Jalen Beeks
P
Texas Rangers
Age 33
LHP
5'11" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILInjured 10-Day (D10)
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94103vR 113
ERA4.12
FIP4.10
K%19.7%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p3723.4%
K%
p2518.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.363
FB+3.5 (51%)
SL (3%)
CH-0.5 (40%)
CT-1.1 (9%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Greenville Drive | 26 | 26 | 146 | 616 | 100 | 28 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 12.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.32 | 4.82 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Greenville Drive | 26 | 26 | 146 | 616 | 100 | 28 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 16.2% | 4.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 3.82 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 133 | 581 | 111 | 52 | 15 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.1% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.87 | 5.34 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 133 | 581 | 111 | 52 | 15 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 3.87 | 4.07 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 605 | 155 | 55 | 13 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 3.29 | 3.62 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 605 | 155 | 55 | 13 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.6% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 2.1% | 3.29 | 3.27 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 17 | 138 | 578 | 159 | 49 | 16 | 57% | 4.6 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 2.2% | 3.85 | 3.31 | +3.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 17 | 138 | 578 | 159 | 49 | 16 | 57% | 4.6 | 27.5% | 8.5% | 19.0% | 2.8% | 3.85 | 3.37 | +3.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 6 | 115 | 506 | 99 | 43 | 14 | 17% | 3.2 | 19.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.05 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 6 | 115 | 506 | 99 | 43 | 14 | 17% | 3.2 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.08 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 12 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 32.1% | 4.9% | 27.2% | 1.3% | 3.26 | 1.73 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 12 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 32.1% | 4.9% | 27.2% | 1.2% | 3.26 | 1.70 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 42 | 7 | 61 | 250 | 70 | 22 | 7 | 17% | 1.5 | 28.0% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 3.0% | 2.80 | 3.48 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 42 | 7 | 61 | 250 | 70 | 22 | 7 | 17% | 1.5 | 28.0% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 2.8% | 2.80 | 3.38 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 9 | 68 | 302 | 74 | 29 | 7 | 18% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | 5.16 | 3.59 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 9 | 68 | 302 | 74 | 29 | 7 | 18% | 1.4 | 24.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 2.3% | 5.16 | 3.54 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 71 | 0 | 70 | 312 | 55 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 4.50 | 3.69 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 71 | 0 | 70 | 312 | 55 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 4.50 | 3.71 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 2 | 58 | 234 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 3% | 0.9 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 2 | 58 | 234 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 3% | 0.9 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 3.70 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 29 | 0 | 26 | 113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.6% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 3.81 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 51 | 218 | 42 | 15 | 9 | — | — | 19.1% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 3.96 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 51 | 214 | 42 | 15 | 9 | — | — | 19.4% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 3.96 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 47 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 39 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 42 | 0 | 44 | 185 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.93 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.26 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 39 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.93 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.26 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 441 | 21 | 588 | 2527 | 518 | 217 | 72 | 5% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.02 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 7 | 200 | 860 | 176 | 74 | 25 | 5% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 410 | 119 | 979 | 4178 | 826 | 349 | 119 | 29% | 2.4 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 4.05 | +15.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 24 | 200 | 854 | 169 | 71 | 24 | 29% | 2.4 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 4.05 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jalen Beeks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 20.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | — | 5.10 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 132 | +0.88 | — | — | — |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.89 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .316 | 6.84 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.95 | 3.19 | 564 | 70 |
| Colt Hynes L 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 68 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.51 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 3.60 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.91 | 3.60 | 190 | 67 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 66 |
| David Huff L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.00 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 66 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 65 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 64 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 64 |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 64 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.25 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.85 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.40 | 1.67 | 421 | 61 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 61 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 61 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 60 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 60 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.05 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .352 | 3.71 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.66 | 3.05 | 117 | 60 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.87 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 59 |
| Jaime García L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.76 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 540 | 59 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.18 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 5.42 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.24 | 2.97 | 294 | 58 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.04 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 58 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.23 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .322 | 4.77 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 204 | +0.54 | 3.07 | 650 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 46 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 1.31 | 4.74 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |