Ke'Bryan Hayes

3B Cincinnati Reds
Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 5.436 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202427MLBPIT396.233/.286/.29041164-0.0
202528MLBCIN570.235/.290/.306512681.2
202629MLBCIN242.141/.194/.2255114-1.8
2027PROJ30MLBCIN386.240/.293/.32667740.5
2028PROJ31MLBCIN371.235/.287/.3145369-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.6  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service5.436First FA2028Options2
2027Ext$9M2028Ext$9M2029Ext$9M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%89
Avg EV54
Bat Spd41
Speed37
xwOBA29
Form.227/.278/.294 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .238/.289/.321
CompsAdrián Sanchez (age 30) · Robert Andino (age 29) · Josh Wilson (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7574vR 71
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .293 / .326
PA386
HR6
SB7
K%19
BB%6
BABIP287
ISO90
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +6.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+7FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.81.60.50.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$14M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
906.0%
xAVG
360.240
POWER40
Barrel%
204.3
Avg EV
5489.4
Bat Spd
4170.4
EYE55
Chase%
8924.0%
SPEED50
Sprint
3726.9
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%21%▼24% over 38 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%6%·5% over 38 PA (60d) · proj 6%
ISO.068▼.000 over 36 AB (60d) · proj .083
BABIP.280▼.111 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .286
SLASH.227/.278/.294▼proj .238/.289/.321
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1018 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
215
803
—
wRC+
83
54
◀◀L
wOBA
292
247
◀◀L
ISO
095
054
◀◀L
BABIP
295
269
◀L
K%
17.7%
19.2%
◀L
BB%
7.0%
5.9%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2020
Service   5.436 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$9M+0.5$2M-$7M
2028Ext$9M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $18M $2M -$15M
Options · projected decision
2030CLUB OPT$8.8M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2031CLUB OPT$12.0M / $6.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201518 ROKGCL Pirates — 175144 48410 22245 71 333439375814 42393 1413 370 80 — — — — — —
201619 AWest Virginia Power — 276247 651216 16516 65 263323393716 130304 186 314 60 — — — — — —
201720 A+Bradenton Marauders — 482421 1171672 41764 275 278348363711 86331 169 313 73 — — — — — —
201821 AAAltoona Curve — 508437 1283177 57844 125 293380444823 151344 1711 361 109 — — — — — —
201922 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 480427 11330210 43905 121 265339415753 150311 199 334 81 — — — — — —
202023 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 483 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202124 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 396362 932026 31871 91 257317373690 116321 228 310 96 -2 +1 +10 +2 +9 2.0
202124 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 2624 6202 270 00 250308583891 333267 278 382 70 — — — — — —
202225 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 560505 1232437 481225 205 244315345660 101307 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202326 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 525494 13431715 281040 106 271310453764 182315 205 334 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202427 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 396365 85904 23754 112 233286290576 58279 196 263 64 -17 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.0
202528 MLBCincinnati Reds — 570527 1241635 361115 123 235290306596 70289 196 272 68 -22 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.2
202629 MLBCincinnati Reds — 242227 32215 13482 10 141194225419 84155 205 194 14 -25 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 27842565 6231091847 18856718 6417 243299354654 112293 207 294 85 -50 +6 +67 +10 +60 9.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201518 ROK MLEGCL Pirates — 175153 41310 13345 71 268345301646 33325 197 287 80 — — — — — —
201619 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 276253 58915 10686 65 229275332607 103271 254 257 60 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLEBradenton Marauders — 482430 1091462 321074 275 253311328639 74314 227 276 73 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 508449 1253067 451034 125 278349419768 140331 209 330 109 — — — — — —
201922 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 480439 1032829 311075 121 235293369662 134282 226 288 81 — — — — — —
202023 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 9587 32725 7201 10 3684216671.088 299450 217 475 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202124 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 396362 921926 31871 91 254315367682 113321 228 310 96 -2 +1 +10 +2 +9 2.0
202124 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 2625 5201 190 00 200231400631 200236 354 272 70 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 560505 1232338 481225 205 244315349664 105307 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 525495 13430716 271040 106 271308457765 186315 205 335 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 396366 85904 22754 112 232283290573 57279 196 262 64 -17 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.0
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 570528 1241635 351115 123 235289305594 70289 196 268 68 -22 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.2
202629 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 242227 32215 13482 10 141194225419 84155 205 189 14 -25 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.8
201518 ROK MLEGCL Pirates — 175153 41310 13345 71 268345301646 33339 197 287 80 — — — — — —
201518 ROK RAWGCL Pirates — 175144 48410 22245 71 333439375814 42393 1413 370 80 — — — — — —
201619 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 276253 58915 10686 65 229275332607 103288 254 257 60 — — — — — —
201619 A RAWWest Virginia Power — 276247 651216 16516 65 263323393716 130304 186 314 60 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLEBradenton Marauders — 482430 1091462 321074 275 253311328639 74329 227 276 73 — — — — — —
201720 A+ RAWBradenton Marauders — 482421 1171672 41764 275 278348363711 86331 169 313 73 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 508449 1253067 451034 125 278349419768 140342 209 330 109 — — — — — —
201821 AA RAWAltoona Curve — 508437 1283177 57844 125 293380444823 151344 1711 361 109 — — — — — —
201922 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 480439 1032829 311075 121 235293369662 134287 226 288 81 — — — — — —
201922 AAA RAWIndianapolis Indians — 480427 11330210 43905 121 265339415753 150311 199 334 81 — — — — — —
202023 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 9587 32725 7201 10 3684216671.088 299435 217 475 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202023 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 483 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202124 MLB MLE2 teams — 422387 982128 32961 91 253312380692 127316 238 308 94 -3 +1 +10 +2 +9 2.0
202124 MLB RAW2 teams — 422386 992228 33941 91 256317386703 130318 228 314 94 -3 +1 +10 +2 +9 2.0
202225 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 560505 1232338 481225 205 244315349664 105305 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202225 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 560505 1232437 481225 205 244315345660 101307 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 525495 13430716 271040 106 271308457765 186312 205 335 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202326 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 525494 13431715 281040 106 271310453764 182315 205 334 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 396366 85904 22754 112 232283290573 57278 196 262 64 -17 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.0
202427 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 396365 85904 23754 112 233286290576 58279 196 263 64 -17 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.0
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 570528 1241635 351115 123 235289305594 70288 196 268 68 -22 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.2
202528 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds — 570527 1241635 361115 123 235290306596 70289 196 272 68 -22 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.2
202629 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 242227 32215 13482 10 141194225419 84155 205 189 14 -25 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.8
202629 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds — 242227 32215 13482 10 141194225419 84155 205 194 14 -25 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.8
201518 ROK MLEGCL Pirates — 175155 41310 13345 71 265345297642 32325 197 287 80 — — — — — —
201619 A MLEWest Virginia Power — 276258 58915 10686 65 225275326601 101271 254 257 60 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLEBradenton Marauders — 482443 1091462 321074 275 246311318629 72314 227 276 73 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 508454 1253067 451034 125 275349414763 139331 209 330 109 — — — — — —
201922 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 480441 1032829 311075 121 234293367660 134282 226 288 81 — — — — — —
202023 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 9587 32725 7201 10 3684216671.088 299450 217 475 207 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLE2 teams — 422386 982128 32961 91 254312381693 127316 238 308 94 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 560502 1232338 481225 205 245315351666 106307 229 300 89 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 525493 13430716 271040 106 272308458767 187315 205 335 113 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 396367 85904 22754 112 232283289572 57279 196 262 64 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 570525 1241635 351115 123 236289307595 70289 196 268 68 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 242225 32215 13482 10 142194227421 84155 205 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 396367 85904 22754 112 232283289572 57279 196 262 64 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 570525 1241635 351115 123 236289307595 70289 196 268 68 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 242225 32215 13482 10 142194227421 84155 205 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLECIN 100% 386357 841025 23753 72 238292321613 83286 196 277 74 -12 +1 +7 +1 +8 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXCIN 100% 386357 861026 23753 72 240293326619 86287 196 279 74 -12 +1 +7 +1 +8 0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLECIN 100% 371343 80925 22743 31 233286310596 77282 206 270 69 -14 +0 +4 +1 +8 -0.1
202831 MLB CTXCIN 100% 371343 81925 22743 31 235287314602 80283 206 272 69 -14 +0 +4 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 31552908 7041182052 21064121 6718 242298350648 108293 207 291 82 -64 +6 +71 +11 +68 9.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 14524411 431324 144 242297351647 109292 207 291 82 -13 +1 +15 +2 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 54885019 12282113884 360114448 13837 245301352654 107299 217 289 82 -76 +7 +78 +13 +77 10.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 14625510 431356 164 246303355658 109300 217 289 82 -14 +1 +14 +2 +14 1.8