Chris Rodriguez
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.67
FIP5.54
K%16.7%
BB%16.0%
K-BB%0.7%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p4925.1%
K%
p4621.6%
xwOBA vs
p770.286
FB+1.3
CH-0.5
SL-1.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Angels | 7 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 71% | 1.6 | 40.5% | 7.1% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 0.59 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Angels | 7 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 71% | 1.6 | 40.5% | 7.1% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 0.89 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 57 | 257 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 15.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 1.0% | 6.16 | 3.17 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 57 | 257 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 21.8% | 5.4% | 16.3% | 0.8% | 6.16 | 2.33 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 3 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 36.1% | 11.1% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.46 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 3 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 36.1% | 11.1% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.60 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 9 | 50 | 227 | 51 | 26 | 2 | 39% | 2.2 | 22.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 0.4% | 4.14 | 2.80 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 9 | 50 | 227 | 51 | 26 | 2 | 39% | 2.2 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 0.9% | 4.14 | 3.14 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 11.8% | 17.6% | -5.9% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 4.34 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 11.8% | 17.6% | -5.9% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 48 | 216 | 42 | 34 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 14.7% | 18.8% | -4.1% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 5.96 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 48 | 216 | 42 | 34 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 15.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 5.09 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 18 | 8 | 41 | 189 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 44% | 2.3 | 16.3% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 5.71 | 4.58 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 18 | 8 | 41 | 189 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 44% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.71 | 5.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 42 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 16.0% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.67 | 5.54 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.56 | 5.58 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 37 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 15.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.60 | 5.69 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.56 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 15.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.60 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 2 | 79 | 344 | 64 | 47 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 18.6% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 4.86 | 4.26 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 5 | 200 | 866 | 161 | 118 | 15 | 3% | 1.3 | 18.6% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 4.86 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 40 | 220 | 984 | 185 | 117 | 14 | 38% | 2.1 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 4.92 | 3.82 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 36 | 200 | 896 | 168 | 106 | 13 | 38% | 2.1 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 4.92 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.54 | 16.7% | 16.0% | 2.6% | — | 5.63 | 16.7% | 1.2% | 109 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Alex Caldera R 2027 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 77 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 75 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 74 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.42 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | .262 | 5.33 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 70 |
| Jefry Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.06 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 3.4% | .287 | 4.47 | 19.8% | 6.8% | 64 | -0.59 | 3.21 | 578 | 69 |
| Brad Allen R 2025 · 6.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.07 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 149 | 69 |
| Jason García R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.7% | 13.5% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 356 | 69 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.69 | 19.4% | 6.9% | 110 | -0.09 | 4.02 | 748 | 69 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 68 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2023 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 68 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 68 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2024 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 68 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 68 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2025 · 5.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 3.1% | .229 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 189 | 67 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.88 | 12.9% | 13.9% | 2.0% | .375 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.51 | 151 | 67 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.90 | 20.9% | 18.8% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 200 | 67 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 66 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 66 |
| Keyvius Sampson R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.21 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 316 | 66 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.15 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 237 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 16.7% | 15.6% | 1.09 | 5.61 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |