Randy Arozarena
LF Seattle Mariners
Age 32
R/R
5'10" / 185 lbs
MLB
K +7%HR -5%
Svc 5.750 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | MLBSEA | 648 | .219/.334/.388 | 20 | 20 | 109 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLBSEA | 709 | .238/.337/.426 | 27 | 31 | 117 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 31 | MLBSEA | 670 | .281/.383/.484 | 26 | 26 | 148 | 4.7 |
| 2027PROJ | 32 | MLBSEA | 620 | .250/.351/.440 | 23 | 23 | 127 | 2.8 |
| 2028PROJ | 33 | MLBSEA | 590 | .241/.342/.420 | 21 | 14 | 119 | 1.6 |
| 2029PROJ | 34 | MLBSEA | 541 | .229/.330/.396 | 18 | 7 | 109 | 0.6 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 5.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.750First FA2028
2027Arb-3$14M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Whiff%81
Avg EV75
xwOBA71
Barrel%58
Speed42
Form.263/.366/.481 ▲▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .252/.351/.447
CompsTommy Pham (age 32) · Justin Ruggiano (age 32) · Steven Souza Jr. (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 129127vR 121
AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .351 / .440
PA620
HR23
SB23
K%23
BB%10
BABIP297
ISO190
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 51 / POW 56
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1475 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
412
1063
—
wRC+
121
107
◀L
wOBA
347
326
◀L
ISO
213
161
◀◀L
BABIP
288
293
—
K%
23.8%
26.8%
◀L
BB%
9.5%
10.2%
▶R
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 22 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 182 | 150 | 332 | 50 | 118 | 14 | 9 | 163 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 232 | 190 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 289 | 384 | 347 | 731 | 58 | 350 | 15 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 195 | 163 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 252 | 368 | 380 | 748 | 129 | 299 | 17 | 14 | 339 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 295 | 265 | 73 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 275 | 338 | 472 | 810 | 196 | 312 | 18 | 4 | 352 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 292 | 260 | 76 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 61 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 292 | 366 | 558 | 923 | 265 | 335 | 21 | 5 | 400 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 311 | 267 | 62 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 59 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 232 | 330 | 348 | 678 | 116 | 278 | 19 | 9 | 308 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 102 | 91 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 396 | 455 | 681 | 1.137 | 286 | 492 | 25 | 6 | 489 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 63 | 56 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 214 | 302 | 286 | 587 | 71 | 300 | 25 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 23 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 391 | 500 | 891 | 200 | 333 | 17 | 9 | 396 | 158 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 283 | 246 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 48 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 358 | 438 | 593 | 1.031 | 236 | 404 | 17 | 8 | 448 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 116 | 97 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 309 | 422 | 515 | 938 | 206 | 380 | 20 | 11 | 416 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 76 | 64 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 387 | 641 | 1.027 | 359 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 436 | 184 | +8 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 604 | 529 | 145 | 32 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 170 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 274 | 359 | 459 | 818 | 185 | 363 | 28 | 9 | 362 | 128 | +20 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 645 | 586 | 154 | 41 | 3 | 20 | 46 | 156 | 11 | 32 | 12 | 263 | 328 | 445 | 774 | 183 | 325 | 24 | 7 | 342 | 117 | +13 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 654 | 551 | 140 | 19 | 3 | 23 | 80 | 156 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 254 | 367 | 425 | 791 | 171 | 310 | 24 | 12 | 355 | 126 | +20 | +0 | -7 | -7 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 648 | 549 | 120 | 33 | 0 | 20 | 73 | 169 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 219 | 334 | 388 | 722 | 169 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 327 | 109 | +7 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 709 | 613 | 146 | 32 | 1 | 27 | 64 | 191 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 238 | 337 | 426 | 762 | 188 | 297 | 27 | 9 | 340 | 117 | +15 | +4 | -9 | -8 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 670 | 572 | 161 | 34 | 2 | 26 | 68 | 145 | 26 | 26 | 8 | 281 | 383 | 484 | 867 | 203 | 333 | 22 | 10 | 384 | 148 | +38 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +15 | 4.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4029 | 3484 | 890 | 194 | 12 | 144 | 395 | 1013 | 124 | 157 | 57 | 255 | 352 | 442 | 794 | 187 | 317 | 25 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +121 | +9 | -32 | -41 | +87 | 14.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 22 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 136 | 143 | 279 | 48 | 115 | 14 | 5 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 195 | 171 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 316 | 327 | 644 | 99 | 278 | 22 | 10 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 295 | 268 | 66 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 75 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 246 | 303 | 429 | 733 | 183 | 297 | 25 | 3 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 311 | 274 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 78 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 212 | 294 | 307 | 601 | 95 | 274 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 102 | 93 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 344 | 396 | 548 | 944 | 204 | 459 | 29 | 4 | 394 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 23 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 391 | 500 | 891 | 200 | 333 | 17 | 9 | 402 | 158 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 283 | 253 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 63 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 296 | 367 | 490 | 857 | 194 | 353 | 22 | 6 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 116 | 102 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 265 | 353 | 422 | 775 | 157 | 341 | 25 | 7 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 76 | 64 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 387 | 641 | 1.027 | 359 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 440 | 184 | +8 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 604 | 533 | 145 | 33 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 170 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 352 | 463 | 816 | 191 | 363 | 28 | 9 | 357 | 128 | +20 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 645 | 588 | 154 | 42 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 156 | 11 | 32 | 12 | 262 | 325 | 451 | 776 | 189 | 325 | 24 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +13 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 654 | 552 | 139 | 19 | 3 | 24 | 79 | 156 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 252 | 364 | 428 | 791 | 176 | 310 | 24 | 12 | 354 | 126 | +20 | +0 | -7 | -7 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 648 | 549 | 122 | 34 | 0 | 21 | 73 | 169 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 222 | 337 | 399 | 736 | 177 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 330 | 109 | +7 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 709 | 615 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 28 | 62 | 191 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 241 | 337 | 434 | 771 | 193 | 297 | 27 | 9 | 342 | 117 | +15 | +4 | -9 | -8 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 31 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 670 | 573 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 67 | 145 | 26 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 384 | 494 | 878 | 209 | 333 | 22 | 10 | 387 | 148 | +38 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +15 | 4.7 |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 254 | 211 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 109 | 220 | 161 | 381 | 52 | 133 | 15 | 6 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 254 | 210 | 57 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 271 | 365 | 329 | 694 | 57 | 328 | 15 | 7 | 308 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 782 | 698 | 167 | 47 | 5 | 16 | 46 | 186 | 29 | 25 | 14 | 239 | 313 | 390 | 703 | 150 | 301 | 24 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 782 | 688 | 190 | 57 | 5 | 25 | 56 | 148 | 29 | 25 | 14 | 276 | 356 | 483 | 838 | 206 | 317 | 19 | 7 | 367 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 476 | 424 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 125 | 17 | 29 | 8 | 245 | 319 | 368 | 687 | 123 | 323 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 476 | 414 | 110 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 39 | 100 | 17 | 29 | 8 | 266 | 353 | 413 | 766 | 147 | 322 | 21 | 8 | 342 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 422 | 375 | 107 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 95 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 285 | 362 | 464 | 826 | 179 | 349 | 23 | 6 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 422 | 363 | 124 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 39 | 75 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 342 | 431 | 567 | 998 | 226 | 394 | 18 | 9 | 436 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 76 | 64 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 387 | 641 | 1.027 | 359 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 440 | 184 | +8 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 76 | 64 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 387 | 641 | 1.027 | 359 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 436 | 184 | +8 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 604 | 533 | 145 | 33 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 170 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 352 | 463 | 816 | 191 | 357 | 28 | 9 | 357 | 128 | +20 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 604 | 529 | 145 | 32 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 170 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 274 | 359 | 459 | 818 | 185 | 363 | 28 | 9 | 362 | 128 | +20 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 645 | 588 | 154 | 42 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 156 | 11 | 32 | 12 | 262 | 325 | 451 | 776 | 189 | 322 | 24 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +13 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 645 | 586 | 154 | 41 | 3 | 20 | 46 | 156 | 11 | 32 | 12 | 263 | 328 | 445 | 774 | 183 | 325 | 24 | 7 | 342 | 117 | +13 | +2 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 654 | 552 | 139 | 19 | 3 | 24 | 79 | 156 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 252 | 364 | 428 | 791 | 176 | 305 | 24 | 12 | 354 | 126 | +20 | +0 | -7 | -7 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 654 | 551 | 140 | 19 | 3 | 23 | 80 | 156 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 254 | 367 | 425 | 791 | 171 | 310 | 24 | 12 | 355 | 126 | +20 | +0 | -7 | -7 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 648 | 549 | 122 | 34 | 0 | 21 | 73 | 169 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 222 | 337 | 399 | 736 | 177 | 278 | 26 | 11 | 330 | 109 | +7 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 648 | 549 | 120 | 33 | 0 | 20 | 73 | 169 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 219 | 334 | 388 | 722 | 169 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 327 | 109 | +7 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 709 | 615 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 28 | 62 | 191 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 241 | 337 | 434 | 771 | 193 | 299 | 27 | 9 | 342 | 117 | +15 | +4 | -9 | -8 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 709 | 613 | 146 | 32 | 1 | 27 | 64 | 191 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 238 | 337 | 426 | 762 | 188 | 297 | 27 | 9 | 340 | 117 | +15 | +4 | -9 | -8 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 31 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 670 | 573 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 67 | 145 | 26 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 384 | 494 | 878 | 209 | 336 | 22 | 10 | 387 | 148 | +38 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +15 | 4.7 |
| 2026 | 31 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 670 | 572 | 161 | 34 | 2 | 26 | 68 | 145 | 26 | 26 | 8 | 281 | 383 | 484 | 867 | 203 | 333 | 22 | 10 | 384 | 148 | +38 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +15 | 4.7 |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 254 | 222 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 104 | 220 | 153 | 373 | 50 | 115 | 15 | 6 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 782 | 701 | 167 | 47 | 5 | 16 | 46 | 186 | 29 | 25 | 14 | 238 | 313 | 388 | 701 | 150 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 476 | 427 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 125 | 17 | 29 | 8 | 244 | 319 | 365 | 684 | 122 | 320 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 422 | 374 | 107 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 95 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 286 | 362 | 465 | 827 | 179 | 349 | 23 | 6 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 76 | 65 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 277 | 387 | 631 | 1.017 | 354 | 306 | 29 | 8 | 440 | 184 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 604 | 533 | 145 | 33 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 170 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 352 | 463 | 816 | 191 | 363 | 28 | 9 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 645 | 585 | 154 | 42 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 156 | 11 | 32 | 12 | 263 | 325 | 453 | 778 | 190 | 325 | 24 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 654 | 552 | 139 | 19 | 3 | 24 | 79 | 156 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 252 | 364 | 428 | 791 | 176 | 310 | 24 | 12 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 648 | 548 | 122 | 34 | 0 | 21 | 73 | 169 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 223 | 337 | 400 | 737 | 177 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 709 | 614 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 28 | 62 | 191 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 241 | 337 | 435 | 772 | 194 | 297 | 27 | 9 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 670 | 572 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 67 | 145 | 26 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 384 | 495 | 879 | 210 | 333 | 22 | 10 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 29 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 648 | 548 | 122 | 34 | 0 | 21 | 73 | 169 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 223 | 337 | 400 | 737 | 177 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 709 | 614 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 28 | 62 | 191 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 241 | 337 | 435 | 772 | 194 | 297 | 27 | 9 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 670 | 572 | 163 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 67 | 145 | 26 | 26 | 8 | 285 | 384 | 495 | 879 | 210 | 333 | 22 | 10 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB MLE | SEA | 100% | 620 | 531 | 134 | 28 | 2 | 24 | 61 | 144 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 354 | 447 | 801 | 195 | 299 | 23 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +20 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 2.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB CTX | SEA | 100% | 620 | 531 | 133 | 28 | 2 | 23 | 61 | 144 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 250 | 351 | 440 | 791 | 190 | 297 | 23 | 10 | 352 | 127 | +20 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 2.8 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 33 | MLB MLE | SEA | 100% | 590 | 507 | 123 | 25 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 141 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 243 | 344 | 427 | 771 | 183 | 291 | 24 | 10 | 344 | 119 | +13 | +1 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB MLE | SEA | 100% | 541 | 466 | 108 | 21 | 1 | 19 | 51 | 133 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 232 | 332 | 402 | 735 | 171 | 280 | 25 | 9 | 330 | 109 | +6 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB MLE | SEA | 100% | 484 | 419 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 123 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 319 | 376 | 695 | 156 | 269 | 25 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -1 | -0 | -6 | -5 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB CTX | SEA | 100% | 590 | 507 | 122 | 25 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 141 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 241 | 342 | 420 | 762 | 179 | 288 | 24 | 10 | 341 | 119 | +13 | +1 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB CTX | SEA | 100% | 541 | 466 | 107 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 133 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 229 | 330 | 396 | 726 | 167 | 278 | 25 | 9 | 327 | 109 | +6 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB CTX | SEA | 100% | 484 | 419 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 123 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 217 | 317 | 370 | 687 | 153 | 266 | 25 | 9 | 311 | 99 | -1 | -0 | -6 | -5 | +10 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5644 | 4876 | 1210 | 257 | 15 | 198 | 548 | 1410 | 181 | 180 | 66 | 248 | 346 | 429 | 775 | 181 | 306 | 25 | 10 | 346 | 113 | +140 | +10 | -50 | -59 | +122 | 16.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 562 | 140 | 30 | 2 | 23 | 63 | 162 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 249 | 347 | 432 | 780 | 183 | 307 | 25 | 10 | 346 | 113 | +16 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8175 | 7105 | 1747 | 391 | 25 | 269 | 715 | 1995 | 281 | 290 | 116 | 246 | 339 | 422 | 760 | 176 | 302 | 24 | 9 | 335 | 113 | +160 | +12 | -51 | -65 | +136 | 19.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 138 | 31 | 2 | 21 | 57 | 159 | 22 | 23 | 9 | 244 | 337 | 418 | 755 | 173 | 301 | 24 | 9 | 335 | 113 | +17 | +1 | -5 | -7 | +14 | 2.0 | |