Alfonso Rivas III1B
Memphis Redbirds
Age 29
L/L
5'11" / 200 lbs
AAA
HR -7%K -4%
Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .311 / .353
PA350
HR7
K%28
BB%10
xwOBA.282
Barrel%6.7%
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
34→34
PWR
43→43
SPD
49→49
EYE
53↗62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-3
MLB Debut 2021
Service 5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-3 | $0.7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-1M | $-1M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 603 | 543 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 177 | 7 | 2 | 2 | .227 | .296 | .320 | .617 | .094 | .316 | 29 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -20 | -0 | +0 | -11 | +17 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 286 | 253 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 73 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .261 | .346 | .360 | .706 | .099 | .352 | 26 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | 2 teams | 393 | 348 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 121 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .230 | .311 | .305 | .616 | .075 | .336 | 31 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -5 | -7 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | 3 teams | 453 | 390 | 97 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 120 | 7 | 13 | 1 | .249 | .349 | .431 | .780 | .182 | .327 | 26 | 12 | .339 | 117 | +9 | +2 | -2 | -8 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 503 | 436 | 85 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 151 | 16 | 1 | 1 | .195 | .294 | .280 | .574 | .085 | .289 | 30 | 9 | .259 | 56 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -9 | +14 | -2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | STL | 350 | 304 | 66 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 98 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .217 | .314 | .355 | .669 | .138 | .289 | 28 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | STL | 380 | 330 | 71 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 107 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .215 | .313 | .355 | .668 | .139 | .288 | 28 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | STL | 365 | 317 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 104 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .211 | .309 | .344 | .653 | .132 | .286 | 28 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -6 | -7 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | STL | 346 | 301 | 62 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 101 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .303 | .332 | .635 | .126 | .285 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | STL | 316 | 275 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .297 | .313 | .610 | .113 | .283 | 30 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -7 | -6 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | STL | 272 | 238 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 83 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .193 | .289 | .303 | .591 | .109 | .280 | 31 | 10 | .280 | 72 | -9 | +0 | -7 | -5 | +8 | -1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4267 | 3735 | 818 | 191 | 20 | 68 | 414 | 1229 | 82 | 32 | 8 | .219 | .311 | .335 | .646 | .116 | .305 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -88 | +3 | -41 | -74 | +121 | -8.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 63 | 187 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .218 | .309 | .332 | .641 | .114 | .303 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -13 | +1 | -6 | -11 | +18 | -1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .406 | .441 | .625 | 1.066 | .219 | .500 | 21 | 6 | .465 | 214 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 509 | 431 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 66 | 113 | 7 | 2 | 2 | .283 | .387 | .408 | .795 | .125 | .362 | 22 | 13 | .358 | 132 | +18 | -0 | — | — | +14 | 3.3 |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 60 | 49 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .306 | .424 | .449 | .873 | .143 | .455 | 28 | 17 | .387 | 154 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 49 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .318 | .388 | .409 | .797 | .091 | .481 | 33 | 8 | .362 | 135 | +2 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 237 | 197 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .284 | .405 | .411 | .816 | .127 | .361 | 21 | 15 | .373 | 144 | +12 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 1.8 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 287 | 251 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 87 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .235 | .324 | .307 | .631 | .072 | .344 | 30 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -6 | +1 | -5 | -7 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 106 | 94 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .298 | .371 | .415 | .786 | .117 | .409 | 26 | 9 | .351 | 127 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 123 | 109 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .229 | .306 | .422 | .728 | .193 | .310 | 29 | 7 | .318 | 102 | +0 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 260 | 208 | 69 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | .332 | .463 | .582 | 1.045 | .250 | .400 | 19 | 19 | .454 | 205 | +31 | +2 | — | — | +7 | 4.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | 70 | 57 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .439 | .543 | .684 | 1.227 | .246 | .537 | 19 | 16 | .531 | 264 | +13 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 381 | 315 | 72 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 92 | 12 | 1 | 0 | .229 | .355 | .337 | .692 | .108 | .311 | 24 | 13 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | 122 | 93 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .204 | .383 | .301 | .684 | .097 | .267 | 25 | 19 | .325 | 107 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 459 | 404 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 42 | 139 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .243 | .326 | .349 | .675 | .106 | .349 | 30 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -7 | -18 | +13 | -1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alfonso Rivas III (OGILVIE) | 29 | 34 | 43 | 49 | 62 | .214/.311/.353 | .138 | .289 | 7 | 4 | 28% | 10% | 90 | +0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jason Conti 2004 · MLB |
29 | 49→41 | 46→45 | 46→50 | 46 | .243/.299/.381 | .138 | .307 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .222/.275/.344 | .122 | .295 | 12 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .209/.257/.318 | .109 | .276 | 12 | 4 | 28% | 5% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brandon Allen 2015 · MLB |
29 | 43→47 | 49→55 | 50 | 47 | .221/.284/.366 | .145 | .272 | 16 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .210/.272/.339 | .129 | .264 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .191/.254/.308 | .117 | .238 | 13 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Mark Hamilton 2013 · MLB |
29 | 47→43 | 48→50 | 46→30 | 48 | .235/.307/.377 | .141 | .304 | 15 | 3 | 27% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .219/.289/.351 | .132 | .304 | 14 | 4 | 31% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.281/.330 | .125 | .291 | 13 | 1 | 32% | 9% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Langerhans 2009 · MLB |
29 | 49→41 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 55 | .235/.329/.368 | .133 | .316 | 11 | 11 | 27% | 12% | 100 | +1.7 | .230/.319/.380 | .150 | .309 | 16 | 13 | 28% | 11% | 99 | +1.7 | .216/.312/.374 | .158 | .290 | 19 | 13 | 30% | 12% | 91 | +0.7 |
|
✕Simon Pond 2005 · MLB |
28 | 45→43 | 48→55 | 49→45 | 50 | .229/.305/.373 | .145 | .272 | 16 | 9 | 22% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .226/.282/.380 | .154 | .304 | 18 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .219/.274/.369 | .150 | .296 | 17 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB |
28 | 40→50 | 48→55 | 52→45 | 46 | .205/.282/.348 | .144 | .280 | 15 | 6 | 31% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .219/.298/.369 | .150 | .287 | 18 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .212/.293/.355 | .144 | .269 | 18 | 6 | 27% | 9% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Andy Wilkins 2018 · MLB |
29 | 36→45 | 51→55 | 50→45 | 43 | .198/.258/.355 | .157 | .252 | 20 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .189/.257/.356 | .167 | .269 | 22 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .146/.221/.313 | .166 | .197 | 25 | 2 | 41% | 8% | 39 | -0.9 |
|
✕John-Ford Griffin 2009 · AAA |
29 | 43→39 | 51→55 | 49→40 | 43 | .223/.279/.388 | .165 | .277 | 19 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .221/.279/.351 | .130 | .294 | 12 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .205/.266/.311 | .106 | .289 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ka'ai Tom 2022 · MLB |
28 | 42→49 | 50→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .215/.293/.374 | .159 | .285 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .198/.279/.323 | .125 | .282 | 13 | 10 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .182/.264/.306 | .124 | .259 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 54 | -0.7 |
|
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB |
29 | 43→41 | 46→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .214/.288/.346 | .132 | .297 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .211/.288/.354 | .143 | .274 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .202/.286/.351 | .149 | .254 | 18 | 16 | 27% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Travis Ishikawa 2013 · MLB |
29 | 47→49 | 44→55 | 47→45 | 47 | .230/.299/.356 | .126 | .296 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.305/.372 | .135 | .315 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .233/.303/.364 | .131 | .314 | 14 | 1 | 29% | 8% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA |
28 | 42→43 | 48→50 | 47→45 | 45 | .216/.276/.361 | .145 | .270 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.273/.365 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.266/.358 | .142 | .294 | 15 | 3 | 31% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 |
|
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA |
28 | 47 | 42→45 | 46→45 | 52 | .228/.305/.342 | .113 | .273 | 9 | 8 | 19% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .238/.305/.324 | .086 | .294 | 6 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .241/.307/.302 | .061 | .302 | 2 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 50→45 | 44 | .227/.276/.370 | .143 | .272 | 17 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .245/.293/.368 | .123 | .286 | 13 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .273/.321/.381 | .108 | .305 | 10 | 3 | 14% | 6% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
✕Adam Shabala 2007 · MLB |
29 | 46→44 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 47 | .228/.289/.348 | .120 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .212/.281/.307 | .095 | .289 | 8 | 13 | 27% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .186/.265/.251 | .065 | .261 | 6 | 13 | 28% | 9% | 40 | -1.6 |
|
✕Brandon Boggs 2012 · MLB |
29 | 43→48 | 45→55 | 42→50 | 50 | .208/.297/.333 | .124 | .289 | 12 | 8 | 30% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .208/.281/.323 | .115 | .291 | 10 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .202/.269/.306 | .104 | .281 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 56 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chris Snelling 2009 · MLB |
27 | 44→39 | 41→45 | 46→40 | 51 | .213/.311/.309 | .097 | .279 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.313/.349 | .115 | .281 | 10 | 6 | 19% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .240/.319/.362 | .122 | .282 | 9 | 0 | 17% | 9% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nate Spears 2014 · AAA |
29 | 42→52 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 48 | .206/.277/.318 | .111 | .262 | 10 | 11 | 25% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .225/.278/.337 | .112 | .305 | 10 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .250/.286/.356 | .107 | .354 | 7 | 13 | 30% | 5% | 77 | +0.0 |
|
✕Matt Skole 2017 · AAA |
28 | 38→39 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 45 | .202/.269/.346 | .144 | .254 | 18 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .199/.266/.345 | .146 | .259 | 18 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .186/.263/.326 | .140 | .247 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Greg Bird 2021 · MLB |
28 | 42→46 | 52→55 | 48→30 | 51 | .219/.304/.389 | .170 | .271 | 20 | 5 | 27% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .206/.279/.363 | .157 | .270 | 20 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .184/.260/.333 | .149 | .236 | 20 | 1 | 31% | 8% | 61 | -0.6 |