Josh Maciejewski P Nashville Sounds
Age 30 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108118vR 127
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
K%17.5%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%6.7%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
K: -2.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -1.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +4.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: -0.03 (67 IP)-0.0WAR
0.2-0.1-0.22628
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†4040
CH+0.7 (46%)
SL+0.6 (11%)
FB (43%)
SI (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201822ROKGCL Yankees East1502611135730%1.721.4%7.9%13.6%3.8%3.814.36
201822ROKGCL Yankees East1502611135730%1.731.5%6.3%25.2%2.7%3.812.72
201923MIX3 levels87421683117488%5.212.9%12.1%0.8%2.9%2.575.16
201923MIX3 levels87421683117488%5.218.5%10.1%8.3%2.4%2.574.08
202125MIX2 levels2217101433105341677%4.619.0%8.8%10.2%4.3%4.535.00
202125MIX2 levels2217101433105341677%4.624.2%7.9%16.4%3.7%4.534.09
202226MIX2 levels152371575014313%2.526.8%9.1%17.7%1.6%3.652.84
202226MIX2 levels152371575014313%2.531.8%8.9%22.9%1.9%3.652.59
202327MIX3 levels30046201461630%1.519.0%8.6%10.4%1.7%2.963.54
202327MIX3 levels30046201461630%1.522.9%8.0%14.9%1.5%2.962.99
202428MIX3 levels30138035381311143%2.719.6%9.4%10.2%3.2%5.404.40+0.5
202428MIX3 levels30138035381311143%2.722.9%8.8%14.2%3.1%5.404.03+0.9
202529MIX2 levels356703056630517%2.018.4%10.5%8.0%1.5%5.303.68
202529MIX2 levels356703056630517%2.021.6%9.8%11.8%1.6%5.303.43
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBMIL65068287503170%1.017.5%10.8%6.7%2.5%4.764.76-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBMIL60063267472970%1.117.7%11.0%6.7%2.8%4.834.91-0.2
202832MLBMIL56059247442880%1.017.6%11.3%6.4%3.1%4.975.10-0.4
202731MLBMIL2202397171130%1.017.7%11.0%6.7%2.8%4.834.91-0.1
202832MLBMIL30032135241540%1.117.6%11.3%6.4%3.1%4.975.10-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career57063262482880%1.118.5%10.8%7.7%3.0%4.654.56+0.0
/ 200 IP182020083615389260%1.118.5%10.8%7.7%3.0%4.654.56+2.0
Career1554540217283331645029%2.619.3%9.5%9.8%2.9%4.324.25+5.4
/ 200 IP7722200860166822529%2.619.3%9.5%9.8%2.9%4.324.25+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Josh Maciejewski (OGILVIE) 4.76 17.5%10.8%2.5% 5.00 17.7%6.5%122 +0.24
Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP 29 SW 4.87 16.1%11.4%3.1%.300 5.18 12.0%1.2%71 +0.31 3.50 360 74
Aaron Laffey L 2026 · 4.04 FIP 30 SW 4.04 13.5%9.7%1.6%.318 4.37 12.5%5.2%192 +0.33 3.53 282 70
Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP 29 SW 4.46 17.7%10.1%2.8%.333 3.78 277 70
Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP 29 SU 4.83 20.2%9.6%4.0%.301 2.68 175 69
Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP 28 SU 4.73 13.8%8.0%3.2%.294 3.00 200 68
Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.4%12.4%3.4%.299 4.70 22.5%11.9%154 +0.08 4.40 713 67
Kyle Hunter L 2024 · 4.47 FIP 28 SU 4.47 14.0%6.1%3.2%.335 4.44 188 67
Matt Moore L 2025 · 4.79 FIP 29 SW 4.79 18.3%8.5%3.9%.334 5.49 19.6%8.8%92 +0.70 2.82 845 66
Justin Marks L 2025 · 3.84 FIP 29 SW 3.84 18.7%11.0%1.7%.317 3.75 324 66
Hector Hernandez L 2024 · 3.57 FIP 28 SW 3.57 20.2%9.0%1.9%.290 2.17 121 64
Andy Otero L 2026 · 4.38 FIP 30 SW 4.38 14.5%8.9%2.5%.308 2.85 200 64
Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP 32 SP- 4.48 22.7%13.1%3.0%.321 4.52 22.0%7.0%95 +0.04 2.97 294 63
David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP 30 SW 3.63 17.1%3.8%2.7%.271 4.00 19.5%14.6%52 +0.37 3.63 158 62
Mike Montgomery L 2026 · 5.32 FIP 30 SW 5.32 17.2%8.2%4.8%.337 4.73 15.6%4.4%86 -0.59 3.36 764 61
Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.37 FIP 29 SW 5.37 15.7%10.7%4.1%.272 5.27 128 61
Mike Kickham L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 30 SW 4.00 19.3%9.6%2.4%.311 5.91 18.8%8.7%61 +1.91 3.00 368 61
Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP 29 SU 4.73 19.8%13.3%3.0%.348 3.33 228 61
Travis Blackley L 2028 · 4.97 FIP 32 SP- 4.97 15.4%6.4%4.3%.324 4.50 10.5%0.0%137 -0.47 3.84 225 61
Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP 31 SU 4.13 22.1%14.3%2.0%.290 3.06 145 61
Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36317.6%11.0%1.074.85
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07