Zac Houston — OGILVIE

Zac Houston P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 RHP 6'5" / 260 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%24.8%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%11.8%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	13	0	20	80	30	11	0	0%	1.5	27.7%	16.2%	11.5%	0.0%	0.46	2.81	—
2016	21	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	13	0	20	80	30	11	0	0%	1.5	37.5%	13.8%	23.8%	0.0%	0.46	1.73	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	58	243	91	27	1	0%	1.8	26.9%	12.7%	14.2%	0.8%	2.17	2.87	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	58	243	91	27	1	0%	1.8	37.4%	11.1%	26.3%	0.4%	2.17	1.58	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	216	80	25	3	0%	1.2	31.8%	12.4%	19.4%	1.6%	1.63	2.88	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	55	216	80	25	3	0%	1.2	37.0%	11.6%	25.5%	1.4%	1.63	2.27	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	58	246	68	24	1	2%	1.4	22.9%	10.5%	12.4%	0.5%	4.53	2.77	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	58	246	68	24	1	2%	1.4	27.6%	9.8%	17.9%	0.4%	4.53	2.22	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	10	38	17	3	0	29%	1.4	44.7%	7.9%	36.8%	0.0%	0.93	0.32	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	2	10	38	17	3	0	29%	1.4	44.7%	7.9%	36.8%	0.0%	0.93	0.51	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	53	249	88	38	9	0%	1.1	29.3%	16.4%	12.9%	4.4%	5.47	5.13	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	53	249	88	38	9	0%	1.1	35.3%	15.3%	20.1%	3.6%	5.47	4.14	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	2	43	199	73	28	5	5%	1.2	30.2%	13.8%	16.4%	2.8%	4.43	3.81	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	2	43	199	73	28	5	5%	1.2	30.2%	13.8%	16.4%	2.8%	4.43	3.81	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	2	43	199	73	28	5	5%	1.2	36.7%	14.1%	22.6%	2.5%	4.43	3.17	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	14	0	14	72	19	14	4	0%	1.0	21.9%	17.5%	4.4%	6.2%	10.29	6.86	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	14	0	14	72	19	14	4	0%	1.0	21.9%	17.5%	4.4%	6.2%	10.29	6.86	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	14	0	14	72	19	14	4	0%	1.0	26.4%	19.4%	6.9%	5.6%	10.29	7.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	PHI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	24.8%	13.1%	11.8%	3.2%	4.79	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.1%	11.2%	3.4%	4.88	4.97	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	24.2%	13.1%	11.2%	3.4%	4.88	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	8	4	1	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.1%	11.2%	3.4%	4.88	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	218	109	27	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.1%	11.2%	3.4%	4.88	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		237	5	310	1343	379	180	28	2%	1.3	28.2%	13.4%	14.8%	2.1%	3.60	3.55	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	3	200	867	244	116	18	2%	1.3	28.2%	13.4%	14.8%	2.1%	3.60	3.55	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zac Houston (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	24.8%	13.1%	3.2%	—	4.97	24.2%	11.2%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	87
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	82
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	81
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	80
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	77
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	76
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	75
Adam Ottavino R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	25.9%	15.2%	2.9%	.296	2.60	33.3%	22.0%	162	-1.84	2.10	488	74
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	74
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	74
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	73
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	73
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	72
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	72
Brad Boxberger R 2019 · 4.46 FIP	31	SU	4.46	22.1%	13.9%	2.7%	.293	3.44	27.6%	18.2%	147	-1.02	3.01	363	71
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	70
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	70
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	69
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	69
Jeff Manship R 2016 · 4.87 FIP	31	SU	4.87	19.0%	10.6%	3.7%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	114	69