293 | 15 | 2 | 34% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .216/.276/.355 | .139 | .285 | 15 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .212/.273/.345 | .133 | .271 | 15 | 1 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
●Seth Brown 2019 · AA |
27 | 42→49 | 46→65 | 48→50 | 40 | .209/.262/.337 | .128 | .294 | 14 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .222/.273/.406 | .184 | .299 | 22 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .226/.288/.453 | .228 | .274 | 30 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 102 | +1.5 |