Jeff Hoffman
P
Toronto Blue Jays
Age 33
RHP
6'5" / 235 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8677vR 67
ERA2.91
FIP3.07
K%33.0%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%25.5%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7996.6
Whiff%
p9036.9%
K%
p9034.8%
xwOBA vs
p900.274
SL (41%)
SI (5%)
CH-1.2 (22%)
FB-3.1 (37%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 104 | 415 | 75 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 3.03 | 3.76 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 104 | 415 | 75 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 1.7% | 3.03 | 3.28 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 150 | 659 | 146 | 60 | 18 | 93% | 5.0 | 19.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 4.20 | 3.78 | +2.8 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 150 | 659 | 146 | 60 | 18 | 93% | 5.0 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 3.91 | +2.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 26 | 149 | 659 | 129 | 58 | 18 | 79% | 4.5 | 18.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 5.50 | 3.81 | +2.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 26 | 149 | 659 | 129 | 58 | 18 | 79% | 4.5 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 4.11 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 23 | 117 | 509 | 109 | 53 | 9 | 82% | 4.2 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 5.29 | 3.72 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 23 | 117 | 509 | 109 | 53 | 9 | 82% | 4.2 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 5.29 | 3.59 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 31 | 155 | 709 | 166 | 61 | 40 | 97% | 4.9 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 4.6% | 7.18 | 4.90 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 31 | 155 | 709 | 166 | 61 | 40 | 97% | 4.9 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 5.6% | 7.18 | 5.49 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 16 | 0 | 21 | 104 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 9.28 | 3.66 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 16 | 0 | 21 | 104 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 9.28 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 16 | 91 | 411 | 104 | 48 | 17 | 44% | 2.5 | 24.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.34 | 4.39 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 16 | 91 | 411 | 104 | 48 | 17 | 44% | 2.5 | 25.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 4.34 | 4.82 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 35 | 1 | 45 | 197 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 3% | 1.3 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 3.83 | 3.91 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 35 | 1 | 45 | 197 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 3% | 1.3 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | 3.83 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 61 | 247 | 85 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.2% | 8.7% | 24.5% | 1.4% | 3.08 | 2.16 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 61 | 247 | 85 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.4% | 10.1% | 24.3% | 1.6% | 3.08 | 2.40 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 68 | 0 | 66 | 265 | 89 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.6% | 5.7% | 27.9% | 2.2% | 2.17 | 2.18 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 68 | 0 | 66 | 265 | 89 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.6% | 5.7% | 27.9% | 2.3% | 2.17 | 2.27 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 71 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 84 | 26 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 9.1% | 20.2% | 5.2% | 4.37 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 71 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 84 | 26 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 9.1% | 20.2% | 5.2% | 4.37 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 44 | 0 | 41 | 184 | 64 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.8% | 6.0% | 28.8% | 2.2% | 4.57 | 2.11 | +1.2 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.0% | 7.5% | 25.5% | 3.3% | 2.91 | 3.07 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.0% | 7.5% | 25.5% | 3.3% | 2.91 | 3.07 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 59 | 260 | 89 | 17 | 6 | — | — | 34.3% | 6.4% | 27.8% | 2.5% | 4.07 | 2.40 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 59 | 250 | 89 | 17 | 6 | — | — | 35.6% | 6.7% | 28.9% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 2.37 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 73 | 18 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 8.0% | 23.8% | 3.6% | 3.58 | 3.76 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 46 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 63 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.8% | 8.5% | 22.3% | 3.9% | 3.89 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 9.1% | 20.7% | 4.3% | 4.24 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 73 | 18 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 8.0% | 23.8% | 3.6% | 3.58 | 3.76 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 63 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 8.5% | 22.3% | 3.9% | 3.89 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 9.1% | 20.7% | 4.3% | 4.24 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 527 | 50 | 740 | 3216 | 842 | 293 | 117 | 9% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 3.7% | 4.53 | 4.05 | +11.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 142 | 14 | 200 | 869 | 228 | 79 | 32 | 9% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 3.7% | 4.53 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 476 | 145 | 1070 | 4646 | 1053 | 421 | 125 | 30% | 2.2 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 4.75 | 3.81 | +19.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 27 | 200 | 868 | 197 | 79 | 23 | 30% | 2.2 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 4.75 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeff Hoffman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.89 | 31.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | — | 4.08 | 30.9% | 22.4% | 145 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| C.C. Lee R 2024 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 121 | 64 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 63 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2026 · 2.68 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.68 | 26.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | .297 | 2.77 | 25.4% | 18.0% | 31 | +0.09 | 2.68 | 186 | 62 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.97 | 25.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | .240 | 3.77 | 26.8% | 18.2% | 43 | +0.80 | 2.56 | 268 | 59 |
| Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.14 | 30.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | .314 | 2.42 | 27.1% | 24.7% | 117 | -0.72 | 1.76 | 416 | 58 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 58 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 58 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 33.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 291 | 58 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 2.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.77 | 32.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .244 | 3.73 | 32.0% | 24.0% | 12 | +0.96 | 1.99 | 494 | 58 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.31 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 126 | -0.11 | 3.65 | 429 | 58 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 31.1% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .275 | 2.97 | 28.4% | 19.5% | 146 | -0.06 | 1.99 | 488 | 57 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 56 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.09 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .305 | 5.10 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.01 | 2.74 | 239 | 56 |
| Ryan Madson R 2027 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 56 |
| Daniel Bard R 2028 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 56 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 55 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.11 | 29.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | .268 | 3.38 | 24.9% | 18.5% | 113 | -0.73 | 2.49 | 417 | 55 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 55 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.94 | 23.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | .211 | 3.93 | 27.5% | 16.8% | 42 | +0.99 | 2.48 | 277 | 54 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 54 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 51 | 31.1% | 8.4% | 1.48 | 3.84 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Joe Jiménez ('24) | 7 | 53 | 29.8% | 8.6% | 1.11 | 4.06 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |