Jordan Holloway
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 30
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140130vR 121
ERA6.17
FIP6.23
K%23.4%
BB%24.7%
K-BB%-1.3%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6295.4
Whiff%
p6227.2%
K%
p5322.8%
xwOBA vs
p510.311
FB-0.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 4.5 | 10.3% | 15.4% | -5.1% | 0.0% | 7.00 | 4.18 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 4.5 | 10.3% | 15.4% | -5.1% | 0.0% | 7.00 | 4.21 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 8 | 8 | 31 | 139 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 100% | 3.8 | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 6.16 | 5.97 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 8 | 8 | 31 | 139 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 100% | 3.8 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.16 | 6.39 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 11 | 11 | 50 | 213 | 50 | 22 | 10 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.22 | 5.69 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 11 | 11 | 50 | 213 | 50 | 22 | 10 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 5.22 | 5.02 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 0.9 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.08 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 0.9 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.65 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 21 | 95 | 422 | 93 | 66 | 6 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 5.56 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 21 | 95 | 422 | 93 | 66 | 6 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.0% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 4.45 | 4.05 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 25.0% | -25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 6.27 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 25.0% | -25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 12.10 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 12 | 69 | 306 | 67 | 41 | 8 | 52% | 3.0 | 21.1% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.67 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 12 | 69 | 306 | 67 | 41 | 8 | 52% | 3.0 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.67 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 5 | 26 | 114 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 42% | 2.2 | 27.1% | 21.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.81 | 6.45 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 5 | 26 | 114 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 42% | 2.2 | 31.6% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 5.81 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 32 | 166 | 54 | 40 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.5% | 27.0% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 7.11 | 5.80 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 32 | 166 | 54 | 40 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.5% | 24.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 7.11 | 5.53 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 35 | 0 | 32 | 179 | 43 | 48 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.1% | 28.2% | -7.0% | 2.4% | 10.02 | 6.19 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 35 | 0 | 32 | 179 | 43 | 48 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.0% | 26.8% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 10.02 | 6.90 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 22 | 100 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 19.7% | -0.1% | 1.2% | 3.68 | 4.59 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 22 | 100 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 3.68 | 3.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 57 | 60 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 24.7% | -1.3% | 2.9% | 6.17 | 6.23 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 51 | 53 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 23.5% | -0.9% | 3.1% | 6.15 | 6.27 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 46 | 48 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 22.8% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 6.23 | 6.38 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 23.5% | -0.9% | 3.1% | 6.15 | 6.27 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 22.8% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 6.23 | 6.38 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 55 | 4 | 81 | 352 | 78 | 69 | 9 | 7% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 19.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 10 | 200 | 865 | 192 | 170 | 22 | 7% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 19.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.11 | 5.12 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 62 | 369 | 1696 | 334 | 309 | 55 | 36% | 2.1 | 19.7% | 18.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 34 | 200 | 918 | 181 | 167 | 30 | 36% | 2.1 | 19.7% | 18.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Holloway (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.23 | 23.4% | 24.7% | 2.9% | — | 6.32 | 22.3% | -0.9% | 104 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Dustin McGowan R 2029 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 65 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.61 | 17.8% | 17.5% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 185 | 65 |
| Grant Black R 2025 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 62 |
| Mitchell Osnowitz R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.34 | 19.6% | 19.2% | 2.7% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.47 | 132 | 61 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.33 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 254 | 59 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2024 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 59 |
| Deck McGuire R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.39 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 622 | 59 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.70 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 4.5% | .261 | 3.75 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 101 | -1.95 | 2.59 | 309 | 58 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.86 | 15.4% | 16.4% | 3.6% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 207 | 58 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 58 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.77 | 18.6% | 19.3% | 3.3% | .238 | 5.06 | 18.9% | 3.2% | 33 | -0.71 | 4.11 | 563 | 58 |
| Tyler Thornburg R 2026 · 6.13 FIP | 30 | SU | 6.13 | 23.1% | 14.3% | 5.8% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 33 | -2.24 | 2.67 | 301 | 55 |
| Jackson Rees R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.65 | 24.2% | 24.6% | 2.7% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.86 | 103 | 55 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.34 | 13.0% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 150 | 53 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.27 | 8.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .365 | 4.44 | 11.4% | 3.1% | 109 | -0.83 | 4.15 | 152 | 53 |
| Jordan Brink R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.05 | 14.8% | 15.6% | 2.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 52 |
| Mark Appel R 2026 · 5.85 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.85 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 3.8% | .260 | 4.17 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 40 | -1.68 | 4.17 | 363 | 52 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 52 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.38 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 4.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 281 | 51 |
| Wyatt Mills R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.40 | 19.1% | 13.5% | 4.0% | .207 | 2.17 | 30.2% | 17.4% | 33 | -3.23 | 2.17 | 308 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 22.7% | 23.7% | 1.21 | 6.18 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |