Robert Dugger
P
Round Rock Express
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 198 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION32 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA5.90
FIP5.90
xFIP3.90
SIERA3.62
K%17.3%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%4.4%
IP32
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1089.6
Whiff%
p7128.6%
K%
p7326.4%
xwOBA vs
p200.347
SL-1.0
CH-3.3
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 6 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 25.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 1.20 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 31 | 18 | 118 | 483 | 116 | 31 | 8 | 18.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.75 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 25 | 25 | 151 | 623 | 141 | 42 | 15 | 18.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 3.40 | 4.10 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 30 | 30 | 158 | 694 | 147 | 54 | 24 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 5.29 | 4.64 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 4 | 1 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7.1% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 12.66 | 8.36 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 27 | 18 | 95 | 421 | 83 | 36 | 16 | 17.9% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 6.44 | 5.09 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 23 | 13 | 82 | 355 | 71 | 40 | 10 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 4.81 | 4.25 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 29 | 29 | 146 | 632 | 143 | 60 | 18 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.29 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 20 | 16 | 94 | 417 | 87 | 56 | 16 | 18.4% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 4.79 | 5.65 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 10 | 4 | 25 | 136 | 21 | 24 | 9 | 13.6% | 18.5% | 8.8% | 14.40 | 9.13 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 32 | — | 32 | 135 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17.3% | 12.8% | 4.1% | 5.90 | 5.90 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17.1% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 5.90 | 6.00 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 205 | 154 | 893 | 3868 | 705 | 369 | 136 | 18.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.70 | +7.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 35 | 200 | 867 | 158 | 83 | 30 | 18.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Dugger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.90 | 17.3% | 12.8% | 4.1% | — | 6.00 | 17.1% | 4.2% | 30 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.37 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .283 | 4.35 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 144 | -1.02 | 3.91 | 577 | 75 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.99 | 13.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 500 | 65 |
| Jordan Zimmermann R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.07 | 14.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | .325 | 4.82 | 18.3% | 13.6% | 243 | -0.25 | 3.57 | 731 | 58 |
| Scott Copeland R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.72 | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.5% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 569 | 44 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 41 |
| Scott Carroll R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.25 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .289 | 6.06 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 22 | +0.81 | 3.78 | 248 | 40 |
| David Fletcher R 2025 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 40 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.12 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .353 | 3.44 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.68 | 3.29 | 283 | 39 |
| Cody Mincey R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.46 | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 147 | 37 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.81 | 17.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | .277 | 4.58 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 81 | -1.23 | 3.33 | 556 | 37 |
| Manny Barreda R 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.15 | 18.1% | 9.5% | 4.3% | .317 | 3.33 | 20.1% | 12.9% | 40 | -1.82 | 3.19 | 376 | 35 |
| Jhoulys Chacín R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.39 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% | .301 | 4.21 | 17.2% | 7.2% | 112 | -1.18 | 3.79 | 887 | 34 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 31 | SP- | 6.54 | 17.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 258 | 34 |
| Nick Tepesch R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.38 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 276 | 33 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.43 | 14.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | .277 | 5.21 | 16.3% | 8.8% | 259 | -0.22 | 3.84 | 567 | 33 |
| Randy Wynne R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.58 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | .283 | 7.08 | 11.0% | 6.9% | 60 | +1.50 | 4.52 | 461 | 33 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.58 | 9.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 229 | 31 |
| Jerad Eickhoff R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.68 | 19.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | .292 | 4.98 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 182 | -0.70 | 3.92 | 875 | 29 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | .288 | 3.73 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 126 | -1.56 | 3.73 | 550 | 23 |
| Travis Wood L 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.72 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 256 | 16 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.