Ronald Bolaños
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131121vR 112
ERA5.10
FIP4.94
K%21.0%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%8.1%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3693.5
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p1013.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
CH-0.9
FB-1.1
SL-1.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 16 | 11 | 69 | 296 | 51 | 34 | 3 | 69% | 4.3 | 12.8% | 13.6% | -0.8% | 1.2% | 4.41 | 4.40 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 16 | 11 | 69 | 296 | 51 | 34 | 3 | 69% | 4.3 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 4.41 | 3.66 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 25 | 23 | 125 | 558 | 118 | 50 | 13 | 92% | 5.0 | 16.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.11 | 5.39 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 25 | 23 | 125 | 558 | 118 | 50 | 13 | 92% | 5.0 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 2.3% | 5.11 | 3.76 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 26 | 150 | 633 | 161 | 65 | 14 | 87% | 5.0 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 4.03 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 26 | 150 | 633 | 161 | 65 | 14 | 87% | 5.0 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 3.96 | 3.47 | +3.4 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 100% | 1.8 | 9.5% | 14.3% | -4.8% | 9.5% | 12.27 | 9.33 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 100% | 1.8 | 9.5% | 14.3% | -4.8% | 9.5% | 12.27 | 11.55 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 15 | 53 | 248 | 54 | 39 | 13 | 83% | 3.0 | 16.9% | 16.0% | 0.9% | 5.9% | 6.58 | 6.94 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 15 | 53 | 248 | 54 | 39 | 13 | 83% | 3.0 | 21.8% | 15.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.58 | 6.44 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 60 | 281 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 11% | 1.7 | 14.9% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.70 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 60 | 281 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 11% | 1.7 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 16 | 15 | 66 | 331 | 48 | 48 | 8 | 94% | 4.1 | 12.8% | 15.2% | -2.5% | 2.5% | 8.63 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 16 | 15 | 66 | 331 | 48 | 48 | 8 | 94% | 4.1 | 14.5% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 8.63 | 5.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 69 | 290 | 61 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 272 | 56 | 35 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 5.07 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 60 | 254 | 51 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 5.16 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 5.07 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 5.16 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 27 | 14 | 105 | 461 | 92 | 59 | 15 | 52% | 3.9 | 19.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.18 | 4.80 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 28 | 200 | 879 | 175 | 113 | 29 | 53% | 3.8 | 19.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.18 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 96 | 527 | 2368 | 389 | 292 | 76 | 67% | 3.7 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 5.04 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 36 | 200 | 899 | 147 | 111 | 29 | 67% | 3.7 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronald Bolaños (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.94 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.17 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 125 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 79 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 78 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 75 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 73 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 73 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 71 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 70 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 70 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 70 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 12.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 3.64 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 30 | -0.42 | 3.64 | 139 | 69 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 69 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 68 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 68 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.94 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .271 | 4.11 | 14.9% | 9.0% | 43 | +0.17 | 3.39 | 382 | 68 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 67 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 67 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 67 |
| Luke Irvine R 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 67 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 67 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 1.21 | 5.11 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |