Chris Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Chris Rodriguez P Charlotte Knights

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.59

FIP5.43

K%16.0%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p4925.1%

p4621.6%

xwOBA vs

p770.286

FB+1.3

CH-0.5

SL-1.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	7	5	11	42	17	3	0	71%	1.6	40.5%	7.1%	33.3%	0.0%	1.59	0.59	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	7	5	11	42	17	3	0	71%	1.6	40.5%	7.1%	33.3%	0.0%	1.59	0.89	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	57	257	56	14	2	100%	4.1	15.4%	6.6%	8.8%	1.0%	6.16	3.19	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	14	57	257	56	14	2	100%	4.1	21.8%	5.4%	16.3%	0.8%	6.16	2.33	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	3	3	9	36	13	4	0	100%	3.1	36.1%	11.1%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.46	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	3	3	9	36	13	4	0	100%	3.1	36.1%	11.1%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	9	50	227	51	26	2	39%	2.2	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	0.5%	4.14	2.85	+1.0
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	9	50	227	51	26	2	39%	2.2	22.5%	11.5%	11.0%	0.9%	4.14	3.14	+0.8
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	0	3	17	2	3	0	0%	0.9	11.8%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	13.50	4.34	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	0	3	17	2	3	0	0%	0.9	11.8%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	13.50	4.34	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	0	3	17	2	3	0	0%	0.9	11.8%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	13.50	4.97	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	48	216	42	34	6	3%	1.3	13.8%	16.1%	-2.2%	3.5%	4.84	5.89	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	48	216	42	34	6	3%	1.3	13.8%	16.1%	-2.2%	3.5%	4.84	5.89	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	1	48	216	42	34	6	3%	1.3	19.4%	15.7%	3.7%	2.8%	4.84	5.09	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	18	8	41	189	35	24	6	44%	2.3	15.4%	11.4%	3.9%	2.6%	5.71	4.70	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	18	8	41	189	35	24	6	44%	2.3	15.4%	11.4%	3.9%	2.6%	5.71	4.70	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	18	8	41	189	35	24	6	44%	2.3	18.5%	12.7%	5.8%	3.2%	5.71	5.05	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	2	30	134	29	15	0	13%	2.0	21.6%	11.2%	10.4%	0.0%	3.64	2.66	+0.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CWS	5	0	5	21	3	3	1	0%	1.0	16.0%	14.1%	1.9%	2.8%	5.59	5.43	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	54	0	56	237	38	33	7	0%	1.0	16.2%	13.8%	2.3%	2.9%	5.47	5.47	-0.6
2028	30	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	53	223	36	31	7	0%	1.1	16.0%	13.8%	2.2%	3.1%	5.51	5.59	-0.6
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	20	0	21	89	14	12	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	13.8%	2.3%	2.9%	5.47	5.47	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	CWS	28	0	29	122	20	17	4	0%	1.0	16.0%	13.8%	2.2%	3.1%	5.51	5.59	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	2	79	344	63	44	6	3%	1.3	18.3%	12.8%	5.5%	1.9%	4.80	4.20	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		157	5	200	866	159	111	15	3%	1.3	18.3%	12.8%	5.5%	1.9%	4.80	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		104	40	220	984	181	108	16	38%	2.1	18.4%	10.9%	7.5%	1.7%	4.92	3.84	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	36	200	896	165	98	15	38%	2.1	18.4%	10.9%	7.5%	1.7%	4.92	3.84	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	16.0%	14.1%	2.8%	—	5.53	16.1%	2.3%	109	+0.10	—	—	—
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	80
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	78
Casey Coleman R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	12.6%	11.4%	1.5%	.349	4.14	18.3%	8.9%	146	-0.18	2.95	306	76
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	75
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	73
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	73
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	71
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.54	15.4%	4.1%	79	+0.34	4.46	215	71
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	71
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	70
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	70
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	70
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	70
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	70
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	70
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	69
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	69
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	69
Jefry Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.4%	13.5%	3.4%	.287	4.58	19.8%	6.8%	64	-0.45	3.30	578	69
Hunter Adkins R 2017 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	11.8%	11.3%	2.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	160	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	16.1%	13.9%	1.14	5.52
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39