Ernesto Martinez Jr.

1B Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 28 L/L 6'6" / 254 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAAMIL	311	.255/.362/.388	6	1	76	—	.222/.303/.320
2025	26	INTLEstrellas Ori…	16	.385/.500/.462	0	2	184	—
2026	27	AAAScranton/Wilk…	447	.243/.336/.439	17	14	67	—	.201/.270/.345
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBNYY	25	.224/.294/.363	1	1	83	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	29	MLBNYY	88	.223/.292/.358	2	2	82	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV99

Speed81

BB%59

Z-Con%54

K%37

Chase%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsLuis Liberato (age 28) · Bligh Madris (age 28) · Travis Ishikawa (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .294 / .363

PA25

HR1

K%28

BB%8

BABIP301

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	18	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	196	155	36	10	1	3	36	50	3	2	3	232	387	368	754	135	317	26	18	347	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	146	125	28	5	1	0	16	48	5	5	3	224	336	280	616	56	364	33	11	293	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	266	73	15	5	11	32	84	10	30	4	274	373	492	866	218	356	27	10	379	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	77	59	14	3	0	2	16	21	1	8	1	237	408	390	798	153	324	27	21	364	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	25	19	5	0	0	3	6	7	0	0	0	263	440	737	1.177	474	222	28	24	490	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	106	26	5	0	2	17	22	1	3	2	245	352	349	701	104	293	18	14	323	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	272	243	65	11	1	10	23	57	4	13	4	267	338	444	783	177	312	21	8	347	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	401	114	30	2	13	40	77	13	20	5	284	368	466	834	182	322	17	9	369	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	311	263	67	13	2	6	39	81	5	1	3	255	362	388	749	133	339	26	13	337	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	16	13	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	2	0	385	500	462	962	77	455	12	12	440	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	447	387	94	17	4	17	51	113	3	14	1	243	336	439	775	196	293	25	11	340	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	196	169	28	7	1	2	22	72	3	2	3	166	273	254	528	89	253	37	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	146	131	19	3	1	0	10	69	5	5	3	145	233	183	416	38	291	47	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	276	57	10	4	8	22	115	10	30	4	207	289	359	648	152	300	37	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	77	64	12	2	0	2	11	27	1	8	1	188	316	312	628	125	267	35	14	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	—	25	21	3	0	0	2	4	10	0	0	0	143	280	429	709	286	158	40	16	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	112	25	5	0	2	12	29	1	3	2	223	304	321	625	98	283	23	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	272	252	53	9	1	7	16	76	4	13	4	210	268	337	606	127	266	28	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	414	104	28	2	9	27	95	13	20	5	251	317	394	711	143	299	21	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	311	275	61	11	2	4	27	96	5	1	3	222	303	320	623	98	312	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	447	403	81	14	4	12	35	135	3	14	1	201	270	345	615	144	255	30	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	196	169	28	7	1	2	22	72	3	2	3	166	273	254	528	89	268	37	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers	—	196	155	36	10	1	3	36	50	3	2	3	232	387	368	754	135	317	26	18	347	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	146	131	19	3	1	0	10	69	5	5	3	145	233	183	416	38	306	47	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers	—	146	125	28	5	1	0	16	48	5	5	3	224	336	280	616	56	364	33	11	293	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	276	57	10	4	8	22	115	10	30	4	207	289	359	648	152	314	37	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	266	73	15	5	11	32	84	10	30	4	274	373	492	866	218	356	27	10	379	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	102	85	15	2	0	4	15	37	1	8	1	176	307	341	648	165	244	36	15	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	102	78	19	3	0	5	22	28	1	8	1	244	416	474	890	231	304	27	22	395	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	397	364	78	14	1	9	28	105	5	16	6	214	280	332	612	118	276	26	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	397	349	91	16	1	12	40	79	5	16	6	261	343	415	758	155	306	20	10	340	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	414	104	28	2	9	27	95	13	20	5	251	317	394	711	143	304	21	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	401	114	30	2	13	40	77	13	20	5	284	368	466	834	182	322	17	9	369	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	327	289	64	12	2	4	28	101	6	3	3	221	303	318	622	97	319	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	327	276	72	14	2	6	41	83	6	3	3	261	368	391	760	130	346	25	13	342	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	447	403	81	14	4	12	35	135	3	14	1	201	270	345	615	144	263	30	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	447	387	94	17	4	17	51	113	3	14	1	243	336	439	775	196	293	25	11	340	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	196	169	28	7	1	2	22	72	3	2	3	166	273	254	528	89	253	37	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	146	130	19	3	1	0	10	69	5	5	3	146	233	185	417	38	291	47	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	311	276	57	10	4	8	22	115	10	30	4	207	289	359	648	152	300	37	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	102	85	15	2	0	4	15	37	1	8	1	176	307	341	648	165	240	36	15	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	397	361	78	14	1	9	28	105	5	16	6	216	280	335	615	119	271	26	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	414	104	28	2	9	27	95	13	20	5	251	317	394	711	143	299	21	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	327	290	64	12	2	4	28	101	6	3	3	221	303	317	621	97	312	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	447	406	81	14	4	12	35	135	3	14	1	200	270	342	612	143	255	30	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	457	414	104	28	2	9	27	95	13	20	5	251	317	394	711	143	299	21	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	327	290	64	12	2	4	28	101	6	3	3	221	303	317	621	97	312	31	9	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	447	406	81	14	4	12	35	135	3	14	1	200	270	342	612	143	255	30	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	10%	380	344	76	15	3	8	29	111	4	8	2	223	293	357	650	134	301	29	8	291	83	-8	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	224	294	363	657	138	301	28	8	294	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	27%	323	291	65	13	2	7	25	94	4	6	1	221	291	352	644	131	298	29	8	289	82	-7	+1	-1	-6	+7	-0.7
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	27%	88	80	18	3	1	2	7	26	1	2	0	223	292	358	650	135	298	30	8	291	82	-2	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	88	80	18	3	1	2	7	26	1	2	0	225	295	362	658	137	308	30	8	291	73	-2	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	133	22	7	15	52	192	7	15	0	225	295	362	657	137	307	30	8	291	73	-14	+3	-3	-12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2956	2648	562	113	19	61	231	896	53	109	28	212	289	338	627	126	292	30	8	275	73	-12	+1	-1	-10	+12	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	123	25	4	13	51	197	12	24	6	211	288	335	623	124	292	30	8	275	73	-14	+2	-2	-12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ernesto Martinez Jr. (OGILVIE)	28	45	45	45	60	221/291/354	132	301	6	5	29%	8%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2024 · AAA	28	45→50	48→50	47→50	47	222/291/372	150	298	15	11	30%	9%	87	+0.4	223/280/339	116	315	10	13	30%	7%	74	-0.5	216/263/303	86	315	5	12	31%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Bligh Madris 2024 · MLB	28	44→48	46→50	47→50	47	219/287/351	132	287	13	10	28%	8%	80	-0.1	205/276/356	151	264	18	14	28%	9%	78	-0.3	191/266/344	153	237	19	13	28%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Travis Ishikawa 2012 · MLB	28	48→50	44→55	46→45	46	233/297/349	117	303	11	6	26%	8%	84	+0.1	234/300/370	136	306	13	4	26%	7%	90	+0.6	234/300/371	137	305	14	1	27%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Ryan Langerhans 2008 · MLB	28	45→41	46→50	45→50	51	220/305/358	138	289	13	6	27%	10%	89	+0.5	233/319/373	140	311	13	13	27%	11%	97	+1.1	233/325/371	139	312	12	16	27%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	45	48→45	40	224/274/343	119	305	12	10	30%	6%	74	-0.6	232/282/372	140	335	15	10	34%	6%	84	+0.1	228/273/371	144	333	16	6	35%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	48→55	45→50	43	206/277/346	140	257	15	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	210/274/349	139	266	16	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/265/338	137	255	17	11	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→52	44→50	51→50	47	224/288/343	119	284	12	11	25%	8%	79	-0.2	220/277/325	105	299	9	10	28%	7%	71	-0.8	219/269/307	88	324	4	9	32%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Jack Larsen 2023 · AA	28	48	46→50	48→45	49	234/306/367	134	304	13	9	27%	9%	91	+0.7	236/315/338	102	322	9	9	27%	10%	88	+0.4	259/370/286	26	383	0	4	27%	14%	95	+0.2
✕Charles Thomas 2007 · MLB	28	46→49	42→45	46→50	46	227/290/323	97	279	10	13	22%	7%	75	-0.5	216/271/307	91	281	9	13	25%	6%	63	-1.3	193/240/253	60	258	5	14	26%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	45→55	49→50	50→55	41	227/273/385	158	295	16	13	28%	6%	83	+0.1	219/272/327	108	293	10	21	28%	6%	69	-0.9	209/261/292	84	281	8	28	27%	5%	55	-1.3
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	42→50	46→50	46→40	40	209/265/343	134	294	13	6	32%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/335	129	289	13	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	194/256/315	122	268	13	1	32%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Jaycob Brugman 2019 · MLB	27	49→51	43→50	48→45	44	237/292/348	111	311	11	9	27%	7%	81	-0.1	224/283/399	175	302	22	7	32%	7%	91	+0.6	202/263/416	214	257	29	0	34%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Nick Maton 2024 · MLB	27	43→42	46→50	44→45	52	212/305/349	136	274	13	6	26%	11%	87	+0.4	216/304/361	145	275	17	5	26%	10%	90	+0.6	201/293/344	143	250	19	1	27%	10%	80	-0.0
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	140	272	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	243/293/360	117	284	12	7	18%	6%	84	+0.1	265/312/362	97	296	8	3	13%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Brock Stassi 2018 · MLB	28	46→56	45	42→45	51	227/296/350	124	269	13	3	21%	9%	84	+0.1	233/308/347	114	297	10	5	23%	9%	87	+0.4	236/328/337	100	314	4	0	23%	10%	90	+0.2
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	43→42	48→50	48→45	46	218/282/366	148	274	15	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0	221/272/357	136	294	14	6	29%	5%	76	-0.4	213/260/344	131	282	14	3	29%	5%	67	-0.9
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	47→48	45	46→50	43	228/289/352	123	312	13	10	30%	7%	81	-0.1	224/284/343	119	325	11	13	32%	7%	77	-0.3	202/257/282	80	333	4	17	38%	6%	49	-0.5
✕Larry Broadway 2009 · AAA	28	46→49	46→50	39→40	46	228/287/358	131	294	13	4	26%	8%	82	-0.0	221/274/352	131	301	14	6	30%	6%	76	-0.4	192/237/318	126	265	17	0	34%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Norel González 2022 · AAA	28	47	49→50	43→40	44	238/293/387	149	289	17	9	24%	6%	91	+0.7	220/278/354	134	284	15	5	27%	6%	78	-0.3	205/266/333	128	265	15	2	28%	6%	66	-0.6
✕Stuart Fairchild 2024 · MLB	28	46→43	49→50	52→55	45	228/312/380	152	304	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	225/305/369	144	290	15	23	26%	8%	92	+0.7	216/307/360	144	270	16	31	25%	9%	89	+0.3