Garrett Davila

P Harrisburg Senators

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	29	24	126	6.55	4.98	21.0%	10.4%	—	K 17.9% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.94
2024	27	AASEA	44	0	62	3.63	2.29	27.6%	6.7%	—	K 22.3% · BB 7.4% · FIP 3.10
2025	28	MIX2 levels	57	0	56	3.04	2.99	26.3%	11.0%	—	K 21.8% · BB 11.2% · FIP 3.53
2027PROJ	30	MLBWSH	139	0	146	4.41	4.41	22.8%	10.6%	0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBWSH	41	0	43	4.52	4.60	22.3%	10.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	32	MLBWSH	62	0	65	4.68	4.80	21.8%	10.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control47Command45FB velo55

CompsKelvin Marte (age 29) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29) · Danny Wirchansky (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.41

FIP4.41

K%22.8%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%12.2%

Proj IP146

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 146 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4050

CTRL4050

CMD—45

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	12	12	65	268	55	27	2	100%	5.4	14.0%	12.6%	1.4%	1.0%	2.77	4.09	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	12	12	65	268	55	27	2	100%	5.4	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	0.7%	2.77	3.05	—
2017	20	A MLE	Lexington Legends	27	21	126	561	92	50	8	78%	4.7	12.1%	10.5%	1.6%	1.7%	5.08	4.37	—
2017	20	A RAW	Lexington Legends	27	21	126	561	92	50	8	78%	4.7	16.4%	8.9%	7.5%	1.4%	5.08	3.66	—
2018	21	A MLE	Lexington Legends	25	18	107	467	84	49	22	72%	4.3	13.3%	12.4%	0.9%	5.8%	4.21	6.74	—
2018	21	A RAW	Lexington Legends	25	18	107	467	84	49	22	72%	4.3	18.0%	10.5%	7.5%	4.7%	4.21	5.58	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	66	269	54	27	4	0%	1.9	15.6%	11.4%	4.2%	1.8%	3.43	4.24	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	66	269	54	27	4	0%	1.9	20.1%	10.0%	10.0%	1.5%	3.43	3.48	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	29	11	89	401	88	47	7	38%	3.1	17.8%	12.9%	4.9%	2.0%	4.97	4.32	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	29	11	89	401	88	47	7	38%	3.1	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	1.7%	4.97	3.73	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	24	126	576	121	60	23	83%	4.4	17.9%	9.6%	8.3%	3.9%	6.55	4.94	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	24	126	576	121	60	23	83%	4.4	21.0%	10.4%	10.6%	4.0%	6.55	4.98	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	0	62	254	70	17	3	0%	1.4	22.3%	7.4%	15.0%	1.7%	3.63	3.10	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	44	0	62	254	70	17	3	0%	1.4	22.3%	7.4%	15.0%	1.7%	3.63	3.10	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	44	0	62	254	70	17	3	0%	1.4	27.6%	6.7%	20.9%	1.2%	3.63	2.29	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	56	228	60	25	3	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.6%	1.6%	3.04	3.53	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	56	228	60	25	3	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.6%	1.6%	3.04	3.53	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	56	228	60	25	3	0%	1.0	26.3%	11.0%	15.4%	1.3%	3.04	2.99	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	WSH	139	0	146	616	140	65	17	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	2.8%	4.41	4.41	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	WSH	130	0	136	576	128	61	17	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.60	-0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	WSH	120	0	126	533	116	58	17	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.8%	11.0%	3.3%	4.68	4.80	-0.4
2028	31	MLB CTX	WSH	41	0	43	182	41	19	5	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.60	-0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	WSH	62	0	65	274	60	30	9	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.8%	11.0%	3.3%	4.68	4.80	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		102	0	108	454	100	49	14	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.7%	11.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.34	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	91	26	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.7%	11.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		257	86	697	3024	491	333	83	33%	2.7	16.2%	11.0%	5.2%	2.7%	4.53	4.63	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	25	200	868	141	95	24	33%	2.7	16.2%	11.0%	5.2%	2.7%	4.53	4.63	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Davila (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	22.8%	10.6%	2.8%	—	4.70	22.1%	11.4%	263	+0.29	—	—	—
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	67
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	63
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	60
Ryan Verdugo L 2017 · 3.36 FIP	30	SP-	3.36	22.7%	5.4%	2.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	153	60
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	59
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	59
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	58
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	57
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	57
Nick Ramirez L 2019 · 3.94 FIP	29	SU	3.94	22.4%	8.2%	3.1%	.284	3.40	20.5%	13.1%	124	-0.54	2.91	478	55
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	55
Cesár Ramos L 2014 · 3.93 FIP	30	SU	3.93	18.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.256	4.24	16.7%	9.0%	225	+0.31	2.56	463	55
Mike Kickham L 2019 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.311	5.98	18.8%	8.7%	61	+1.86	3.00	397	55
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	55
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	54
Andy Otero L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	30	SW	4.36	14.5%	8.9%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	200	54
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	53
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	53
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	52
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	51

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	136	22.3%	10.7%	1.16	4.53
Juan Nieves ('86-'88, 4 WAR*)	2.5	164	21.2%*	10.1%*	1.03*	4.58*
Jack Bentley ('13-'27, 5 WAR*)	3.6	143	21.1%*	9.8%*	1.35*	4.67*
George Chalmers ('10-'16, 2 WAR*)	3.2	108	20.2%*	10.7%*	1.14*	4.59*
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45
Ian Anderson ('25)	1.4	94	22.2%	10.5%	0.99	4.22