Eduard Bazardo
P
Seattle Mariners
+0.6
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
MLB
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.64
FIP3.86
xFIP4.85
SIERA4.52
K%26.0%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%17.5%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†6060
FB+3.1 (65%)
SI (65%)
SL-1.7 (34%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 1 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 244 | 55 | 16 | 2 | 15.3% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 4.37 | 3.47 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 1 | 17 | 1 | 45 | 171 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 19.1% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.79 | 3.15 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 17 | 2 | 56 | 229 | 67 | 16 | 0 | 19.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 2.41 | 2.53 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Greenville Drive | 5 | 5 | 28 | 114 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 18.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.21 | 3.17 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 38 | 0 | 73 | 297 | 88 | 22 | 3 | 23.3% | 8.3% | 1.2% | 2.21 | 2.86 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 16 | 0 | 18 | 85 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 5.40 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 49 | 4 | 74 | 320 | 71 | 23 | 9 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 3.30 | 4.03 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 49 | 1 | 64 | 268 | 73 | 20 | 4 | 24.6% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 3.53 | 2.82 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 44 | 0 | 49 | 201 | 62 | 20 | 4 | 29.1% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 4.62 | 3.02 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 73 | 0 | 79 | 313 | 82 | 25 | 9 | 26.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 2.52 | 3.43 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 8 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.17 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SEA | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 51 | 17 | 6 | 25.3% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 3.53 | 4.00 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 55 | 232 | 57 | 20 | 6 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 3.20 | 3.45 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 54 | 20 | 6 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 3.85 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 51 | 19 | 6 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 20.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 330 | 27 | 551 | 2272 | 498 | 191 | 40 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 3.04 | 3.27 | +12.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 10 | 200 | 825 | 181 | 69 | 15 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 3.04 | 3.27 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eduard Bazardo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.00 | 25.3% | 8.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.20 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 154 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 82 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 82 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 81 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 81 |
| Tony Barnette R 2028 · 3.05 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.05 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.23 | 2.56 | 144 | 80 |
| Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.48 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .258 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.57 | 2.00 | 380 | 80 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.97 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% | .251 | 4.16 | 22.0% | 17.4% | 50 | +1.19 | 2.97 | 230 | 79 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.44 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .348 | 2.85 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 199 | 79 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 78 |
| Jim Johnson R 2028 · 3.34 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.34 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.67 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.33 | 2.57 | 251 | 78 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 78 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 78 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.55 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .273 | 6.40 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.85 | 3.55 | 155 | 78 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 77 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.24 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .349 | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.70 | 3.05 | 227 | 77 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.34 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 2.0% | .264 | 3.27 | 22.1% | 16.9% | 62 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 333 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 77 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.44 | 2.91 | 210 | 77 |
| Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.63 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 124 | 77 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 2.686 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.3M |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $5M | $7M | +$3M | ||