Aneurys Zabala P Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 259 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%24.7%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
K: +0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -1.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: +0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +2.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.17 (55 IP)+0.2WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060
CH+0.7
FB-1.4

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201518ROKAZL Mariners14023108211210%1.713.2%13.9%-0.7%1.3%6.564.45
201518ROKAZL Mariners14023108211210%1.719.4%11.1%8.3%0.9%6.563.40
201619ROKAZL Mariners16025110281510%1.617.3%17.0%0.3%1.3%2.884.50
201619ROKAZL Mariners16025110281510%1.625.5%13.6%11.8%0.9%2.883.18
201720MIX2 levels15025128251820%1.613.9%17.1%-3.2%2.2%7.665.29
201720MIX2 levels15025128251820%1.619.5%14.1%5.5%1.6%7.664.32
201821ADayton Dragons40053238433030%1.313.4%14.9%-1.5%1.4%4.394.60
201821ADayton Dragons40053238433030%1.318.1%12.6%5.5%1.3%4.393.91
201922A+Daytona Tortugas39054253482730%1.414.6%12.3%2.3%1.2%5.634.10
201922A+Daytona Tortugas39054253482730%1.419.0%10.7%8.3%1.2%5.633.54
202124MIX2 levels33043189631780%1.326.6%10.1%16.5%3.9%6.754.24
202124MIX2 levels33043189631780%1.333.3%9.0%24.3%4.2%6.753.78
202225MIX3 levels22129148363235%1.322.2%24.7%-2.5%2.6%8.905.79-0.4
202225MIX3 levels22129148363235%1.324.3%21.6%2.7%2.0%8.905.25-0.2
202326AAAToledo Mud Hens530663001034920%1.230.2%17.2%13.1%0.9%4.253.22
202326AAAToledo Mud Hens530663001034920%1.234.3%16.3%18.0%0.7%4.252.60
▸ 2026 Season
202629AARocket City Trash Pandas901055111000%1.116.2%20.0%-3.8%0.0%6.304.27+0.0
ROS29MLBLAA43045190472150%1.024.7%10.8%13.9%2.8%4.304.30+0.1
ROS29MLBLAA10141000%1.024.7%10.8%13.9%2.8%4.304.30+0.0
2026 TOT29MLBLAA552455831523.6%12.4%11.2%2.2%4.664.29+0.2
2026 FULL29MLBLAA1410024.7%10.8%13.9%2.8%4.303.92+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBLAA40042179432050%1.124.2%10.9%13.3%3.0%4.414.48+0.0
202730MLBLAA120135513620%1.124.2%10.9%13.3%3.0%4.414.48+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career150177116820%1.123.3%10.6%12.7%2.5%3.703.88+0.1
/ 200 IP184020084119095240%1.123.3%10.6%12.7%2.5%3.703.88+3.6
Career24113281529302240260%1.419.8%15.7%4.1%1.7%5.624.35+4.0
/ 200 IP1471200931184146160%1.419.8%15.7%4.1%1.7%5.624.35+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Aneurys Zabala (OGILVIE) 4.30 24.7%10.8%2.8% 4.48 24.2%13.3%42 +0.18
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 29 SU 4.19 24.4%10.9%3.2%.311 2.38 20.9%12.6%25 -1.81 2.38 160 85
Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 20.8%9.7%1.8%.353 4.75 22.5%16.5%127 +1.17 2.54 279 82
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 82
Greg Holland R 2026 · 3.21 FIP 29 SU 3.21 25.4%13.0%1.1%.316 3.35 26.4%14.2%104 +0.14 1.97 268 81
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2028 · 3.41 FIP 31 SU 3.41 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.66 23.3%13.2%105 +0.25 3.41 212 81
Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 29 SU 3.70 26.5%8.4%3.2%.292 4.72 21.4%16.7%57 +1.02 2.82 363 81
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.18 21.3%12.5%114 -0.40 2.76 228 81
Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 80
Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP 28 SU 4.03 25.0%7.7%3.8%.289 3.03 24.2%17.9%130 -1.00 2.27 426 80
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.25 FIP 29 SU 3.25 27.5%10.8%2.0%.259 3.16 25.6%17.1%210 -0.09 2.73 410 80
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 80
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SU 3.76 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 2.99 17.8%11.9%54 -0.77 2.22 187 80
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 80
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP 28 SU 3.49 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.55 20.5%15.1%56 +0.06 2.51 137 79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 79
Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 29 SU 3.56 20.4%9.8%1.7%.283 4.38 18.7%6.1%24 +0.82 3.56 104 79
Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 29 SU 4.45 26.8%10.0%4.3%.299 3.95 25.9%8.4%19 -0.50 3.53 134 79
Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 29 SU 3.80 20.6%10.9%1.9%.281 3.81 21.6%12.6%179 +0.01 2.40 617 79
Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION24424.5%10.9%1.134.35
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78