Jalen Beeks
P
Texas Rangers
+0.4
WAR
Age 33
LHP
5'11" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.40
FIP4.24
xFIP3.76
SIERA3.43
K%20.4%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%12.1%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†5050
FB+3.5 (52%)
CH-0.5 (38%)
CT-1.1 (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Greenville Drive | 26 | 26 | 146 | 616 | 100 | 28 | 17 | 12.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.32 | 4.78 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 26 | 26 | 133 | 581 | 111 | 52 | 15 | 15.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 3.87 | 4.86 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 26 | 26 | 145 | 605 | 155 | 55 | 13 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 3.29 | 3.72 | +2.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 30 | 17 | 138 | 578 | 159 | 49 | 16 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 3.85 | 3.57 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 36 | 6 | 115 | 506 | 99 | 43 | 14 | 19.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.01 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 12 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 32.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 3.26 | 1.74 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 42 | 7 | 61 | 250 | 70 | 22 | 7 | 28.0% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 2.80 | 3.41 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 50 | 9 | 68 | 302 | 74 | 29 | 7 | 23.4% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 5.16 | 3.57 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 71 | 0 | 70 | 312 | 55 | 25 | 6 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 4.50 | 3.69 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 62 | 2 | 58 | 234 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 3.70 | 3.87 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 8 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.17 | — | — |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 41 | 16 | 5 | 21.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 54 | 225 | 47 | 18 | 5 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 3.62 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 39 | 18 | 5 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 37 | MLB | TEX | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 17.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 389 | 119 | 961 | 4096 | 811 | 344 | 111 | 19.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.93 | 3.98 | +14.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 25 | 200 | 853 | 169 | 72 | 23 | 19.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.93 | 3.98 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jalen Beeks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 21.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.42 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 144 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.27 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 2.6% | .286 | 3.59 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.68 | 3.59 | 190 | 72 |
| Colt Hynes L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 71 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.12 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | .316 | 6.64 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.52 | 3.14 | 564 | 71 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 70 |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 70 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.67 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 202 | 69 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 68 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 68 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.14 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .325 | 4.83 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.69 | 3.78 | 127 | 67 |
| David Huff L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.07 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 158 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 66 |
| Franklin Morales L 2024 · 4.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.03 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 101 | 66 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 65 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.19 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .304 | 3.80 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.39 | 1.81 | 421 | 63 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2025 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.97 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 61 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 61 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.73 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .443 | 4.86 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 74 | +1.13 | 3.73 | 154 | 61 |
| Josh Outman L 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.09 | 12.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .322 | 6.57 | 12.9% | -5.6% | 34 | +1.48 | 4.54 | 106 | 61 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.79 | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.5% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 137 | 61 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.42 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .302 | 5.50 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.08 | 2.97 | 294 | 60 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.