Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 13 | 57 | 244 | 82 | 24 | 1 | 76% | 3.3 | 24.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 0.6% | 3.49 | 2.80 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 13 | 57 | 244 | 82 | 24 | 1 | 76% | 3.3 | 33.6% | 9.8% | 23.8% | 0.4% | 3.49 | 1.71 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 8 | 84 | 370 | 103 | 41 | 11 | 29% | 3.0 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.20 | 4.73 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 8 | 84 | 370 | 103 | 41 | 11 | 29% | 3.0 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 61 | 267 | 67 | 32 | 8 | 6% | 1.7 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.67 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 61 | 267 | 67 | 32 | 8 | 6% | 1.7 | 25.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 50 | 224 | 53 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 3.62 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 50 | 224 | 53 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.62 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 19 | 0 | 19 | 93 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.59 | 7.18 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 19 | 0 | 19 | 93 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 5.59 | 6.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 4.68 | 4.69 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 0 | 200 | 824 | 175 | 100 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 4.68 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 149 | 23 | 270 | 1198 | 262 | 149 | 37 | 15% | 1.8 | 21.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 4.54 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 110 | 17 | 200 | 887 | 194 | 110 | 28 | 15% | 1.8 | 21.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Kravetz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.7% | — | 5.17 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 3.67 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.64 | 1.52 | 350 | 72 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 69 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.15 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .364 | 3.00 | 24.6% | 17.5% | 128 | -1.15 | 2.86 | 455 | 67 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 67 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 66 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 65 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.32 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 206 | 64 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 64 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 64 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 64 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 64 |
| Grant Dayton L 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.66 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 5.2% | .212 | 4.72 | 30.4% | 23.8% | 66 | -0.94 | 1.73 | 277 | 64 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 703 | 62 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 62 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 61 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 61 |
| Locke St. John L 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.55 | 16.5% | 12.8% | 4.0% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 389 | 60 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 60 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.32 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | .256 | 3.61 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 90 | -1.71 | 2.35 | 306 | 60 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 60 |