Forrest Whitley
P
Durham Bulls
Age 28
RHP
6'7" / 208 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 95
ERA4.18
FIP4.12
K%25.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%16.0%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p1019.5%
K%
p2318.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.412
CH (1%)
SI (20%)
CU (21%)
SL-0.9 (8%)
FB-3.9 (51%)
CT-4.1 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 8 | 6 | 19 | 81 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 75% | 2.3 | 21.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 4.82 | 2.43 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 8 | 6 | 19 | 81 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 75% | 2.3 | 32.1% | 7.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% | 4.82 | 1.28 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 18 | 92 | 380 | 143 | 34 | 5 | 78% | 4.0 | 28.7% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 1.5% | 2.83 | 2.80 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 18 | 92 | 380 | 143 | 34 | 5 | 78% | 4.0 | 37.6% | 8.9% | 28.7% | 1.3% | 2.83 | 1.81 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 8 | 8 | 26 | 108 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 3.3 | 25.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 2.0% | 3.76 | 3.46 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 8 | 8 | 26 | 108 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 3.3 | 31.5% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 1.9% | 3.76 | 2.76 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 15 | 60 | 278 | 86 | 44 | 11 | 83% | 3.3 | 24.6% | 16.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.99 | 6.37 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 15 | 60 | 278 | 86 | 44 | 11 | 83% | 3.3 | 30.9% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 7.99 | 4.83 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 11 | 40 | 186 | 45 | 27 | 2 | 85% | 3.1 | 20.1% | 16.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 6.53 | 4.43 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 11 | 40 | 186 | 45 | 27 | 2 | 85% | 3.1 | 24.2% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 1.1% | 6.53 | 3.52 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 8 | 6 | 30 | 135 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 75% | 3.8 | 20.9% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.70 | 6.40 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 8 | 6 | 30 | 135 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 75% | 3.8 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 5.70 | 5.27 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 37 | 166 | 51 | 20 | 5 | 3% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 3.9% | 1.93 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 37 | 166 | 51 | 20 | 5 | 3% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 3.0% | 1.93 | 3.72 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 12 | 73 | 308 | 87 | 31 | 8 | 41% | 2.5 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 4.56 | 3.41 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 12 | 73 | 308 | 87 | 31 | 8 | 41% | 2.5 | 28.2% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 4.56 | 3.42 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | TB | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 73 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.9% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TB | 11 | 11 | 64 | 271 | 68 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TB | 10 | 10 | 60 | 255 | 62 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TB | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 22 | 9 | 72 | 326 | 76 | 35 | 11 | 41% | 3.3 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 5.67 | 4.29 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 26 | 200 | 903 | 211 | 97 | 30 | 42% | 3.2 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 5.67 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 77 | 377 | 1642 | 413 | 204 | 48 | 54% | 2.6 | 25.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.17 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 41 | 200 | 870 | 219 | 108 | 26 | 54% | 2.6 | 25.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Forrest Whitley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 25.9% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.40 | 24.6% | 14.5% | 124 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 69 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 69 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 68 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 64 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 63 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 63 |
| Ryne Stanek R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.15 | 27.2% | 11.0% | 3.6% | .262 | 3.30 | 28.2% | 15.7% | 123 | -0.85 | 2.92 | 745 | 62 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 62 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 61 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 61 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 61 |
| Junior Guerra R 2028 · 3.02 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.02 | 26.8% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .269 | 4.29 | 20.8% | 10.9% | 390 | +1.27 | 3.02 | 646 | 61 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 61 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.18 | 21.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .348 | 3.55 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 118 | -0.63 | 3.52 | 473 | 60 |
| Jesse Scholtens R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.22 | 19.1% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.24 | 3.13 | 825 | 60 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 59 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 59 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 59 |
| Phil Klein R 2025 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.17 | 24.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 178 | 59 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 25.1% | 10.0% | 1.18 | 4.28 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |