Jordan Holloway — OGILVIE

Jordan Holloway P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 30 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.99

FIP6.03

K%22.8%

BB%22.5%

K-BB%0.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p6227.2%

p5322.8%

xwOBA vs

p510.311

FB-0.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	2	2	9	39	4	6	0	100%	4.5	10.3%	15.4%	-5.1%	0.0%	7.00	4.18	—
2015	19	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	2	2	9	39	4	6	0	100%	4.5	10.3%	15.4%	-5.1%	0.0%	7.00	4.21	—
2016	20	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	8	8	31	139	24	15	8	100%	3.8	12.8%	12.7%	0.0%	5.4%	6.16	6.61	—
2016	20	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	8	8	31	139	24	15	8	100%	3.8	17.3%	10.8%	6.5%	5.8%	6.16	6.39	—
2017	21	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	11	11	50	213	50	22	10	100%	4.5	17.4%	12.2%	5.2%	5.2%	5.22	6.05	—
2017	21	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	11	11	50	213	50	22	10	100%	4.5	23.5%	10.3%	13.1%	4.7%	5.22	5.02	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	3	3	3	14	5	0	0	100%	0.9	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	0.0%	0.00	0.08	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	3	3	3	14	5	0	0	100%	0.9	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	0.0%	0.00	-0.65	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	21	95	422	93	66	6	100%	4.5	17.0%	18.0%	-1.0%	2.2%	4.45	5.16	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	21	21	95	422	93	66	6	100%	4.5	22.0%	15.6%	6.4%	1.4%	4.45	4.05	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	1	0	0	4	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.27	-0.0
2020	24	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	1	0	0	4	0	1	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	12.10	-0.0
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	12	69	306	67	41	8	52%	3.0	21.1%	13.9%	7.1%	3.2%	4.67	4.85	+0.0
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	12	69	306	67	41	8	52%	3.0	21.9%	13.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.67	4.44	+0.4
2022	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	12	5	26	114	36	21	5	42%	2.2	27.1%	21.5%	5.5%	5.5%	5.81	6.54	-0.6
2022	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	12	5	26	114	36	21	5	42%	2.2	31.6%	18.4%	13.2%	4.4%	5.81	5.23	-0.2
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	32	166	54	40	5	0%	0.9	25.9%	23.1%	2.8%	3.3%	7.11	5.66	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	32	166	54	40	5	0%	0.9	25.9%	23.1%	2.8%	3.3%	7.11	5.66	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	32	166	54	40	5	0%	0.9	32.5%	24.1%	8.4%	3.0%	7.11	5.53	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	35	0	32	179	43	48	5	0%	0.9	19.9%	24.1%	-4.2%	2.7%	10.02	5.95	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	35	0	32	179	43	48	5	0%	0.9	19.9%	24.1%	-4.2%	2.7%	10.02	5.95	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	35	0	32	179	43	48	5	0%	0.9	24.0%	26.8%	-2.8%	2.8%	10.02	6.90	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	22	100	25	18	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	19.7%	-0.1%	1.2%	3.68	4.61	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	22	100	25	18	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	19.7%	-0.1%	1.2%	3.68	4.61	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	22	100	25	18	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	18.0%	7.0%	1.0%	3.68	3.87	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	4	39	173	38	28	3	27%	2.6	22.0%	16.2%	5.8%	1.7%	3.92	4.31	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	LAA	5	0	5	21	5	5	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	22.5%	0.3%	3.0%	5.99	6.03	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	LAA	51	0	54	227	50	49	7	0%	1.1	22.1%	21.6%	0.6%	3.2%	5.98	6.09	-0.9
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAA	47	0	50	210	45	44	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	21.0%	0.4%	3.4%	6.07	6.21	-0.9
2027	31	MLB CTX	LAA	16	0	17	72	16	15	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	21.6%	0.6%	3.2%	5.98	6.09	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAA	25	0	26	110	24	23	4	0%	1.0	21.4%	21.0%	0.4%	3.4%	6.07	6.21	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	4	81	352	77	66	9	7%	1.5	21.8%	18.8%	3.1%	2.5%	5.02	5.03	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		136	10	200	865	189	162	22	7%	1.5	21.8%	18.8%	3.1%	2.5%	5.02	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		174	62	369	1696	329	295	56	36%	2.1	19.4%	17.4%	2.0%	3.3%	5.53	5.46	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	34	200	918	178	160	30	36%	2.1	19.4%	17.4%	2.0%	3.3%	5.53	5.46	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Holloway (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.03	22.8%	22.5%	3.0%	—	6.15	21.8%	0.5%	104	+0.12	—	—	—
Jared Mortensen R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	28	SU	4.99	20.9%	18.8%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	200	68
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	67
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2021 · 5.48 FIP	30	SU	5.48	19.6%	19.2%	2.9%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	132	61
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	60
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	60
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	60
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	60
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	60
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.81	18.7%	8.9%	101	-2.15	2.51	309	57
Jackson Rees R 2023 · 5.19 FIP	29	SU	5.19	22.9%	21.1%	2.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	1.90	103	54
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	54
Jaye Chapman R 2017 · 5.51 FIP	30	SU	5.51	13.0%	13.4%	3.3%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.25	150	54
Tyler Thornburg R 2019 · 6.31 FIP	30	SU	6.31	23.1%	14.3%	6.1%	.330	3.83	17.5%	6.3%	33	-2.48	2.56	301	54
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	54
Andrew Bechtold R 2023 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	14.0%	22.7%	1.1%	.389	4.22	19.1%	7.4%	86	-1.21	3.56	104	53
Phillippe Aumont R 2018 · 5.05 FIP	29	SU	5.05	22.8%	10.5%	4.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	147	53
Jordan Brink R 2023 · 5.28 FIP	30	SU	5.28	14.8%	15.6%	2.6%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	53
Mark Appel R 2021 · 5.90 FIP	30	SP-	5.90	15.6%	15.6%	3.9%	.260	4.22	18.5%	8.1%	40	-1.68	4.22	363	53
Rene Coss R 2017 · 5.05 FIP	28	SU	5.05	12.6%	11.5%	2.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	123	52
Brandon Cunniff R 2019 · 6.80 FIP	30	SU	6.80	13.9%	15.8%	5.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	180	51

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	22.2%	21.7%	1.23	6.01
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91