Tyson Miller
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 31
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION166 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.31
FIP4.88
xFIP4.17
SIERA3.57
K%17.9%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%6.8%
IP167
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1089.6
Whiff%
p5826.5%
K%
p5423.0%
xwOBA vs
p730.290
FB+7.8 (51%)
SL+6.3 (44%)
CH+0.5 (2%)
SI (3%)
CU (3%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.70 | +0.1 |
| 2017 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | 28 | 20 | 121 | 519 | 99 | 38 | 10 | 14.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.48 | 4.87 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 23 | 23 | 127 | 516 | 126 | 35 | 12 | 18.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 3.61 | 4.34 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 26 | 26 | 137 | 572 | 123 | 43 | 19 | 17.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.35 | 4.39 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 5.40 | 7.74 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 23 | 10 | 61 | 253 | 65 | 25 | 7 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 3.23 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 33 | 18 | 100 | 454 | 122 | 48 | 15 | 23.9% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 5.20 | 4.63 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 36 | 2 | 59 | 245 | 60 | 21 | 6 | 22.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 3.81 | 3.81 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 62 | 0 | 66 | 251 | 60 | 13 | 7 | 23.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.32 | 3.35 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 31 | 0 | 37 | 183 | 36 | 34 | 3 | 17.3% | 19.5% | 1.4% | 6.27 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 6 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 9 | 7 | 4 | — | — | — | 12.96 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CWS | 30 | 30 | 167 | 704 | 126 | 78 | 19 | 17.9% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.88 | +1.0 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 175 | 749 | 135 | 85 | 23 | 18.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.65 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 28 | 28 | 154 | 651 | 114 | 73 | 20 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 5.07 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 26 | 26 | 142 | 597 | 102 | 68 | 20 | 17.0% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 5.29 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 23 | 129 | 544 | 89 | 64 | 19 | 16.4% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 5.32 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 21 | 116 | 488 | 76 | 59 | 19 | 15.6% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 5.62 | 5.84 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 102 | 432 | 63 | 55 | 18 | 14.5% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 5.97 | 6.21 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 272 | 101 | 728 | 3079 | 594 | 290 | 101 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.21 | 4.47 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 28 | 200 | 846 | 163 | 80 | 28 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.21 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyson Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 17.9% | 11.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.29 | 17.0% | 5.6% | 424 | +0.41 | — | — | — |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 79 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.69 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 5.63 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 74 | +0.94 | 4.69 | 261 | 78 |
| Marco Estrada R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 78 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 78 |
| Nate Long R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 76 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.37 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .283 | 4.35 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 144 | -1.02 | 3.91 | 577 | 75 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.92 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.71 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 142 | +0.79 | 3.92 | 277 | 74 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.13 | 18.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 4.81 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 510 | +0.68 | 3.72 | 918 | 74 |
| Andrew Cashner R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.90 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .307 | 4.44 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 150 | -0.46 | 3.77 | 786 | 74 |
| Jake Peavy R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 73 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .260 | 4.11 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 180 | -0.76 | 2.49 | 433 | 73 |
| Dylan Axelrod R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.43 | 13.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 251 | 72 |
| Kyle Davies R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.72 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 153 | 71 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 71 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.89 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | .276 | 4.56 | 22.2% | 15.0% | 411 | -0.33 | 3.49 | 869 | 70 |
| Tyson Ross R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.11 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .263 | 5.80 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 35 | +1.69 | 2.82 | 449 | 70 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.99 | 13.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 500 | 70 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.99 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.50 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 259 | +0.51 | 3.13 | 942 | 69 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.89 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | .282 | 4.22 | 21.1% | 15.5% | 451 | +0.33 | 3.63 | 885 | 69 |
| Nestor Molina R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.12 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 401 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.