J.B. Bukauskas
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION8 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.26
FIP4.26
K%23.4%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%14.4%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+1.5 (51%)
FB (49%)
SI (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 21.4% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.20 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 21.4% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.35 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 11 | 51 | 204 | 62 | 22 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 0.8% | 2.49 | 3.30 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 11 | 51 | 204 | 62 | 22 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 30.4% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 0.5% | 2.49 | 2.21 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Jackson Generals | 22 | 16 | 93 | 416 | 109 | 59 | 8 | 73% | 4.2 | 21.2% | 15.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 5.44 | 4.64 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Jackson Generals | 22 | 16 | 93 | 416 | 109 | 59 | 8 | 73% | 4.2 | 26.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 1.9% | 5.44 | 3.78 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | 6.30 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 30 | 132 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.7% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 3.8% | 6.30 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 1 | 22 | 87 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 4% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 5.3% | 15.6% | 1.5% | 2.42 | 2.81 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 1 | 22 | 87 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 4% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 4.6% | 20.7% | 1.1% | 2.42 | 2.25 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 50 | 216 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 2.2% | 3.26 | 3.27 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 50 | 216 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 19.0% | 1.4% | 3.26 | 2.54 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 2.2% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 1.50 | 2.73 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 2.2% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 1.50 | 2.77 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 11 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | 12.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 33 | 152 | 33 | 20 | 3 | — | — | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 6.23 | 3.22 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 3.88 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 44 | 0 | 41 | 180 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 4.86 | 4.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 210 | 0 | 200 | 868 | 183 | 63 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 4.86 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 29 | 269 | 1162 | 252 | 136 | 24 | 18% | 1.7 | 21.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 4.28 | 3.88 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 117 | 22 | 200 | 863 | 187 | 101 | 18 | 18% | 1.7 | 21.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 4.28 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| J.B. Bukauskas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 22.7% | 13.4% | 23 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 80 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.07 | 24.4% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .329 | 3.81 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 129 | +0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 79 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 79 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 78 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 78 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 78 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 77 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2028 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 77 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.01 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 264 | 77 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 76 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 76 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.27 | 24.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.34 | 13.0% | -0.4% | 31 | +2.07 | 3.27 | 150 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 76 |