Jason Matthews

SS Charlotte Knights

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	28	AAACWS	52	.349/.451/.512	1	1	118	—	.311/.392/.467
2025	28	AACWS	254	.180/.308/.242	2	7	29	—	.157/.248/.211
2026	29	AAACWS	174	.217/.341/.315	3	2	49	—	.180/.276/.247
2026	29	AACWS	25	.167/.400/.500	2	0	81	—	.150/.320/.450
2027PROJ10% MLB	30	MLBCWS	21	.183/.268/.262	0	0	53	-0.1
2028PROJ27% MLB	31	MLBCWS	54	.182/.266/.261	1	0	52	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%70

Chase%55

Speed32

Max EV28

K%14

Z-Con%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Rabago (age 29) · Anthony Bemboom (age 30) · Drew Butera (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .268 / .262

PA21

HR0

K%33

BB%10

BABIP266

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	25	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	349	301	63	16	1	2	36	110	9	6	1	209	312	289	601	80	319	32	10	280	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	INTL	Auckland Tuatara	—	131	114	30	6	0	5	14	26	1	0	1	263	349	447	796	184	298	20	11	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	16	14	2	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	143	250	357	607	214	125	31	12	274	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	50	43	9	1	0	2	4	18	3	1	0	209	320	372	692	163	304	36	8	317	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	103	82	14	1	0	1	14	36	5	5	2	171	327	220	546	49	277	35	14	269	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	418	360	70	8	3	4	43	117	6	8	2	194	291	267	558	72	273	28	10	257	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	159	137	40	12	0	4	16	36	3	6	2	292	378	467	845	175	371	23	10	370	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	52	43	15	0	2	1	6	17	2	1	0	349	451	512	963	163	560	33	12	420	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	254	211	38	7	0	2	35	59	4	7	3	180	308	242	550	62	238	23	14	263	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	174	143	31	5	0	3	21	54	6	2	4	217	341	315	656	98	322	31	12	302	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	25	18	3	0	0	2	7	9	0	0	0	167	400	500	900	333	143	36	28	398	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	349	317	47	10	1	2	20	151	9	6	1	148	220	205	425	57	260	43	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	16	15	2	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	133	188	333	521	200	117	38	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	50	44	6	1	0	1	3	23	3	1	0	136	240	227	467	91	258	46	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	103	87	10	1	0	1	9	50	5	5	2	115	238	161	399	46	215	49	9	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	418	377	60	7	2	3	26	146	6	8	2	159	225	212	437	53	237	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	52	45	14	0	2	1	4	20	2	1	0	311	392	467	859	156	512	38	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	254	223	35	6	0	2	23	71	4	7	3	157	248	211	459	54	211	28	9	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	174	150	27	4	0	2	14	65	6	2	4	180	276	247	523	67	283	37	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	25	20	3	0	0	2	5	11	0	0	0	150	320	450	770	300	118	44	20	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	438	64	14	1	2	27	208	10	6	2	146	213	196	409	50	268	43	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	480	415	93	22	1	7	50	136	10	6	2	224	322	333	655	108	313	28	10	299	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	169	146	18	1	0	3	13	79	8	6	2	123	234	192	425	68	227	47	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	169	139	25	2	0	4	20	59	8	6	2	180	317	281	598	101	269	35	12	284	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	520	83	9	3	5	36	201	9	14	4	160	227	217	444	58	246	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	577	497	110	20	3	8	59	153	9	14	4	221	315	322	637	101	301	27	10	288	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	268	49	6	2	3	27	91	6	8	3	183	272	254	526	71	263	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	306	254	53	7	2	3	41	76	6	8	3	209	332	287	620	79	284	25	13	289	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	170	30	4	0	4	19	76	6	2	4	176	282	271	553	94	286	38	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	199	161	34	5	0	5	28	63	6	2	4	211	349	335	684	124	309	32	14	314	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	440	64	14	1	2	27	208	10	6	2	145	213	195	408	50	260	43	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	169	146	18	1	0	3	13	79	8	6	2	123	234	192	425	68	218	47	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	527	83	9	3	5	36	201	9	14	4	157	227	214	441	57	237	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	270	49	6	2	3	27	91	6	8	3	181	272	252	524	70	262	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	172	30	4	0	4	19	76	6	2	4	174	282	267	549	93	262	38	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	527	83	9	3	5	36	201	9	14	4	157	227	214	441	57	237	35	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	270	49	6	2	3	27	91	6	8	3	181	272	252	524	70	262	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	199	172	30	4	0	4	19	76	6	2	4	174	282	267	549	93	262	38	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CWS	10%	249	221	40	6	1	3	21	79	5	4	2	183	268	261	528	78	266	32	8	246	53	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	21	19	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	183	268	262	531	79	266	33	10	247	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	27%	199	176	32	5	1	2	17	63	4	2	1	182	266	259	525	77	264	32	9	244	52	-11	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.8
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	27%	54	48	9	1	0	1	5	17	1	0	0	182	266	261	527	78	265	31	9	245	52	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	54	48	9	1	0	1	5	17	1	0	0	188	278	271	549	83	267	31	9	245	31	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	108	12	0	12	60	205	12	0	0	187	277	270	547	83	266	32	9	245	31	-37	+0	-9	+7	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2142	1906	311	44	8	22	157	786	47	41	18	163	244	229	473	66	260	37	7	214	31	-23	-0	-3	+4	+9	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	94	13	2	7	48	239	14	12	5	163	244	228	472	66	259	37	7	214	31	-37	-0	-4	+7	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jason Matthews (OGILVIE)	30	30	30	50	60	181/265/259	78	266	3	3	32%	8%	53	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	198/265/285	87	273	8	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	200/266/294	94	306	8	10	35%	7%	59	-1.6	154/223/216	62	257	4	5	39%	6%	24	-1.3
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→40	44→45	44	197/256/300	103	258	10	4	27%	7%	57	-1.8	203/272/324	121	261	13	5	26%	8%	69	-0.9	193/262/294	101	249	10	2	26%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Drew Butera 2015 · MLB	31	39	42→40	48→40	46	196/257/298	102	241	10	4	23%	7%	57	-1.8	225/282/347	122	281	12	4	24%	7%	78	-0.3	226/286/352	126	282	12	0	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ali Solis 2018 · AAA	30	39	40→45	46→30	36	194/231/285	91	265	8	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	199/236/319	120	278	14	6	33%	4%	53	-2.1	185/220/320	135	238	18	3	31%	4%	45	-1.6
✕Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez 2015 · AAA	30	42	39→40	43→50	39	205/255/290	85	281	6	9	28%	5%	54	-2.0	217/278/328	111	275	10	10	24%	7%	72	-0.7	205/258/292	87	257	7	6	22%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Max McDowell 2024 · AAA	30	40→48	39→40	42→50	45	194/285/275	80	271	8	6	29%	8%	63	-1.3	196/267/305	109	289	13	7	35%	6%	63	-1.3	135/200/232	96	204	14	3	40%	4%	19	-1.4
✕Dane Sardinha 2009 · MLB	30	34→31	43→45	49→30	37	180/220/280	100	240	11	4	30%	4%	38	-3.2	179/227/282	103	251	11	4	33%	5%	42	-2.9	151/207/234	83	215	10	0	34%	5%	23	-1.4
✕Ryan Budde 2010 · MLB	30	39	42→45	46→40	41	194/249/296	102	264	9	6	30%	6%	53	-2.1	186/248/268	82	287	8	6	35%	7%	47	-2.5	160/226/218	58	257	5	4	37%	7%	26	-1.5
✕Erick Castillo 2022 · AAA	29	43	37→30	47→30	46	205/276/274	70	256	5	5	21%	6%	59	-1.6	218/279/297	79	276	6	7	22%	5%	65	-1.2	216/264/231	15	278	0	0	21%	2%	41	-0.6
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA	30	35	43→45	42→40	37	178/241/288	111	284	11	4	40%	7%	49	-2.4	181/244/279	98	321	10	6	43%	7%	48	-2.5	130/195/192	62	252	6	0	48%	7%	8	-2.1
✕Dayton Buller 2011 · AAA	30	42	41→45	44→40	39	202/258/300	98	297	7	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/289	93	302	7	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	191/239/310	120	285	11	0	36%	6%	49	-0.4
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	42	184/248/291	107	248	10	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	187/258/298	111	269	11	13	33%	7%	58	-1.7	137/213/223	85	203	9	16	36%	6%	23	-1.6
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB	30	34	44→40	43→30	41	181/248/295	114	251	13	4	32%	7%	54	-2.0	201/269/306	105	279	11	4	30%	8%	63	-1.3	191/261/270	78	260	9	0	29%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	42	41→45	51→50	42	202/265/299	97	286	8	10	31%	7%	61	-1.5	188/252/274	86	308	7	8	38%	7%	50	-2.3	129/198/173	44	246	2	2	44%	7%	5	-2.3
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	30	34→28	41→45	46→30	32	176/209/266	90	258	9	4	35%	3%	31	-3.7	172/210/261	89	318	9	5	47%	4%	30	-3.8	138/173/211	74	279	9	1	52%	4%	2	-2.2
✕Mike Nickeas 2014 · MLB	31	40	39→40	44→40	45	193/250/279	85	239	6	4	22%	6%	50	-2.3	205/263/303	98	256	10	7	23%	7%	60	-1.6	181/234/238	57	220	9	3	22%	6%	34	-1.0
✕Gary Patchett 2009 · AAA	30	43	36→30	41→30	41	207/261/267	59	284	5	5	28%	6%	51	-2.3	207/255/277	70	276	6	4	26%	5%	51	-2.3	198/242/250	52	262	4	0	25%	4%	38	-1.5
✕Joe Hudson 2022 · MLB	31	36	43→45	47→40	40	185/239/286	102	263	11	5	34%	6%	47	-2.5	193/275/323	130	279	16	8	35%	9%	71	-0.8	168/269/293	125	244	17	8	36%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Rosario Irazoqui 2016 · AAA	30	43	37→30	44→45	39	209/251/275	66	272	6	7	25%	4%	48	-2.5	216/267/307	91	284	9	8	26%	5%	62	-1.4	201/247/264	63	269	6	0	26%	3%	41	-0.8
✕Jonathan Diaz 2015 · MLB	30	44→48	36→30	48→50	50	208/284/276	68	258	3	12	20%	8%	62	-1.4	201/276/264	63	251	4	8	20%	8%	57	-1.8	191/272/239	49	239	3	6	20%	9%	47	-1.5