J.B. Bukauskas — OGILVIE

J.B. Bukauskas P Nashville Sounds

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.20

FIP4.20

K%22.7%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

SL+1.5 (51%)

FB (49%)

SI (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	20	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	1	1	4	14	3	1	0	100%	4.0	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.20	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	1	1	4	14	3	1	0	100%	4.0	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.35	—
2018	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	11	51	204	62	22	1	100%	4.6	22.6%	13.3%	9.3%	0.7%	2.49	3.29	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	11	11	51	204	62	22	1	100%	4.6	30.4%	10.8%	19.6%	0.5%	2.49	2.21	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	22	16	93	416	109	59	8	73%	4.2	21.2%	15.6%	5.6%	2.4%	5.44	4.60	—
2019	22	AA RAW	Jackson Generals	22	16	93	416	109	59	8	73%	4.2	26.2%	14.2%	12.0%	1.9%	5.44	3.78	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	30	132	30	10	5	0%	0.9	21.3%	7.7%	13.5%	4.1%	6.30	4.52	+0.0
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	30	132	30	10	5	0%	0.9	22.7%	7.6%	15.2%	3.8%	6.30	4.27	+0.1
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	1	22	87	22	4	1	4%	1.0	20.9%	5.3%	15.6%	1.4%	2.42	2.78	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	1	22	87	22	4	1	4%	1.0	25.3%	4.6%	20.7%	1.1%	2.42	2.25	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	50	216	56	15	3	0%	1.2	21.9%	6.3%	15.6%	2.0%	3.26	3.13	+0.8
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	50	216	56	15	3	0%	1.2	21.9%	6.3%	15.6%	2.0%	3.26	3.13	+0.8
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	50	216	56	15	3	0%	1.2	25.9%	6.9%	19.0%	1.4%	3.26	2.54	+1.2
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	12	46	10	1	1	0%	0.9	21.7%	2.2%	19.6%	2.2%	1.50	2.73	+0.3
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	12	46	10	1	1	0%	0.9	21.7%	2.2%	19.6%	2.2%	1.50	2.73	+0.3
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	0	12	46	10	1	1	0%	0.9	21.7%	2.2%	19.6%	2.2%	1.50	2.77	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			33	0	30	133	27	9	5	0%	0.9	20.3%	6.8%	13.5%	3.8%	5.04	4.35	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	11	0	8	47	8	11	0	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	12.38	—	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	11	0	8	47	8	11	0	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	12.38	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	ROK RAW	MIL	2	0	1	7	2	0	0	0%	0.5	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	36.00	0.69	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	MIL	9	0	7	40	6	11	0	0%	0.8	15.0%	27.5%	-12.5%	0.0%	9.00	5.32	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIL	22	0	23	99	22	8	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	8.5%	13.6%	3.1%	4.33	4.42	+0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIL	9	0	9	38	8	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.5%	13.6%	3.1%	4.33	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		41	0	39	169	35	12	6	0%	0.9	20.7%	7.1%	13.5%	3.6%	4.89	4.25	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		212	0	200	870	180	62	31	0%	0.9	20.7%	7.1%	13.5%	3.6%	4.89	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		157	29	269	1162	249	133	23	18%	1.7	21.4%	11.5%	9.9%	2.0%	4.28	3.85	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	22	200	863	185	99	17	18%	1.7	21.4%	11.5%	9.9%	2.0%	4.28	3.85	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
J.B. Bukauskas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.20	22.7%	8.1%	2.9%	—	4.42	22.1%	13.6%	23	+0.22	—	—	—
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	85
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	81
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	80
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	80
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	79
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	79
Mark Serrano R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	17.7%	6.5%	1.3%	.290	4.36	21.1%	14.0%	88	+1.20	3.16	120	79
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	79
Erik Davis R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	29	SU	3.05	24.4%	9.5%	1.5%	.329	3.88	19.8%	9.8%	129	+0.83	3.05	227	78
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	78
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	77
Jaye Chapman R 2016 · 3.25 FIP	29	SU	3.25	24.6%	6.4%	2.6%	.274	5.51	13.0%	-0.4%	31	+2.26	3.25	150	77
Michael Mariot R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	21.8%	7.5%	4.4%	.328	4.65	17.7%	9.5%	136	+0.03	2.40	676	77
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	76
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	76
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	76
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	76