Travis MacGregor P Biloxi Shuckers
Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%18.5%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%7.2%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
K: -2.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -2.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -0.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +4.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: -0.05 (69 IP)-0.1WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201618ROKGCL Pirates993213119101100%3.59.9%9.5%0.3%1.1%3.134.06
201618ROKGCL Pirates993213119101100%3.514.5%7.6%6.9%0.8%3.133.26
201719ROKBristol Pirates12124120932203100%3.410.4%12.0%-1.6%2.0%7.844.84
201719ROKBristol Pirates12124120932203100%3.415.3%9.6%5.7%1.4%7.843.95
201820MIX2 levels17177130280228100%4.220.1%9.1%11.0%2.4%3.183.90
201820MIX2 levels17177130280228100%4.226.5%7.3%19.2%2.6%3.183.24
202123AAAltoona Curve22219140188411395%4.117.8%11.2%6.5%4.4%6.255.41
202123AAAltoona Curve22219140188411395%4.121.9%10.2%11.7%3.2%6.254.38
202224MIX2 levels3838137410347108%2.123.1%13.5%9.6%2.8%5.224.39
202224MIX2 levels3838137410347108%2.127.5%12.6%15.0%2.7%5.223.90
202325MIX2 levels43378342843167%1.820.7%9.7%11.0%1.7%3.823.50
202325MIX2 levels43378342843167%1.824.6%9.1%15.5%1.8%3.823.14
202426AAASalt Lake Bees41382352732987%2.018.3%8.7%9.6%3.2%3.614.43
202426AAASalt Lake Bees41382352732987%2.020.7%8.2%12.5%2.3%3.613.65
202527AABiloxi Shuckers47051230552730%1.119.4%12.9%6.5%1.2%4.943.74
202527AABiloxi Shuckers47051230552730%1.123.9%11.7%12.2%1.3%4.943.30
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBMIL66069293543380%1.118.5%11.3%7.2%2.7%4.814.81-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBMIL63066280523280%1.118.7%11.3%7.4%2.8%4.844.89-0.2
202830MLBMIL59062263493080%1.118.7%11.4%7.3%3.1%4.935.03-0.3
202729MLBMIL2002189171030%1.118.7%11.3%7.4%2.8%4.844.89-0.1
202830MLBMIL30032135251540%1.118.7%11.4%7.3%3.1%4.935.03-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career50053222422570%1.118.7%11.4%7.3%3.0%4.894.59-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084416095270%1.118.7%11.4%7.3%3.0%4.894.59+1.9
Career2296852623414332546130%2.318.5%10.8%7.6%2.6%4.724.34+6.5
/ 200 IP8726200890164962330%2.318.5%10.8%7.6%2.6%4.724.34+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Travis MacGregor (OGILVIE) 4.81 18.5%11.3%2.7% 4.96 18.7%7.4%128 +0.15
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 28 SU 4.21 16.6%12.5%1.7%.302 5.16 16.9%5.7%194 +0.95 4.21 265 84
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 82
Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 81
Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 81
Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 79
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 79
Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 79
Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 28 SW 3.90 16.0%7.8%2.1%.298 3.37 23.2%16.5%145 -0.53 2.22 385 77
Jose Pina R 2027 · 5.09 FIP 29 SW 5.09 16.9%9.2%4.1%.231 3.69 13.6%6.9%246 -1.40 3.68 424 77
Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 13.8%10.1%1.7%.302 3.34 117 77
Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 28 SW 4.22 12.6%11.4%1.3%.349 4.18 18.3%8.9%146 -0.04 2.86 306 77
Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 77
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 15.3%12.2%3.2%.347 3.42 173 77
Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP 28 SU 5.11 14.0%11.0%3.3%.250 5.81 16.3%3.1%79 +0.70 4.49 215 77
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 76
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 30 SW 4.28 12.4%6.9%2.5%.288 4.99 11.4%1.3%125 +0.71 3.49 212 76
Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 76
Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 76
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 28 SW 4.72 19.2%8.2%4.0%.311 5.88 16.9%4.6%74 +1.16 3.33 258 76
Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 28 SW 4.00 17.5%9.8%2.1%.313 3.74 21.7%14.1%336 -0.26 3.02 1,507 76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36618.6%11.3%1.104.86
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41