Michael Bienlien P West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 246 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%22.6%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
K: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.11 (37 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201921MIX3 levels16031144311400%1.915.7%11.3%4.4%0.0%3.823.20
201921MIX3 levels16031144311400%1.921.5%9.7%11.8%0.0%3.822.45
202123MIX2 levels34061269652820%1.818.2%12.1%6.1%1.4%3.863.84
202123MIX2 levels34061269652820%1.824.2%10.4%13.8%0.7%3.862.77
202224MIX2 levels35054248592870%1.517.9%13.2%4.7%3.9%4.195.40
202224MIX2 levels35054248592870%1.523.8%11.3%12.5%2.8%4.194.16
202325MIX2 levels35156255632953%1.619.6%12.7%6.9%2.1%6.274.22
202325MIX2 levels35156255632953%1.624.7%11.4%13.3%2.0%6.273.56
202426MIX3 levels35159246642043%1.720.2%7.9%12.2%1.3%4.303.11
202426MIX3 levels35159246642043%1.726.0%8.1%17.9%1.6%4.302.83
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBDET35037157351440%1.122.6%9.2%13.3%2.8%4.304.30+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBDET34035149341440%1.022.4%9.5%13.0%3.0%4.384.43+0.0
202729MLBDET100114610410%1.122.4%9.5%13.0%3.0%4.384.43+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career100114510410%1.122.4%9.5%13.0%3.0%4.384.05+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084418775190%1.122.4%9.5%13.0%3.0%4.384.05+3.2
Career15522601162216134221%1.718.6%11.5%7.1%1.9%4.544.02+4.2
/ 200 IP1192200895166103171%1.718.6%11.5%7.1%1.9%4.544.02+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Michael Bienlien (OGILVIE) 4.30 22.6%9.2%2.8% 4.43 22.4%13.0%35 +0.13
Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 28 SU 3.87 24.9%8.8%3.2%.276 2.42 21.7%12.6%34 -1.45 2.42 125 89
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP 28 SU 3.36 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.03 20.3%11.3%85 +0.67 3.27 150 85
Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 28 SU 3.49 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.55 20.5%15.1%56 +0.06 2.51 137 84
Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 28 SU 3.46 22.6%9.0%2.1%.327 4.77 20.9%11.8%74 +1.31 2.32 676 84
Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 28 SU 3.46 19.6%7.2%2.0%.359 5.26 12.8%2.8%47 +1.80 3.46 108 84
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 28 SU 4.03 25.0%7.7%3.8%.289 3.03 24.2%17.9%130 -1.00 2.27 426 83
Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 28 SU 3.72 19.6%7.3%2.5%.307 3.62 125 83
Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 20.2%9.8%1.8%.333 4.06 17.7%10.2%75 +0.44 3.62 147 82
Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 28 SU 3.43 25.1%8.7%2.4%.358 4.01 29.4%19.3%16 +0.58 3.17 205 82
Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 28 SU 3.66 22.4%8.6%2.5%.307 3.08 124 82
Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 29 SU 3.56 20.4%9.8%1.7%.283 4.38 18.7%6.1%24 +0.82 3.56 104 82
Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP 28 SU 3.32 24.0%9.5%1.9%.271 2.99 26.0%17.7%215 -0.33 1.51 544 82
Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP 29 SU 3.55 22.1%7.5%2.5%.283 3.52 22.2%13.6%174 -0.03 3.15 272 82
A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 28 SU 4.18 20.1%8.1%3.2%.307 6.22 17.6%10.6%13 +2.04 2.75 299 81
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 81
J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 22.6%8.6%4.4%.350 5.85 20.3%10.0%137 +1.16 4.26 258 81
Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 28 SU 3.83 16.9%7.7%2.1%.288 3.34 17.9%10.1%171 -0.49 2.93 201 81
Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.16 FIP 28 SU 3.16 20.7%8.4%1.3%.300 2.78 28.4%20.7%140 -0.38 1.69 257 81
David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23622.5%9.4%1.134.34
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49