Tres Barrera

C Rochester Red Wings

Age 32 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAAExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	30	AAATB	156	.238/.297/.413	7	0	41	—	.185/.232/.267
2025	30	AATB	113	.163/.306/.207	1	1	17	—	.133/.234/.173
2026	31	AAAWSH	61	.255/.407/.340	1	1	74	—	.235/.339/.314
2027PROJ10% MLB	32	MLBWSH	20	.212/.279/.324	0	0	71	0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	33	MLBWSH	42	.207/.273/.313	1	0	66	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service6.000First FA2028

2027Ext / FA-deal$0.9M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

Whiff%51

Chase%39

Barrel%16

xwOBA16

Avg EV10

Speed10

CompsJesus Alberto Vega (age 32) · David Matranga (age 32) · Robinson Cancel (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .279 / .324

PA20

HR0

K%25

BB%5

BABIP270

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT40

Whiff%

5110.9%

xAVG

100.214

POWER55

Barrel%

163.8

Avg EV

1080.9

EYE30

Chase%

3933.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

1024.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2021

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.9M
Totals		$0.9M		$0.0M	-$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	237	66	18	1	8	23	58	6	1	0	278	357	464	821	186	335	22	9	362	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	288	259	68	14	0	6	22	53	6	3	0	263	334	386	721	124	310	18	8	325	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	48	44	11	2	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	250	283	295	578	45	289	17	2	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	357	89	23	0	8	36	69	5	1	2	249	327	381	708	132	285	17	9	316	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	24	23	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	174	208	174	382		286	38	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	24	3	1	2	12	22	4	0	0	264	374	385	758	121	328	21	11	348	115	+2	+0	+4	+6	+2	1.3
2021	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	201	169	34	5	0	3	24	43	2	0	0	201	306	284	590	83	244	21	12	271	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	53	50	9	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	180	212	200	412	20	265	30	4	187	13	-6	+0	-0	+5	+1	-0.0
2022	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	206	177	45	7	1	7	20	41	3	0	2	254	333	424	757	169	292	20	10	332	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	216	46	7	0	7	26	49	3	1	1	213	306	343	649	130	244	20	11	297	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	156	143	34	4	0	7	9	42	3	0	0	238	297	413	709	175	287	27	6	314	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	113	92	15	1	0	1	17	24	2	1	0	163	306	207	513	43	203	21	15	252	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Toros del Este	—	40	32	4	1	0	1	2	5	3	0	0	125	243	250	493	125	111	12	5	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	61	47	12	1	0	1	12	11	0	1	0	255	407	340	747	85	306	18	20	341	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	160	141	33	4	1	2	14	38	4	0	0	234	321	319	640	85	307	24	9	295	86	-3	+0	+3	+10	+3	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	246	54	12	1	7	14	77	6	1	0	220	278	362	640	142	277	29	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	288	267	58	11	0	5	14	75	6	3	0	217	272	315	586	97	277	26	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	370	79	19	0	6	23	85	5	1	2	214	269	314	582	100	254	21	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	107	93	24	3	1	2	10	22	4	0	0	258	355	376	731	118	328	21	9	338	115	+2	+0	+4	+6	+2	1.3
2021	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	201	178	31	4	0	2	16	53	2	0	0	174	250	230	480	56	219	26	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	53	50	9	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	180	212	200	412	20	265	30	4	187	13	-6	+0	-0	+5	+1	-0.0
2022	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	206	187	42	7	1	5	14	47	3	0	2	225	289	353	642	128	263	23	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	225	39	6	0	5	17	60	3	1	1	173	241	267	507	93	210	24	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	156	146	27	3	0	3	6	48	3	0	0	185	232	267	499	82	257	31	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	113	98	13	1	0	1	11	29	2	1	0	133	234	173	408	41	168	26	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	61	51	12	1	0	1	8	13	0	1	0	235	339	314	653	78	266	21	13	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	246	54	12	1	7	14	77	6	1	0	220	278	362	640	142	287	29	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	237	66	18	1	8	23	58	6	1	0	278	357	464	821	186	335	22	9	362	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	310	67	12	0	6	16	88	7	3	0	216	270	313	583	97	280	26	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	336	303	79	16	0	6	23	61	7	3	0	261	327	373	700	112	307	18	7	315	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	370	79	19	0	6	23	85	5	1	2	214	269	314	582	100	258	21	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	357	89	23	0	8	36	69	5	1	2	249	327	381	708	132	285	17	9	316	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	24	23	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	174	208	174	382		286	38	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	24	23	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	174	208	174	382		286	38	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	308	271	55	7	1	4	26	75	6	0	0	203	287	280	568	77	260	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	308	260	58	8	1	5	36	65	6	0	0	223	330	319	649	96	273	21	12	298	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	237	51	8	1	5	16	63	3	0	2	215	273	321	594	105	271	24	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	259	227	54	8	1	7	22	57	3	0	2	238	309	374	683	137	287	22	8	303	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	225	39	6	0	5	17	60	3	1	1	173	241	267	507	93	212	24	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	216	46	7	0	7	26	49	3	1	1	213	306	343	649	130	244	20	11	297	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	276	48	5	0	5	19	88	8	1	0	174	248	246	494	72	231	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	309	267	53	6	0	9	28	71	8	1	0	199	294	322	616	124	232	23	9	279	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	61	51	12	1	0	1	8	13	0	1	0	235	339	314	653	78	289	21	13	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	61	47	12	1	0	1	12	11	0	1	0	255	407	340	747	85	306	18	20	341	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	246	54	12	1	7	14	77	6	1	0	220	278	362	640	142	277	29	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	310	67	12	0	6	16	88	7	3	0	216	270	313	583	97	277	26	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	372	79	19	0	6	23	85	5	1	2	212	269	312	581	99	254	21	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	308	273	55	7	1	4	26	75	6	0	0	201	287	278	566	77	257	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	238	51	8	1	5	16	63	3	0	2	214	273	319	593	105	263	24	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	223	39	6	0	5	17	60	3	1	1	175	241	269	510	94	210	24	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	279	48	5	0	5	19	88	8	1	0	172	248	244	491	72	220	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	61	53	12	1	0	1	8	13	0	1	0	226	339	302	641	75	266	21	13	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	279	48	5	0	5	19	88	8	1	0	172	248	244	491	72	220	28	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	61	53	12	1	0	1	8	13	0	1	0	226	339	302	641	75	266	21	13	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	32	MLB MLE	WSH	10%	200	181	39	7	1	4	15	52	2	3	1	212	279	325	604	113	270	26	8	273	71	-7	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	32	MLB CTX	WSH	10%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	212	279	324	603	112	270	25	5	272	71	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	155	141	30	5	1	3	11	41	2	1	0	207	273	315	588	107	266	26	7	266	66	-6	+0	-4	+3	+3	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	42	39	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	207	273	313	586	106	266	26	7	266	66	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	202	180	41	5	1	3	17	49	4	0	0	228	308	317	625	89	297	24	8	289	56	-4	+0	+2	+11	+4	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	132	16	3	10	55	158	13	0	0	228	309	318	627	90	297	24	8	289	56	-14	+0	+6	+35	+14	4.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2568	2331	478	82	5	46	166	651	42	12	6	205	270	304	574	99	261	25	6	251	56	-16	+0	-1	+16	+11	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	121	21	1	12	42	165	11	3	2	205	271	305	576	100	261	25	6	251	56	-20	+1	-2	+21	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Glenn Borgmann'72-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,526 PA	2.3	1,526	16	4	229*	328*	338*	+27	+0	4.5	4.4
/162	664	7	2	+11.8	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 4
#3Larry Woodall'20-'29 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	1	16	237*	315*	340*	+27	+0	3.7	4.3
/162	664	0	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Ron Brand'63-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,500 PA	2.3	1,500	3	20	239*	307*	306*	+22	+1	2.2	2.2
/162	664	1	9	+9.8	+0.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.3	222	3	1	228	306	321	+4	+1	0.5	0.5
/162	664	10	2	+11.9	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tres Barrera (OGILVIE)	32	40	55	45	30	210/276/322	112	270	4	3	26%	7%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2014 · AAA	32	43	47→45	48→40	42	220/274/352	132	275	16	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	212/260/304	92	295	9	5	30%	5%	59	-1.7	191/237/262	72	277	6	1	32%	5%	38	-1.0
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	41	46→45	49→50	42	209/273/332	123	275	14	10	29%	6%	72	-0.7	219/299/343	124	297	12	9	28%	9%	84	+0.1	200/298/309	110	273	11	5	28%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Robinson Cancel 2008 · AAA	32	44	44→45	47→50	42	220/261/338	118	263	12	9	22%	5%	68	-1.0	223/263/321	98	256	8	12	16%	5%	63	-1.3	237/283/323	86	279	7	15	17%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2014 · MLB	32	43	46→45	47→50	43	217/275/348	131	274	14	4	26%	6%	76	-0.4	211/252/309	98	275	9	4	26%	4%	57	-1.8	199/229/296	97	264	10	0	29%	3%	42	-1.3
✕Edwin Diaz 2007 · AAA	32	44	47→45	44→40	43	226/279/361	135	267	15	9	22%	5%	80	-0.2	241/278/366	125	275	13	8	17%	4%	80	-0.1	254/278/370	115	283	11	2	14%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Jonathan Aceves 2010 · AAA	32	44	47→50	43→30	42	224/270/360	136	270	15	5	24%	5%	76	-0.4	214/260/338	124	269	14	5	25%	6%	68	-1.0	228/295/332	104	273	11	1	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Paul Hoover 2008 · AAA	32	46	44→45	45	42	225/274/344	119	288	10	6	25%	6%	74	-0.6	213/263/309	96	292	8	4	28%	6%	61	-1.5	202/254/280	78	281	5	1	28%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Mario Lisson 2016 · AAA	32	46→49	46→50	48→55	43	229/286/350	120	286	15	9	25%	6%	80	-0.2	213/281/336	123	284	13	8	28%	8%	75	-0.5	195/272/320	125	261	14	6	29%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Aramis Garcia 2024 · MLB	31	38→42	49→50	47→45	35	203/245/340	137	266	18	7	31%	4%	63	-1.4	186/247/317	131	264	17	7	35%	6%	59	-1.7	165/235/287	122	232	17	5	36%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Mike DiFelice 2002 · MLB	33	43	45→50	45→30	43	217/268/339	122	262	12	5	22%	6%	70	-0.8	228/284/358	130	270	12	5	19%	6%	81	-0.1	214/272/350	136	253	14	1	21%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Dusty Wathan 2007 · AAA	33	44	46→45	45→40	44	222/285/344	123	259	15	5	21%	5%	79	-0.2	229/290/320	91	278	7	8	19%	5%	74	-0.5	237/297/291	53	290	0	6	17%	4%	68	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	38	208/269/350	142	268	18	6	30%	5%	74	-0.5	213/278/331	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	73	-0.6	163/234/229	66	238	8	0	33%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Lorenzo Quintana 2021 · AAA	32	42	52→50	45	38	224/267/387	163	268	20	9	25%	4%	82	-0.0	228/275/367	139	283	15	5	25%	5%	80	-0.2	222/269/358	136	272	15	2	24%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Chris Owings 2024 · MLB	32	36→46	45→50	45→55	42	187/254/308	121	268	13	9	34%	8%	59	-1.7	212/286/336	124	301	14	13	32%	8%	77	-0.3	207/292/315	108	291	13	18	31%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Francisco Cordoba 2016 · AAA	32	46→52	43→45	43→40	42	228/277/330	103	281	12	3	24%	5%	72	-0.7	209/259/293	84	257	8	5	21%	5%	57	-1.8	194/247/293	99	225	12	1	20%	5%	51	-1.3
✕Israel Nunez 2019 · AAA	33	47	45→40	49→40	45	232/278/351	119	271	12	9	20%	6%	76	-0.4	235/277/333	98	279	10	8	19%	4%	72	-0.7	248/274/300	52	290	6	0	16%	1%	60	-0.5
✕Jake Hager 2024 · MLB	31	42→52	43→50	48→50	43	207/263/322	115	273	9	9	27%	7%	65	-1.2	209/259/319	110	305	9	8	33%	6%	62	-1.4	165/202/234	69	270	5	0	40%	4%	17	-1.0
✕Chad Wallach 2024 · MLB	32	38→48	48→50	46→40	43	200/265/336	136	268	17	5	31%	7%	70	-0.9	201/264/329	128	278	15	5	32%	7%	67	-1.1	183/248/298	114	255	14	2	32%	6%	52	-0.9
✕Jeff Mathis 2015 · MLB	32	41→48	44→50	47→45	41	207/260/323	116	283	12	3	31%	6%	63	-1.3	215/266/329	114	290	11	4	28%	6%	67	-1.1	208/255/312	104	282	8	1	28%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	40	45→50	41→30	42	204/259/322	118	253	14	4	25%	6%	63	-1.3	210/262/314	104	261	9	4	22%	5%	63	-1.4	200/250/291	90	248	5	0	21%	5%	52	-0.6

Tres Barrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps