Ronel Blanco
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 265 lbs
AA
peak 0.8 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10899vR 90
ERA4.22
FIP4.56
K%24.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3293.2
Whiff%
p9032.0%
K%
p6024.1%
xwOBA vs
p840.279
SL+5.7 (31%)
CH+0.9 (13%)
CU (20%)
FB-4.4 (36%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | GCL Astros | 14 | 8 | 51 | 204 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 57% | 3.6 | 19.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 2.13 | 3.21 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | GCL Astros | 14 | 8 | 51 | 204 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 57% | 3.6 | 28.9% | 8.8% | 20.1% | 0.5% | 2.13 | 2.09 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 11 | 88 | 396 | 79 | 47 | 7 | 48% | 3.8 | 14.7% | 14.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.38 | 4.51 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 11 | 88 | 396 | 79 | 47 | 7 | 48% | 3.8 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 3.38 | 3.94 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 71 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 3.65 | 3.91 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 71 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 29.5% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 3.65 | 3.05 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 44 | 198 | 53 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 5.11 | 5.21 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 44 | 198 | 53 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.8% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 3.5% | 5.11 | 4.40 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | 42 | 0 | 45 | 180 | 57 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 4.9% | 3.40 | 4.40 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | 42 | 0 | 45 | 180 | 57 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 7.2% | 24.4% | 3.9% | 3.40 | 3.46 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 65 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 4.06 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 65 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 4.1% | 4.06 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 20 | 125 | 528 | 133 | 65 | 22 | 62% | 3.9 | 23.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 4.02 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 20 | 125 | 528 | 133 | 65 | 22 | 62% | 3.9 | 25.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 4.02 | 4.82 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 30 | 29 | 167 | 676 | 166 | 68 | 22 | 97% | 5.6 | 24.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 2.80 | 3.99 | +2.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 30 | 29 | 167 | 676 | 166 | 68 | 22 | 97% | 5.6 | 24.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 2.80 | 4.04 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 9 | 9 | 48 | 199 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.1% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.10 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 9 | 9 | 48 | 199 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.1% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 4.10 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 5 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 80% | 3.4 | — | — | — | — | 1.06 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | HOU | 10 | 10 | 57 | 242 | 60 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | HOU | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 74 | 307 | 73 | 31 | 9 | — | — | 23.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 3.50 | 3.52 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 6 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 24.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 75 | 0 | 78 | 331 | 85 | 33 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 68 | 0 | 71 | 301 | 75 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 3.9% | 4.70 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 3.9% | 4.70 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 46 | 332 | 1376 | 334 | 145 | 51 | 40% | 2.9 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 3.7% | 3.63 | 4.42 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 28 | 200 | 830 | 201 | 87 | 31 | 41% | 2.9 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 3.7% | 3.63 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 266 | 81 | 693 | 2904 | 659 | 335 | 96 | 30% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 3.44 | 4.45 | +7.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 23 | 200 | 838 | 190 | 97 | 28 | 30% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 3.44 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronel Blanco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 24.6% | 10.5% | 3.3% | — | 4.71 | 25.3% | 15.0% | 150 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Collin McHugh R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 25.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | .259 | 2.10 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 133 | -1.97 | 1.79 | 806 | 63 |
| Josh Zeid R 2024 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 56 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 56 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 56 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 55 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 306 | 55 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.59 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 42 | -0.01 | 2.60 | 283 | 55 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 54 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.99 | 29.2% | 13.2% | 3.1% | .224 | 4.84 | 17.9% | 5.4% | 56 | +0.85 | 3.33 | 556 | 54 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 53 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 52 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 52 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 52 |
| Tom Koehler R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 52 |
| Nick Martinez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .286 | 3.65 | 17.5% | 12.9% | 413 | -0.12 | 2.97 | 1,073 | 52 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 52 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 52 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 52 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 52 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 25.1% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.46 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |