Forrest Whitley — OGILVIE

Forrest Whitley P Durham Bulls

Age 28 RHP 6'7" / 208 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 94

ERA4.16

FIP4.08

K%24.8%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%16.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD6060

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7596.3

Whiff%

p1019.5%

p2318.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.412

CH (1%)

SI (20%)

CU (21%)

SL-0.9 (8%)

FB-3.9 (51%)

CT-4.1 (27%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	8	6	19	81	26	6	0	75%	2.3	21.8%	9.3%	12.6%	0.0%	4.82	2.43	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	8	6	19	81	26	6	0	75%	2.3	32.1%	7.4%	24.7%	0.0%	4.82	1.28	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	18	92	380	143	34	5	78%	4.0	28.7%	10.4%	18.3%	1.6%	2.83	2.84	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	18	92	380	143	34	5	78%	4.0	37.6%	8.9%	28.7%	1.3%	2.83	1.81	—
2018	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	8	8	26	108	34	11	2	100%	3.3	25.5%	11.2%	14.3%	2.1%	3.76	3.52	—
2018	20	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	8	8	26	108	34	11	2	100%	3.3	31.5%	10.2%	21.3%	1.9%	3.76	2.76	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	15	60	278	86	44	11	83%	3.3	24.6%	16.5%	8.1%	5.7%	7.99	6.25	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	18	15	60	278	86	44	11	83%	3.3	30.9%	15.8%	15.1%	4.0%	7.99	4.83	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	11	40	186	45	27	2	85%	3.1	20.1%	16.6%	3.4%	1.5%	6.53	4.34	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	11	40	186	45	27	2	85%	3.1	24.2%	14.5%	9.7%	1.1%	6.53	3.52	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	8	6	30	135	32	17	6	75%	3.8	19.7%	11.3%	8.3%	5.5%	5.70	5.87	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	8	6	30	135	32	17	6	75%	3.8	19.7%	11.3%	8.3%	5.5%	5.70	5.87	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	8	6	30	135	32	17	6	75%	3.8	23.7%	12.6%	11.1%	4.4%	5.70	5.27	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	37	166	51	20	5	3%	1.0	26.5%	9.6%	16.9%	3.5%	1.93	3.97	+0.3
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	37	166	51	20	5	3%	1.0	26.5%	9.6%	16.9%	3.5%	1.93	3.97	+0.3
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	1	37	166	51	20	5	3%	1.0	30.7%	12.0%	18.7%	3.0%	1.93	3.72	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	12	73	308	87	31	8	41%	2.5	24.1%	9.3%	14.8%	2.2%	4.56	3.47	+0.9
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	12	73	308	87	31	8	41%	2.5	24.1%	9.3%	14.8%	2.2%	4.56	3.47	+0.9
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	12	73	308	87	31	8	41%	2.5	28.2%	10.1%	18.2%	2.6%	4.56	3.42	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			13	0	15	86	17	11	3	0%	1.2	19.8%	12.8%	7.0%	3.5%	10.57	5.58	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	TB	1	1	6	25	6	2	1	100%	6.0	24.8%	8.8%	16.0%	2.9%	4.16	4.08	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TB	11	11	64	271	65	25	8	100%	5.8	24.0%	9.0%	15.0%	3.0%	4.24	4.27	+0.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	TB	10	10	60	255	59	24	8	100%	6.0	23.3%	9.3%	13.9%	3.2%	4.38	4.48	+0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	TB	4	4	24	101	24	9	3	100%	6.0	24.0%	9.0%	15.0%	3.0%	4.24	4.27	+0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	TB	6	6	33	139	32	13	5	100%	5.5	23.3%	9.3%	13.9%	3.2%	4.38	4.48	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		22	9	72	326	74	33	11	41%	3.3	22.6%	10.2%	12.4%	3.2%	5.65	4.26	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		62	26	200	903	205	91	30	42%	3.2	22.6%	10.2%	12.4%	3.2%	5.65	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		143	77	377	1642	405	196	47	54%	2.6	24.7%	11.9%	12.7%	2.9%	4.67	4.10	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	41	200	870	215	104	25	54%	2.6	24.7%	11.9%	12.7%	2.9%	4.67	4.10	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Forrest Whitley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.08	24.8%	8.8%	2.9%	—	4.37	23.7%	14.5%	124	+0.29	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	80
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	69
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	67
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	65
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	65
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	65
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	64
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	64
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	64
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	63
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	63
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	62
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	61
Junior Guerra R 2015 · 3.18 FIP	30	SW	3.18	26.8%	10.3%	1.9%	.269	4.15	20.8%	10.9%	390	+0.97	3.18	646	61
Ryne Stanek R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	28	SW	4.14	27.2%	11.0%	3.5%	.262	3.39	28.2%	15.7%	123	-0.75	2.96	767	61
Jesse Scholtens R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	22.4%	8.4%	3.5%	.303	4.38	18.4%	11.5%	193	+0.20	3.40	876	61
Asher Wojciechowski R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SW	3.99	23.4%	6.5%	3.7%	.299	5.06	21.5%	13.1%	323	+1.07	3.15	678	60
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	60
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	60
Phil Klein R 2016 · 3.10 FIP	27	SW	3.10	24.5%	6.6%	2.2%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	178	60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	24.0%	9.0%	1.18	4.26
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Félix Peña ('20)	1.2	62	23.6%	8.3%	1.37	4.46