Sean Reid-Foley
P
Reno Aces
Age 30
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 152 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142132vR 123
ERA4.87
FIP5.46
K%25.6%
BB%19.4%
K-BB%6.1%
ROS IP153
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 152 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p7629.4%
K%
p8027.8%
xwOBA vs
p900.273
FB+2.6 (68%)
CH+0.9 (20%)
SL (12%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 96 | 441 | 125 | 67 | 4 | 100% | 3.8 | 21.2% | 17.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 4.22 | 4.18 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 96 | 441 | 125 | 67 | 4 | 100% | 3.8 | 28.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 0.9% | 4.22 | 3.13 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 115 | 452 | 130 | 38 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 1.3% | 2.81 | 3.21 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 115 | 452 | 130 | 38 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 28.8% | 8.4% | 20.4% | 0.9% | 2.81 | 2.28 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 27 | 27 | 133 | 590 | 122 | 53 | 22 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.09 | 4.79 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 27 | 27 | 133 | 590 | 122 | 53 | 22 | 100% | 4.9 | 20.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 5.09 | 4.62 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 31 | 163 | 690 | 192 | 71 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 2.1% | 3.64 | 3.56 | +3.5 |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 31 | 163 | 690 | 192 | 71 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 27.8% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 2.0% | 3.64 | 3.17 | +4.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 25 | 121 | 564 | 133 | 86 | 18 | 86% | 4.2 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.89 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 25 | 121 | 564 | 133 | 86 | 18 | 86% | 4.2 | 23.6% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.89 | 4.97 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 5 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 1.35 | 3.52 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 5 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 1.35 | 3.55 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 1 | 34 | 146 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 4% | 1.4 | 28.3% | 7.6% | 20.7% | 3.3% | 3.93 | 3.48 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 1 | 34 | 146 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 4% | 1.4 | 32.2% | 10.3% | 21.9% | 2.7% | 3.93 | 3.19 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 7 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 7 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 30 | 2 | 30 | 121 | 49 | 17 | 5 | 7% | 1.0 | 33.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 6.4% | 3.94 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 30 | 2 | 30 | 121 | 49 | 17 | 5 | 7% | 1.0 | 40.5% | 14.0% | 26.4% | 4.1% | 3.94 | 3.71 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 32 | 0 | 29 | 129 | 35 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 3.37 | 2.72 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 32 | 0 | 29 | 129 | 35 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.1% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 0.8% | 3.37 | 3.41 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Reno Aces | 31 | 0 | 28 | 153 | 39 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 22.6% | -0.2% | 4.4% | 7.07 | 6.51 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Reno Aces | 31 | 0 | 28 | 153 | 39 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.5% | 21.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 7.07 | 6.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 157 | 0 | 165 | 697 | 178 | 135 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 19.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 5.46 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 147 | 0 | 154 | 650 | 161 | 129 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 19.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.36 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 136 | 0 | 142 | 601 | 144 | 121 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 20.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.71 | 5.95 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 60 | 48 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 19.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.36 | 5.69 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 74 | 0 | 78 | 329 | 79 | 66 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 20.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.71 | 5.95 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 200 | 13 | 267 | 1160 | 290 | 195 | 35 | 6% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.75 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 10 | 200 | 870 | 217 | 146 | 26 | 7% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 262 | 132 | 766 | 3360 | 748 | 441 | 85 | 50% | 2.9 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.28 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 34 | 200 | 878 | 195 | 115 | 22 | 50% | 2.9 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Reid-Foley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.46 | 25.6% | 19.4% | 3.1% | — | 5.81 | 24.4% | 4.4% | 296 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 58 |
| Deck McGuire R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.39 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 622 | 54 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 49 |
| Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 48 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.90 | 20.9% | 18.8% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 200 | 48 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 47 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 47 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.69 | 16.2% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .281 | 3.58 | 33.6% | 23.7% | 41 | -1.11 | 3.57 | 291 | 47 |
| Mark Appel R 2026 · 5.85 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.85 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 3.8% | .260 | 4.17 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 40 | -1.68 | 4.17 | 363 | 47 |
| Jimmy Nelson R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.37 | 26.9% | 14.6% | 3.1% | .329 | 1.32 | 37.9% | 26.7% | 29 | -3.05 | 1.32 | 650 | 47 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 46 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 46 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.76 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.91 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 25 | -0.85 | 2.82 | 536 | 46 |
| Grant Black R 2025 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 44 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 44 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 43 |
| Dillon Gee R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.07 | 16.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | .302 | 3.88 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 127 | -1.19 | 3.62 | 380 | 43 |
| Nick Martinez R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.44 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .273 | 3.63 | 19.7% | 14.0% | 418 | -0.81 | 2.97 | 1,073 | 43 |
| Derek Eitel R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 42 |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 42 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 154 | 24.8% | 19.8% | 1.27 | 5.29 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |