Travis MacGregor

Travis MacGregor P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%17.9%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	9	9	32	131	19	10	1	100%	3.5	9.9%	9.5%	0.3%	1.1%	3.13	4.06	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	9	9	32	131	19	10	1	100%	3.5	14.5%	7.6%	6.9%	0.8%	3.13	3.26	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	12	12	41	209	32	20	3	100%	3.4	10.4%	12.0%	-1.6%	2.0%	7.84	4.84	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	12	12	41	209	32	20	3	100%	3.4	15.3%	9.6%	5.7%	1.4%	7.84	3.95	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	71	302	80	22	8	100%	4.2	20.1%	9.1%	11.0%	2.8%	3.18	4.11	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	71	302	80	22	8	100%	4.2	26.5%	7.3%	19.2%	2.6%	3.18	3.24	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	22	21	91	401	88	41	13	95%	4.1	17.8%	11.2%	6.5%	4.1%	6.25	5.28	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	22	21	91	401	88	41	13	95%	4.1	21.9%	10.2%	11.7%	3.2%	6.25	4.38	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	3	81	374	103	47	10	8%	2.1	23.1%	13.5%	9.6%	2.9%	5.22	4.47	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	3	81	374	103	47	10	8%	2.1	27.5%	12.6%	15.0%	2.7%	5.22	3.90	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	3	78	342	84	31	6	7%	1.8	20.1%	8.9%	11.2%	1.8%	3.82	3.54	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	3	78	342	84	31	6	7%	1.8	20.1%	8.9%	11.2%	1.8%	3.82	3.54	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	3	78	342	84	31	6	7%	1.8	24.6%	9.1%	15.5%	1.8%	3.82	3.14	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	7%	2.0	17.2%	7.4%	9.8%	2.8%	3.61	4.13	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	7%	2.0	17.2%	7.4%	9.8%	2.8%	3.61	4.13	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	7%	2.0	20.7%	8.2%	12.5%	2.3%	3.61	3.65	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.9%	6.5%	1.3%	4.94	3.83	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.9%	6.5%	1.3%	4.94	3.83	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.7%	12.2%	1.3%	4.94	3.30	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	12	2	19	76	19	7	0	17%	1.6	21.5%	6.7%	14.9%	0.0%	0.95	2.13	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	12	2	19	76	19	7	0	17%	1.6	21.5%	6.7%	14.9%	0.0%	0.95	2.13	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	A RAW	NYY	3	1	5	17	3	1	0	33%	1.6	17.6%	5.9%	11.8%	0.0%	0.00	2.35	—
2026	28	A+ RAW	NYY	1	0	1	5	2	2	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%	9.00	4.79	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	NYY	8	1	13	54	14	4	0	12%	1.7	25.9%	7.4%	18.5%	0.0%	0.67	1.85	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	NYY	6	0	6	27	5	3	1	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.2%	6.7%	2.6%	4.82	4.82	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	25	103	24	10	1	—	—	23.2%	9.7%	13.4%	0.7%	1.91	2.80	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYY	63	0	66	280	51	31	8	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.2%	7.0%	2.8%	4.84	4.90	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYY	59	0	62	263	48	30	8	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.3%	6.9%	3.0%	4.94	5.03	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYY	23	0	24	101	18	11	3	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.2%	7.0%	2.8%	4.84	4.90	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYY	32	0	34	144	26	16	4	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.3%	6.9%	3.0%	4.94	5.03	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	46	28	7	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	4.90	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	95	24	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	4.90	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		241	70	545	2417	443	252	61	29%	2.3	18.3%	10.4%	7.9%	2.5%	4.59	4.25	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	26	200	886	163	92	22	29%	2.3	18.3%	10.4%	7.9%	2.5%	4.59	4.25	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Travis MacGregor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	17.9%	11.2%	2.6%	—	4.96	18.2%	7.0%	128	+0.14	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	85
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	81
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	81
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	81
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	79
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	79
Casey Coleman R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	12.6%	11.4%	1.5%	.349	4.14	18.3%	8.9%	146	-0.18	2.95	306	79
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	78
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	78
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	78
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.54	15.4%	4.1%	79	+0.34	4.46	215	78
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	77
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	77
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	77
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	77
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	76
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	76
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	18.1%	11.2%	1.08	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99