Miguel Yajure prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Miguel Yajure P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.05

K%20.7%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP69

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2792.9

Whiff%

p3823.6%

p1013.4%

xwOBA vs

p100.411

CT-3.4

FB-6.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	14	14	57	235	36	20	1	100%	4.1	10.4%	10.6%	-0.2%	0.6%	1.42	3.89	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 2	14	14	57	235	36	20	1	100%	4.1	15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	0.4%	1.42	3.12	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	9	6	31	123	21	5	1	67%	3.5	11.6%	5.1%	6.5%	1.1%	2.87	3.39	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	9	6	31	123	21	5	1	67%	3.5	17.1%	4.1%	13.0%	0.8%	2.87	2.65	—
2018	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	14	14	65	270	56	15	3	100%	4.6	15.3%	6.6%	8.8%	1.8%	3.90	3.61	—
2018	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	14	14	65	270	56	15	3	100%	4.6	20.7%	5.6%	15.2%	1.1%	3.90	2.67	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	20	139	556	133	30	5	83%	5.8	18.3%	6.3%	12.1%	1.3%	2.14	3.05	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	20	139	556	133	30	5	83%	5.8	23.9%	5.4%	18.5%	0.9%	2.14	2.30	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	3	0	7	29	8	5	1	0%	2.3	27.6%	17.2%	10.3%	3.4%	1.29	4.85	-0.0
2020	22	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	3	0	7	29	8	5	1	0%	2.3	27.6%	17.2%	10.3%	3.4%	1.29	4.81	-0.0
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	14	63	261	56	21	13	93%	4.2	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	5.2%	4.60	5.41	-0.4
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	14	63	261	56	21	13	93%	4.2	21.5%	8.0%	13.4%	5.0%	4.60	5.01	-0.1
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	15	79	364	69	38	10	54%	2.8	17.2%	10.8%	6.5%	3.0%	6.95	4.64	+0.2
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	15	79	364	69	38	10	54%	2.8	19.0%	10.4%	8.5%	2.7%	6.95	4.44	+0.4
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	19	76	352	80	38	10	86%	3.4	19.2%	9.7%	9.5%	3.4%	6.07	4.57	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	19	76	352	80	38	10	86%	3.4	19.2%	9.7%	9.5%	3.4%	6.07	4.57	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	19	76	352	80	38	10	86%	3.4	22.7%	10.8%	11.9%	2.8%	6.07	4.21	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			19	4	46	216	35	27	10	21%	2.4	16.2%	12.5%	3.7%	4.6%	7.58	6.14	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	1	0	1	7	0	5	0	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	54.00	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	1	0	1	7	0	5	0	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	54.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	HOU	1	0	1	7	0	5	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	71.4%	-71.4%	0.0%	54.00	12.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	66	280	57	33	10	100%	6.0	20.4%	11.7%	8.7%	3.5%	5.07	5.14	-0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	10	10	62	263	52	31	10	100%	6.2	19.9%	11.8%	8.1%	3.6%	5.17	5.28	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	HOU	4	4	24	101	21	12	4	100%	6.0	20.4%	11.7%	8.7%	3.5%	5.07	5.14	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	6	6	34	144	29	17	5	100%	5.7	19.9%	11.8%	8.1%	3.6%	5.17	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	14	105	464	85	56	19	48%	3.6	18.3%	12.1%	6.2%	4.1%	6.21	5.31	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		55	26	200	883	162	107	36	48%	3.6	18.3%	12.1%	6.2%	4.1%	6.21	5.31	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		130	102	517	2197	370	190	52	78%	4.0	16.9%	8.6%	8.2%	2.4%	3.99	4.07	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	39	200	850	143	73	20	78%	4.0	16.9%	8.6%	8.2%	2.4%	3.99	4.07	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Yajure (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	20.7%	11.7%	3.4%	—	5.21	20.2%	8.5%	128	+0.16	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	79
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	74
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	72
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	71
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	71
Chris Ellis R 2021 · 5.41 FIP	28	SP	5.41	19.6%	11.5%	4.6%	.274	6.15	12.2%	-0.9%	64	+0.74	3.84	780	71
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	70
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	69
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	69
Todd Redmond R 2013 · 4.14 FIP	28	SP-	4.14	23.5%	6.5%	4.0%	.266	3.57	17.0%	10.1%	170	-0.57	3.21	247	69
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	68
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	68
Tim Corcoran R 2006 · 4.67 FIP	28	SP-	4.67	14.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.291	5.29	7.6%	-3.8%	17	+0.62	4.10	130	67
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	67
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	67
Matt Swarmer R 2022 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	22.4%	10.6%	4.5%	.270	5.47	16.9%	2.8%	32	+0.46	3.23	617	66
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	66
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	66
Taylor Jungmann R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	27	SP-	3.88	18.8%	11.1%	1.8%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	435	66
Seth Frankoff R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	28	SP	5.03	21.2%	10.0%	4.5%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	263	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	61	19.5%	12.0%	1.44	5.56
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39