Sean Reid-Foley — OGILVIE

Sean Reid-Foley P Reno Aces

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA4.57

FIP5.06

K%25.3%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p7629.4%

p8027.8%

xwOBA vs

p900.273

FB+2.6 (68%)

CH+0.9 (20%)

SL (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	96	441	125	67	4	100%	3.8	21.2%	17.8%	3.4%	1.1%	4.22	4.19	—
2015	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	96	441	125	67	4	100%	3.8	28.3%	15.2%	13.2%	0.9%	4.22	3.13	—
2016	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	115	452	130	38	4	100%	5.5	21.8%	9.8%	11.9%	1.2%	2.81	3.16	—
2016	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	115	452	130	38	4	100%	5.5	28.8%	8.4%	20.4%	0.9%	2.81	2.28	—
2017	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	27	27	133	590	122	53	22	100%	4.9	16.7%	9.9%	6.9%	3.8%	5.09	5.05	—
2017	21	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	27	27	133	590	122	53	22	100%	4.9	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.7%	5.09	4.62	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	31	163	690	192	71	14	100%	5.3	24.7%	10.8%	13.9%	2.2%	3.64	3.57	+2.6
2018	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	31	163	690	192	71	14	100%	5.3	27.8%	10.3%	17.5%	2.0%	3.64	3.17	+3.5
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	25	121	564	133	86	18	86%	4.2	21.3%	15.8%	5.5%	3.4%	5.89	5.18	-0.4
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	25	121	564	133	86	18	86%	4.2	23.6%	15.2%	8.3%	3.2%	5.89	4.97	-0.1
2020	24	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	5	0	7	30	6	5	0	0%	1.3	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	1.35	3.52	+0.1
2020	24	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	5	0	7	30	6	5	0	0%	1.3	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	1.35	3.55	+0.1
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	34	146	47	15	4	4%	1.4	28.3%	7.6%	20.7%	3.3%	3.93	3.47	+0.4
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	1	34	146	47	15	4	4%	1.4	32.2%	10.3%	21.9%	2.7%	3.93	3.19	+0.6
2022	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	7	0	10	44	8	7	1	0%	1.4	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	2.3%	5.40	4.83	-0.0
2022	26	MLB RAW	New York Mets	7	0	10	44	8	7	1	0%	1.4	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	2.3%	5.40	4.90	-0.0
2023	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	30	2	30	121	49	17	5	7%	1.0	31.7%	13.2%	18.5%	6.5%	3.94	5.64	-0.4
2023	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	30	2	30	121	49	17	5	7%	1.0	31.7%	13.2%	18.5%	6.5%	3.94	5.64	-0.4
2023	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	30	2	30	121	49	17	5	7%	1.0	40.5%	14.0%	26.4%	4.1%	3.94	3.71	+0.3
2024	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	0	29	129	35	22	1	0%	0.9	27.8%	15.6%	12.2%	0.0%	3.37	2.72	+0.6
2024	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	0	29	129	35	22	1	0%	0.9	27.8%	15.6%	12.2%	0.0%	3.37	2.72	+0.6
2024	28	MIX RAW	4 levels	32	0	29	129	35	22	1	0%	0.9	27.1%	17.1%	10.1%	0.8%	3.37	3.41	+0.4
2025	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	31	0	28	153	39	33	5	0%	0.9	21.2%	19.4%	1.7%	4.0%	7.07	5.95	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	31	0	28	153	39	33	5	0%	0.9	21.2%	19.4%	1.7%	4.0%	7.07	5.95	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	31	0	28	153	39	33	5	0%	0.9	25.5%	21.6%	3.9%	3.3%	7.07	6.17	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			71	13	132	590	151	81	15	18%	1.9	25.6%	13.7%	11.9%	2.5%	4.10	4.13	+0.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	ARI	12	0	13	55	14	9	2	0%	1.1	25.3%	16.5%	8.8%	3.0%	4.57	5.06	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	ARI	147	0	154	650	160	110	21	0%	1.0	24.6%	16.9%	7.7%	3.2%	5.00	5.29	-1.3
2028	32	MLB MLE	ARI	136	0	142	601	143	104	21	0%	1.0	23.8%	17.3%	6.5%	3.4%	5.33	5.55	-1.6
2027	31	MLB CTX	ARI	54	0	57	241	59	41	8	0%	1.1	24.6%	16.9%	7.7%	3.2%	5.00	5.29	-0.5
2028	32	MLB CTX	ARI	74	0	78	329	78	57	11	0%	1.1	23.8%	17.3%	6.5%	3.4%	5.33	5.55	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		200	13	267	1160	288	179	34	6%	1.3	24.9%	15.4%	9.5%	2.9%	4.65	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		150	10	200	870	216	134	25	7%	1.3	24.9%	15.4%	9.5%	2.9%	4.65	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		262	132	766	3360	743	434	87	50%	2.9	22.1%	12.9%	9.2%	2.6%	4.34	4.29	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	34	200	878	194	113	23	50%	2.9	22.1%	12.9%	9.2%	2.6%	4.34	4.29	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Reid-Foley (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	25.3%	16.5%	3.0%	—	5.41	24.2%	7.1%	296	+0.35	—	—	—
Burch Smith R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	29	SW	3.96	22.6%	12.3%	2.2%	.271	4.19	14.9%	9.0%	43	+0.23	3.50	382	61
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	60
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	56
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	53
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	52
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	30	SW	4.09	13.7%	8.7%	1.9%	.270	3.53	19.1%	10.5%	220	-0.56	3.13	593	51
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	50
Mike Bolsinger R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	29	SW	4.26	20.2%	9.4%	3.0%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	327	49
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	49
Spencer Bivens R 2023 · 3.91 FIP	29	SU	3.91	18.6%	10.6%	1.9%	.285	3.98	17.8%	11.2%	254	+0.07	3.52	390	49
Aaron Wilkerson R 2019 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	20.9%	9.8%	3.8%	.291	3.33	24.6%	19.0%	112	-1.34	2.75	902	49
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	48
Jared Mortensen R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	28	SU	4.99	20.9%	18.8%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	200	48
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	47
Dillon Gee R 2016 · 5.10 FIP	30	SW	5.10	16.2%	6.2%	4.7%	.302	3.85	18.0%	12.1%	127	-1.25	3.67	380	47
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	47
Neftalí Feliz R 2018 · 4.74 FIP	30	SW	4.74	16.2%	13.7%	2.3%	.281	3.61	33.6%	23.7%	41	-1.13	3.54	291	47
Mark Appel R 2021 · 5.90 FIP	30	SP-	5.90	15.6%	15.6%	3.9%	.260	4.22	18.5%	8.1%	40	-1.68	4.22	363	47
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	47
Raynel Espinal R 2022 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	23.9%	10.5%	3.6%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	507	47

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	154	24.6%	16.9%	1.23	4.95
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58