Ronald Bolaños
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
xFIP5.71
SIERA5.29
K%21.2%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%10.7%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†5050
FB Velo
p3693.5
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p1013.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
CH-0.9
FB-1.1
SL-1.3
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 16 | 11 | 69 | 296 | 51 | 34 | 3 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 1.3% | 4.41 | 4.43 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 25 | 23 | 125 | 558 | 118 | 50 | 13 | 16.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 5.11 | 4.94 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 30 | 26 | 150 | 633 | 161 | 65 | 14 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 4.03 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 12.27 | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 18 | 15 | 53 | 248 | 54 | 39 | 13 | 16.9% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 6.58 | 7.02 | -1.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 36 | 4 | 60 | 281 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 14.9% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 5.70 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 16 | 15 | 66 | 331 | 48 | 48 | 8 | 12.8% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 8.63 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 57 | 35 | 8 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 55 | 33 | 8 | 20.7% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 52 | 32 | 8 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 5.00 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 49 | 30 | 8 | 19.8% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 5.05 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 45 | 29 | 8 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 5.14 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 3.3% | 5.27 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 37 | 27 | 7 | 17.8% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 5.41 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 5.57 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 143 | 96 | 527 | 2368 | 389 | 292 | 72 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 4.94 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 36 | 200 | 899 | 148 | 111 | 27 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 4.94 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronald Bolaños (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.04 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 181 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 85 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 85 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 84 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 83 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 81 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.77 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.74 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | -0.03 | 2.26 | 602 | 81 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 80 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.45 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 162 | 80 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.93 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .237 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.53 | 2.47 | 231 | 79 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 79 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .304 | 6.07 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 78 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.94 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 2.0% | .292 | 3.68 | 15.5% | 6.9% | 16 | -0.26 | 3.68 | 146 | 78 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.70 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 215 | 78 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.89 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 234 | 78 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.23 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.16 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -1.07 | 2.29 | 332 | 78 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.