Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 35 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 0.7% | 2.54 | 3.17 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 35 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.7% | 7.2% | 15.5% | 0.5% | 2.54 | 2.38 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 54 | 236 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.6% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 3.35 | 3.70 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 54 | 236 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 0.8% | 3.35 | 3.06 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.1% | 2.1% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 4.24 | 4.41 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 13.5% | 1.9% | 4.24 | 3.23 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 45 | 0 | 55 | 267 | 48 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.8% | 12.9% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 5.76 | 5.38 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 45 | 0 | 55 | 267 | 48 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 5.76 | 4.42 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 0 | 47 | 216 | 52 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.0% | 12.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 4.56 | 3.71 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 0 | 47 | 216 | 52 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 0.5% | 4.56 | 2.70 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 28 | 139 | 31 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 18.8% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 4.82 | 4.38 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 28 | 139 | 31 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 17.3% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 4.82 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 14 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 109 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 216 | 0 | 253 | 1156 | 189 | 133 | 20 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 4.20 | 4.15 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 0 | 200 | 914 | 150 | 105 | 16 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 4.20 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rodolfo Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.87 | 21.9% | 9.3% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 91 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 84 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 81 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 79 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.5% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.40 | 231 | 79 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 77 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 77 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 77 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.47 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .355 | 5.93 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 50 | +2.46 | 1.60 | 312 | 77 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 77 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.54 | 22.2% | 14.2% | 0.9% | .308 | 3.95 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 120 | +0.41 | 1.97 | 268 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 75 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 75 |
| Bryan Morris R 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.60 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 102 | 75 |