Reed Garrett
P
New York Mets
Age 33
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9889vR 80
ERA3.79
FIP3.63
K%30.8%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%20.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.9
Whiff%
p8330.5%
K%
p7526.9%
xwOBA vs
p710.292
SL+2.8 (49%)
FB+2.7 (29%)
SI (24%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 140 | 594 | 96 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 12.3% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.58 | 5.21 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 140 | 594 | 96 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 16.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.43 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 18 | 110 | 490 | 86 | 50 | 13 | 62% | 3.8 | 14.7% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 6.24 | 4.89 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 18 | 110 | 490 | 86 | 50 | 13 | 62% | 3.8 | 17.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 6.24 | 4.44 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 44 | 4 | 69 | 296 | 70 | 29 | 10 | 9% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 4.74 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 44 | 4 | 69 | 296 | 70 | 29 | 10 | 9% | 1.6 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 4.22 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 61 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 1.3% | 2.04 | 3.03 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 61 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 6.8% | 17.6% | 1.2% | 2.04 | 2.58 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 56 | 260 | 50 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.82 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 56 | 260 | 50 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 5.82 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 58 | 249 | 59 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.4% | 3.59 | 3.56 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 0 | 58 | 249 | 59 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.4% | 3.59 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 91 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.6% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 2.4% | 4.01 | 3.09 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 91 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.3% | 11.7% | 22.6% | 2.3% | 4.01 | 2.92 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 2 | 56 | 242 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 3% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 2.1% | 3.83 | 3.27 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 2 | 56 | 242 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 3% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 2.1% | 3.83 | 3.19 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 53 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 10.4% | 20.4% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 3.63 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 69 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 2.9% | 3.87 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 60 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 4.11 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 41 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 2.9% | 3.87 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 55 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 4.11 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 42 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 268 | 1 | 290 | 1257 | 341 | 144 | 36 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 3.82 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 185 | 1 | 200 | 869 | 236 | 99 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 403 | 49 | 665 | 2890 | 561 | 299 | 81 | 12% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.31 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 15 | 200 | 869 | 169 | 90 | 24 | 12% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reed Garrett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.63 | 30.8% | 10.4% | 2.6% | — | 4.25 | 29.0% | 17.5% | 148 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 73 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 72 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 72 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 31.1% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .275 | 2.97 | 28.4% | 19.5% | 146 | -0.06 | 1.99 | 488 | 71 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 2.56 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.56 | 26.5% | 10.0% | 0.8% | .352 | 4.00 | 18.1% | 5.2% | 44 | +1.44 | 2.56 | 147 | 69 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 69 |
| C.C. Lee R 2024 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 121 | 69 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2026 · 2.68 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.68 | 26.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | .297 | 2.77 | 25.4% | 18.0% | 31 | +0.09 | 2.68 | 186 | 67 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.94 | 23.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | .211 | 3.93 | 27.5% | 16.8% | 42 | +0.99 | 2.48 | 277 | 67 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 2.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.51 | 25.6% | 7.5% | 1.1% | .309 | 4.25 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 120 | +1.74 | 2.51 | 251 | 67 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.97 | 25.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | .240 | 3.77 | 26.8% | 18.2% | 43 | +0.80 | 2.56 | 268 | 67 |
| Daniel Bard R 2028 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 67 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 2.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.52 | 35.1% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .313 | 2.90 | 35.2% | 23.3% | 155 | +0.38 | 2.52 | 356 | 66 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 65 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 65 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.31 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 126 | -0.11 | 3.65 | 429 | 65 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 65 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 29.4% | 11.2% | 1.19 | 4.05 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |