Reed Garrett — OGILVIE

Reed Garrett P New York Mets

Age 33 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9890vR 82

ERA3.78

FIP3.62

K%30.8%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%20.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD6060

K†7070

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.9

Whiff%

p8330.5%

p7526.9%

xwOBA vs

p710.292

SL+2.8 (49%)

FB+2.7 (29%)

SI (24%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	140	594	96	48	18	100%	5.6	12.3%	9.4%	2.9%	3.7%	4.58	5.26	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	140	594	96	48	18	100%	5.6	16.2%	8.1%	8.1%	3.0%	4.58	4.43	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	18	110	490	86	50	13	62%	3.8	14.7%	11.6%	3.1%	3.1%	6.24	5.02	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	18	110	490	86	50	13	62%	3.8	17.6%	10.2%	7.3%	2.7%	6.24	4.44	—
2017	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	44	4	69	296	70	29	10	9%	1.6	19.2%	10.8%	8.4%	3.7%	4.98	4.89	—
2017	24	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	44	4	69	296	70	29	10	9%	1.6	23.6%	9.8%	13.9%	3.4%	4.98	4.22	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	62	250	61	17	3	0%	1.2	20.2%	7.4%	12.8%	1.3%	2.04	3.06	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	62	250	61	17	3	0%	1.2	24.4%	6.8%	17.6%	1.2%	2.04	2.58	—
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	56	260	50	31	7	0%	1.2	17.4%	12.3%	5.1%	2.9%	5.82	4.78	-0.1
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	56	260	50	31	7	0%	1.2	19.2%	11.9%	7.3%	2.7%	5.82	4.61	-0.0
2022	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	58	249	59	24	6	0%	1.2	23.8%	9.1%	14.7%	2.6%	3.59	3.66	+0.6
2022	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	0	58	249	59	24	6	0%	1.2	23.7%	9.6%	14.1%	2.4%	3.59	3.65	+0.6
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	55	244	55	25	7	0%	1.3	19.8%	9.5%	10.3%	3.0%	4.25	4.29	+0.2
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	55	244	55	25	7	0%	1.3	19.8%	9.5%	10.3%	3.0%	4.25	4.29	+0.2
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	55	244	55	25	7	0%	1.3	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.25	4.12	+0.3
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	61	265	91	31	6	0%	1.1	33.6%	11.7%	21.9%	2.4%	4.01	3.09	+1.1
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	61	265	91	31	6	0%	1.1	33.6%	11.7%	21.9%	2.4%	4.01	3.09	+1.1
2024	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	56	0	61	265	91	31	6	0%	1.1	34.3%	11.7%	22.6%	2.3%	4.01	2.92	+1.2
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	2	56	242	66	24	5	3%	1.0	26.9%	10.1%	16.8%	2.1%	3.83	3.26	+0.9
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	2	56	242	66	24	5	3%	1.0	26.9%	10.1%	16.8%	2.1%	3.83	3.26	+0.9
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	2	56	242	66	24	5	3%	1.0	27.3%	9.9%	17.4%	2.1%	3.83	3.19	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			142	1	157	698	179	80	18	1%	1.1	25.6%	11.5%	14.2%	2.6%	4.76	3.84	+1.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	NYM	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	30.8%	10.4%	20.4%	2.6%	3.78	3.62	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	NYM	52	0	55	231	69	25	7	0%	1.1	29.9%	10.9%	19.0%	2.9%	3.87	3.92	+0.4
2028	35	MLB MLE	NYM	47	0	49	208	60	24	7	0%	1.0	28.9%	11.4%	17.5%	3.2%	4.10	4.26	+0.2
2029	36	MLB MLE	NYM	41	0	44	184	51	22	7	0%	1.1	27.9%	12.0%	15.8%	3.6%	4.42	4.63	-0.0
2027	34	MLB CTX	NYM	50	0	52	220	66	24	6	0%	1.0	29.9%	10.9%	19.0%	2.9%	3.87	3.92	+0.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	NYM	43	0	45	190	55	22	6	0%	1.0	28.9%	11.4%	17.5%	3.2%	4.10	4.26	+0.2
2029	36	MLB CTX	NYM	34	0	36	152	42	18	5	0%	1.1	27.9%	12.0%	15.8%	3.6%	4.42	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		268	1	290	1257	341	144	36	0%	1.1	27.1%	11.4%	15.7%	2.9%	4.45	3.82	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	1	200	869	236	99	25	0%	1.1	27.1%	11.4%	15.7%	2.9%	4.45	3.82	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		403	49	665	2890	559	296	84	12%	1.7	19.3%	10.2%	9.1%	2.9%	4.53	4.36	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	15	200	869	168	89	25	12%	1.7	19.3%	10.2%	9.1%	2.9%	4.53	4.36	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reed Garrett (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.62	30.8%	10.4%	2.6%	—	4.24	29.0%	17.6%	148	+0.62	—	—	—
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	75
Adam Ottavino R 2019 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	31.1%	13.1%	1.7%	.275	2.98	28.4%	19.5%	146	-0.06	2.10	488	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	73
Bud Norris R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	33	SU	3.65	27.3%	7.3%	3.5%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	316	72
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	71
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	70
Pedro Strop R 2018 · 2.99 FIP	33	SU	2.99	23.7%	7.5%	1.7%	.211	4.05	27.5%	16.8%	42	+1.06	2.56	277	70
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	70
David Hernandez R 2018 · 2.94 FIP	33	SU	2.94	25.6%	6.3%	2.2%	.240	3.72	26.8%	18.2%	43	+0.78	2.60	268	70
Jim Johnson R 2016 · 2.56 FIP	33	SU	2.56	25.6%	7.5%	1.2%	.309	4.20	20.1%	11.9%	120	+1.64	2.56	251	70
Brandon Morrow R 2017 · 2.67 FIP	33	SU	2.67	26.5%	5.1%	2.1%	.297	2.82	25.4%	18.0%	31	+0.15	2.67	186	69
C.C. Lee R 2018 · 3.03 FIP	31	SU	3.03	34.7%	9.1%	3.1%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	121	69
Carlos Fisher R 2016 · 2.48 FIP	33	SU	2.48	26.5%	10.0%	0.6%	.352	3.91	18.1%	5.2%	44	+1.43	2.48	147	68
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	67
Fernando Cruz R 2023 · 2.50 FIP	33	SU	2.50	35.1%	10.0%	2.0%	.313	3.21	34.3%	22.3%	169	+0.71	2.50	371	67
Brad Brach R 2019 · 3.43 FIP	33	SU	3.43	24.8%	12.0%	1.7%	.356	4.65	23.0%	9.8%	66	+1.22	2.69	410	66
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	66
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	66
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	3.13	352	65
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	51	29.4%	11.1%	1.18	4.02
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87