Randy Arozarena

LF Seattle Mariners
Age 32 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 5.750 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202429MLBSEA648.219/.334/.38820201090.6
202530MLBSEA709.238/.337/.42627311171.8
202631MLBSEA670.281/.383/.48426261484.7
2027PROJ32MLBSEA620.250/.351/.44023231272.8
2028PROJ33MLBSEA590.241/.342/.42021141191.6
2029PROJ34MLBSEA541.229/.330/.3961871090.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.1  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 5.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.750First FA2028
2027Arb-3$14M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Whiff%81
Avg EV75
xwOBA71
Barrel%58
Speed42
Form.263/.366/.481 ▲▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .252/.351/.447
CompsTommy Pham (age 32) · Justin Ruggiano (age 32) · Steven Souza Jr. (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 129127vR 121
AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .351 / .440
PA620
HR23
SB23
K%23
BB%10
BABIP297
ISO190
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +19.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+20BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -6.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +13.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +2.90+2.9WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
2.91.60.6-0.2272830
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 51 / POW 56
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT51
Whiff%
817.8%
xAVG
270.233
POWER56
Barrel%
589.4
Avg EV
7590.8
Bat Spd
3369.5
EYE55
Chase%
9018.7%
SPEED55
Sprint
4227.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▲21% over 76 PA (45d) · proj 23%
BB%11%▲11% over 134 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.218▲.250 over 112 AB (60d) · proj .195
HR/BB6.6%·7.3% over 82 BBE (60d) · proj 6.1%
BABIP.306▲.382 over 76 BIP (60d) · proj .299
SLASH.263/.366/.481▲▲proj .252/.351/.447
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1475 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
412
1063
—
wRC+
121
107
◀L
wOBA
347
326
◀L
ISO
213
161
◀◀L
BABIP
288
293
—
K%
23.8%
26.8%
◀L
BB%
9.5%
10.2%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2019
Service   5.750 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$14M+2.9$26M+$11M
Totals $14M $26M +$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201621 AAAToros de Tijuana — 2220 2100 230 00 100182150332 50118 149 163 -20 — — — — — —
201621 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 232190 55720 153414 1610 289384347731 58350 156 322 104 — — — — — —
201722 AASpringfield Cardinals — 195163 411013 27343 83 252368380748 129299 1714 339 76 — — — — — —
201722 A+Palm Beach Cardinals — 295265 732238 135312 104 275338472810 196312 184 352 98 — — — — — —
201722 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 292260 7625114 166114 77 292366558923 265335 215 400 157 — — — — — —
201823 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 311267 621605 285911 175 232330348678 116278 199 308 72 — — — — — —
201823 AASpringfield Cardinals — 10291 36507 6254 93 3964556811.137 286492 256 489 153 — — — — — —
201823 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 6356 12400 5162 30 214302286587 71300 258 275 72 — — — — — —
201924 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 2320 6101 241 21 300391500891 200333 179 396 158 +2 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.4
201924 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 283246 8818212 244811 97 3584385931.031 236404 178 448 135 — — — — — —
201924 AASpringfield Cardinals — 11697 30723 13236 85 309422515938 206380 2011 416 116 — — — — — —
202025 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 7664 18207 6225 40 2813876411.027 359306 298 436 184 +8 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.8
202126 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 604529 14532320 5617014 2010 274359459818 185363 289 362 128 +20 +0 -1 -6 +13 2.7
202227 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 645586 15441320 4615611 3212 263328445774 183325 247 342 117 +13 +2 -5 -7 +14 1.7
202328 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 654551 14019323 8015618 2210 254367425791 171310 2412 355 126 +20 +0 -7 -7 +14 2.1
202429 MLBSeattle Mariners — 648549 12033020 7316922 2010 219334388722 169275 2611 327 109 +7 +0 -8 -7 +14 0.6
202530 MLBSeattle Mariners — 709613 14632127 6419127 316 238337426762 188297 279 340 117 +15 +4 -9 -8 +15 1.8
202631 MLBSeattle Mariners — 670572 16134226 6814526 268 281383484867 203333 2210 384 148 +38 +2 -1 -7 +15 4.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 40293484 89019412144 3951013124 15757 255352442794 187317 2510 353 125 +121 +9 -32 -41 +87 14.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201621 AAA MLEToros de Tijuana — 2221 2100 130 00 95136143279 48115 145 138 -20 — — — — — —
201722 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 195171 39912 19423 83 228316327644 99278 2210 281 76 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 295268 662128 107512 104 246303429733 183297 253 313 98 — — — — — —
201823 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 311274 581404 217811 175 212294307601 95274 257 274 72 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 10293 32405 4304 93 344396548944 204459 294 394 153 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 2320 6101 241 21 300391500891 200333 179 402 158 +2 +0 +0 +2 +0 0.4
201924 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 283253 7515210 176311 97 296367490857 194353 226 368 135 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 116102 27622 8296 85 265353422775 157341 257 339 116 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 7664 18207 6225 40 2813876411.027 359306 298 440 184 +8 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.8
202126 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 604533 14533321 5217014 2010 272352463816 191363 289 357 128 +20 +0 -1 -6 +13 2.7
202227 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 645588 15442321 4415611 3212 262325451776 189325 247 341 117 +13 +2 -5 -7 +14 1.7
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 654552 13919324 7915618 2210 252364428791 176310 2412 354 126 +20 +0 -7 -7 +14 2.1
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 648549 12234021 7316922 2010 222337399736 177275 2611 330 109 +7 +0 -8 -7 +14 0.6
202530 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 709615 14833128 6219127 316 241337434771 193297 279 342 117 +15 +4 -9 -8 +15 1.8
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 670573 16335227 6714526 268 284384494878 209333 2210 387 148 +38 +2 -1 -7 +15 4.7
201621 INTL MLE2 teams — 254211 231100 163914 1610 109220161381 52133 156 138 -20 — — — — — —
201621 INTL RAW2 teams — 254210 57820 173714 1610 271365329694 57328 157 308 -20 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLE3 teams — 782698 16747516 4618629 2514 239313390703 150301 246 300 89 — — — — — —
201722 A+ RAW3 teams — 782688 19057525 5614829 2514 276356483838 206317 197 367 89 — — — — — —
201823 AAA MLE3 teams — 476424 10422010 2912517 298 245319368687 123323 266 304 92 — — — — — —
201823 AAA RAW3 teams — 476414 11025012 3910017 298 266353413766 147322 218 342 92 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE3 teams — 422375 10722313 279518 1913 285362464826 179349 236 362 131 — — — — — —
201924 AAA RAW3 teams — 422363 12426416 397518 1913 342431567998 226394 189 436 131 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 7664 18207 6225 40 2813876411.027 359306 298 440 184 +8 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.8
202025 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 7664 18207 6225 40 2813876411.027 359306 298 436 184 +8 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.8
202126 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 604533 14533321 5217014 2010 272352463816 191357 289 357 128 +20 +0 -1 -6 +13 2.7
202126 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 604529 14532320 5617014 2010 274359459818 185363 289 362 128 +20 +0 -1 -6 +13 2.7
202227 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 645588 15442321 4415611 3212 262325451776 189322 247 341 117 +13 +2 -5 -7 +14 1.7
202227 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 645586 15441320 4615611 3212 263328445774 183325 247 342 117 +13 +2 -5 -7 +14 1.7
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 654552 13919324 7915618 2210 252364428791 176305 2412 354 126 +20 +0 -7 -7 +14 2.1
202328 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 654551 14019323 8015618 2210 254367425791 171310 2412 355 126 +20 +0 -7 -7 +14 2.1
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 648549 12234021 7316922 2010 222337399736 177278 2611 330 109 +7 +0 -8 -7 +14 0.6
202429 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 648549 12033020 7316922 2010 219334388722 169275 2611 327 109 +7 +0 -8 -7 +14 0.6
202530 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 709615 14833128 6219127 316 241337434771 193299 279 342 117 +15 +4 -9 -8 +15 1.8
202530 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 709613 14632127 6419127 316 238337426762 188297 279 340 117 +15 +4 -9 -8 +15 1.8
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 670573 16335227 6714526 268 284384494878 209336 2210 387 148 +38 +2 -1 -7 +15 4.7
202631 MLB RAWSeattle Mariners — 670572 16134226 6814526 268 281383484867 203333 2210 384 148 +38 +2 -1 -7 +15 4.7
201621 INTL MLE2 teams — 254222 231100 163914 1610 104220153373 50115 156 138 -20 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLE3 teams — 782701 16747516 4618629 2514 238313388701 150289 246 300 89 — — — — — —
201823 AAA MLE3 teams — 476427 10422010 2912517 298 244319365684 122320 266 304 92 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE3 teams — 422374 10722313 279518 1913 286362465827 179349 236 362 131 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 7665 18207 6225 40 2773876311.017 354306 298 440 184 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 604533 14533321 5217014 2010 272352463816 191363 289 357 128 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 645585 15442321 4415611 3212 263325453778 190325 247 341 117 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 654552 13919324 7915618 2210 252364428791 176310 2412 354 126 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 648548 12234021 7316922 2010 223337400737 177275 2611 330 109 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 709614 14833128 6219127 316 241337435772 194297 279 342 117 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 670572 16335227 6714526 268 285384495879 210333 2210 387 148 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 648548 12234021 7316922 2010 223337400737 177275 2611 330 109 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 709614 14833128 6219127 316 241337435772 194297 279 342 117 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLESeattle Mariners — 670572 16335227 6714526 268 285384495879 210333 2210 387 148 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLESEA 100% 620531 13428224 6114423 236 253354447801 195299 2310 356 127 +20 +2 -1 -7 +13 2.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXSEA 100% 620531 13328223 6114423 236 250351440791 190297 2310 352 127 +20 +2 -1 -7 +13 2.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLESEA 100% 590507 12325122 5714121 144 243344427771 183291 2410 344 119 +13 +1 -5 -6 +13 1.6
202934 MLB MLESEA 100% 541466 10821119 5113319 73 232332402735 171280 259 330 109 +6 +0 -6 -6 +12 0.6
203035 MLB MLESEA 100% 484419 9217116 4512317 22 220319376695 156269 259 314 99 -1 -0 -6 -5 +10 -0.2
202833 MLB CTXSEA 100% 590507 12225121 5714121 144 241342420762 179288 2410 341 119 +13 +1 -5 -6 +13 1.6
202934 MLB CTXSEA 100% 541466 10721118 5113319 73 229330396726 167278 259 327 109 +6 +0 -6 -6 +12 0.6
203035 MLB CTXSEA 100% 484419 9117115 4512317 22 217317370687 153266 259 311 99 -1 -0 -6 -5 +10 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 56444876 121025715198 5481410181 18066 248346429775 181306 2510 346 113 +140 +10 -50 -59 +122 16.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650562 14030223 6316221 218 249347432780 183307 2510 346 113 +16 +1 -6 -7 +14 1.9
Career— MLE — 81757105 174739125269 7151995281 290116 246339422760 176302 249 335 113 +160 +12 -51 -65 +136 19.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650565 13831221 5715922 239 244337418755 173301 249 335 113 +17 +1 -5 -7 +14 2.0