Travis MacGregor

Travis MacGregor P Biloxi Shuckers

+0.2 WAR

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2026

ERA4.46

FIP4.46

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.5%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%10.5%

IP62

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	9	9	32	131	19	10	1	9.9%	9.5%	1.1%	3.13	4.06	+0.3
2017	19	ROK	Bristol Pirates	12	12	41	209	32	20	3	10.4%	12.0%	2.0%	7.84	4.84	+0.1
2018	20	A	West Virginia Power	17	17	71	302	80	22	8	20.1%	9.1%	2.7%	3.18	4.06	+0.8
2021	23	AA	Altoona Curve	22	21	91	401	88	41	13	17.8%	11.2%	4.2%	6.25	5.31	-0.1
2022	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	38	3	81	374	103	47	10	23.1%	13.5%	2.9%	5.22	4.44	+0.6
2023	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	43	3	78	342	84	31	6	20.7%	9.7%	1.8%	3.82	3.59	+1.3
2024	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	18.3%	8.7%	2.9%	3.61	4.23	+0.9
2025	27	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	19.4%	12.9%	1.4%	4.94	3.87	+0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	MIL	11	11	62	263	53	29	7	19.9%	10.9%	2.6%	4.63	4.63	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	29	MLB	MIL	11	11	61	258	52	28	7	20.2%	10.8%	2.7%	4.62	4.64	+0.2
2028	30	MLB	MIL	59	—	59	250	50	27	7	20.2%	10.8%	2.8%	4.65	4.68	+0.2
2029	31	MLB	MIL	57	—	57	241	49	26	7	20.1%	10.8%	2.9%	4.69	4.73	+0.1
2030	32	MLB	MIL	55	—	55	231	46	25	7	19.9%	11.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.81	+0.1
2031	33	MLB	MIL	52	—	52	221	43	25	7	19.6%	11.1%	3.0%	4.85	4.91	+0.0
2032	34	MLB	MIL	50	—	50	210	40	24	7	19.3%	11.3%	3.1%	4.95	5.02	-0.0
2033	35	MLB	MIL	47	—	47	198	37	23	6	18.9%	11.6%	3.3%	5.06	5.14	-0.1
2034	36	MLB	MIL	44	—	44	185	34	22	6	18.4%	11.8%	3.4%	5.19	5.27	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			229	68	526	2341	433	254	61	18.5%	10.8%	2.6%	4.72	4.34	+5.7
/ 200 IP	—			87	26	200	890	165	97	23	18.5%	10.8%	2.6%	4.72	4.34	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Travis MacGregor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	19.9%	10.9%	2.6%	—	4.68	20.2%	9.3%	177	+0.05	—	—	—
Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	28	SW	3.72	20.2%	9.8%	2.0%	.333	4.05	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.70	147	91
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	89
Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP	29	SW	3.56	21.4%	11.1%	1.6%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.33	2.83	228	89
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.5%	9.9%	3.3%	.297	3.85	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.93	3.85	102	89
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	20.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.275	6.70	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+1.88	3.88	180	88
Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.72 FIP	30	SW	3.72	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.88	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	88
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	17.6%	11.2%	2.8%	.309	5.45	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.87	3.47	160	87
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	28	SW	4.01	17.2%	8.8%	2.3%	.309	4.10	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.09	3.18	253	86
Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.44 FIP	29	SW	3.44	18.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.348	2.85	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.59	2.85	199	85
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.13 FIP	28	SW	4.13	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.06	4.13	265	85
Bryan Morris R 2026 · 3.49 FIP	28	SW	3.49	17.0%	9.4%	1.1%	.318	4.86	16.7%	5.9%	39	+1.37	3.49	102	85
Murphy Smith R 2026 · 3.51 FIP	28	SW	3.51	19.3%	9.3%	1.6%	.245	4.44	13.6%	6.8%	145	+0.93	3.17	300	85
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.46 FIP	28	SW	3.46	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.94	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.48	3.46	295	84
Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.83 FIP	27	SW	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	84
A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 3.96 FIP	28	SW	3.96	20.1%	8.1%	2.8%	.307	6.39	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.43	2.85	299	84
Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.87	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.43	3.01	260	84
Kevin Jepsen R 2029 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	84
Edwin Jackson R 2029 · 3.75 FIP	31	SW	3.75	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.96	3.75	521	83
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 3.91 FIP	28	SW	3.91	20.2%	7.4%	2.9%	.348	3.55	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.36	2.38	160	83
Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 3.94 FIP	28	SW	3.94	19.2%	10.9%	2.0%	.292	3.68	15.5%	6.9%	16	-0.26	3.68	146	83

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.