Beau Burrows
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 223 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 155 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
K%20.4%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP155
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 194 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p1017.7%
K%
p1013.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.476
CH-2.1
FB-2.6
SL-6.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers | 10 | 9 | 28 | 111 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 90% | 2.8 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 1.61 | 2.96 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers | 10 | 9 | 28 | 111 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 90% | 2.8 | 29.7% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 1.61 | 1.92 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 21 | 20 | 97 | 405 | 67 | 30 | 2 | 95% | 4.6 | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 3.15 | 3.83 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 21 | 20 | 97 | 405 | 67 | 30 | 2 | 95% | 4.6 | 16.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 0.5% | 3.15 | 2.91 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 135 | 551 | 137 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 1.0% | 3.20 | 3.11 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 135 | 551 | 137 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.9% | 8.0% | 16.9% | 1.5% | 3.20 | 2.82 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 26 | 134 | 571 | 127 | 56 | 12 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 4.10 | 4.08 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 26 | 134 | 571 | 127 | 56 | 12 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 4.10 | 3.62 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 17 | 74 | 327 | 69 | 36 | 12 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.84 | 6.17 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 17 | 74 | 327 | 69 | 36 | 12 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 4.80 | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 10.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 5.40 | 8.17 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 10.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 5.40 | 8.50 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 11 | 76 | 347 | 73 | 38 | 19 | 39% | 2.7 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.37 | 5.70 | -0.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 11 | 76 | 347 | 73 | 38 | 19 | 39% | 2.7 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 6.37 | 5.92 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 31 | 16 | 100 | 474 | 95 | 60 | 18 | 52% | 3.2 | 17.6% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.18 | 5.60 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 31 | 16 | 100 | 474 | 95 | 60 | 18 | 52% | 3.2 | 20.0% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 7.18 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 11 | 76 | 339 | 76 | 36 | 13 | 30% | 2.1 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.42 | 5.38 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 11 | 76 | 339 | 76 | 36 | 13 | 30% | 2.1 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 5.42 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 22 | 107 | 21 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.0% | 27.4% | -13.4% | 1.6% | 6.45 | 6.28 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 22 | 107 | 21 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.6% | 20.6% | -0.9% | 3.7% | 6.45 | 6.50 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 37 | 1 | 49 | 192 | 49 | 16 | 7 | 3% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.94 | 5.13 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 37 | 1 | 49 | 192 | 49 | 16 | 7 | 3% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 3.6% | 2.94 | 3.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 31 | 2 | 39 | 158 | 36 | 18 | 7 | 6% | 1.3 | 20.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.23 | 5.60 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 148 | 0 | 155 | 654 | 134 | 77 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.21 | 5.21 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 194 | 812 | 170 | 95 | 31 | — | — | 20.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 4.81 | 5.29 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 16 | 65 | 13 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 20.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.21 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 139 | 0 | 146 | 615 | 122 | 71 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.24 | 5.32 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 129 | 0 | 136 | 574 | 111 | 67 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.34 | 5.47 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 120 | 0 | 126 | 531 | 99 | 63 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.51 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 45 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.24 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 71 | 0 | 75 | 317 | 61 | 37 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.34 | 5.47 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 81 | 0 | 85 | 359 | 67 | 43 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.51 | 5.66 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 229 | 1 | 247 | 1055 | 197 | 124 | 46 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.75 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 1 | 200 | 855 | 160 | 101 | 37 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.75 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| Career | — | 285 | 139 | 838 | 3612 | 647 | 403 | 116 | 49% | 2.9 | 17.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.76 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 33 | 200 | 862 | 154 | 96 | 28 | 49% | 2.9 | 17.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Beau Burrows (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 3.6% | — | 5.47 | 19.3% | 7.6% | 407 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 78 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 70 |
| Seth Simmons R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.36 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .262 | 6.19 | 13.3% | 2.4% | 54 | +1.83 | 3.06 | 251 | 67 |
| Deck McGuire R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.39 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 622 | 66 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 66 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 205 | 65 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 63 |
| Sugar Ray Marimon R 2023 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.08 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 107 | 63 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 63 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 62 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 62 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.52 | 18.0% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 340 | 62 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 61 |
| Brad Allen R 2024 · 6.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.07 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 149 | 61 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 60 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 60 |
| Casey Lawrence R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.55 | 17.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | .307 | 3.92 | 18.1% | 13.7% | 121 | -0.63 | 3.50 | 1,320 | 60 |
| Adam Quintana R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 60 |
| Austin Pruitt R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 20.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | .327 | 4.10 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 95 | -0.02 | 2.95 | 819 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 141 | 19.6% | 11.7% | 1.48 | 5.32 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |