Ryan Yarbrough
P
New York Yankees
Age 34
LHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8695vR 104
ERA3.91
FIP4.37
K%16.8%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1087.4
Whiff%
p4324.3%
K%
p1417.0%
xwOBA vs
p870.276
FB+0.5 (31%)
CT (27%)
SI (13%)
CH-0.6 (21%)
SL-0.9 (20%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 97 | 421 | 88 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 16.3% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 4.10 | 3.66 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 97 | 421 | 88 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.9% | 5.5% | 15.4% | 1.7% | 4.10 | 2.93 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | 25 | 25 | 128 | 522 | 99 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 2.95 | 3.53 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | 25 | 25 | 128 | 522 | 99 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.0% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 2.95 | 2.99 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 26 | 26 | 157 | 645 | 159 | 38 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 6.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 3.43 | 3.76 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 26 | 26 | 157 | 645 | 159 | 38 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.7% | 5.9% | 18.8% | 3.1% | 3.43 | 3.46 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 38 | 6 | 147 | 628 | 128 | 44 | 18 | 16% | 3.9 | 20.4% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 3.91 | 3.93 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 38 | 6 | 147 | 628 | 128 | 44 | 18 | 16% | 3.9 | 20.4% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 3.85 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 18 | 168 | 670 | 152 | 21 | 17 | 55% | 5.1 | 22.1% | 3.2% | 18.9% | 2.6% | 4.08 | 3.08 | +4.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 18 | 168 | 670 | 152 | 21 | 17 | 55% | 5.1 | 22.7% | 3.1% | 19.6% | 2.5% | 4.08 | 2.98 | +4.7 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 9 | 56 | 234 | 44 | 11 | 5 | 82% | 5.1 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 3.56 | 3.35 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 9 | 56 | 234 | 44 | 11 | 5 | 82% | 5.1 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | 3.56 | 3.28 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 30 | 21 | 155 | 653 | 117 | 25 | 25 | 70% | 5.2 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 5.11 | 4.30 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 30 | 21 | 155 | 653 | 117 | 25 | 25 | 70% | 5.2 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 14.1% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 4.17 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 16 | 108 | 483 | 87 | 34 | 15 | 59% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.51 | 4.34 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 16 | 108 | 483 | 87 | 34 | 15 | 59% | 4.0 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.24 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 13 | 107 | 444 | 87 | 16 | 15 | 45% | 3.7 | 19.3% | 3.7% | 15.5% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 3.86 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 13 | 107 | 444 | 87 | 16 | 15 | 45% | 3.7 | 19.6% | 3.6% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.19 | 3.74 | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 44 | 0 | 99 | 398 | 65 | 29 | 11 | 0% | 2.2 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 3.19 | 4.16 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 44 | 0 | 99 | 398 | 65 | 29 | 11 | 0% | 2.2 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 3.19 | 4.11 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 11 | 75 | 306 | 67 | 20 | 14 | 50% | 3.4 | 20.8% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 4.32 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 11 | 75 | 306 | 67 | 20 | 14 | 50% | 3.4 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 15.4% | 4.6% | 4.32 | 4.54 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | New York Yankees | 24 | 0 | 37 | 159 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 4.14 | 3.90 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | NYY | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 3.91 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | NYY | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 3.91 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 68 | 290 | 49 | 25 | 7 | — | — | 16.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 68 | 288 | 49 | 25 | 7 | — | — | 17.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 41 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 5.08 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 52 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.18 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | NYY | 45 | 0 | 47 | 199 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.58 | 5.85 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 41 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 5.08 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.18 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | NYY | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.58 | 5.85 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 423 | 76 | 1062 | 4448 | 805 | 267 | 145 | 18% | 2.5 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.35 | 4.13 | +15.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 14 | 200 | 837 | 152 | 50 | 27 | 18% | 2.5 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.35 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 331 | 167 | 1334 | 5563 | 1051 | 317 | 165 | 50% | 4.0 | 18.9% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 3.97 | 3.86 | +24.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 25 | 200 | 834 | 158 | 48 | 25 | 50% | 4.0 | 18.9% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 3.97 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Yarbrough (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | — | 5.43 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 162 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.85 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 424 | 59 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 59 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 56 |
| Blaine Hardy L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.38 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.7% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.76 | 417 | 54 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 146 | 53 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.76 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .253 | 4.40 | 12.2% | 1.8% | 103 | -0.36 | 4.40 | 249 | 53 |
| Everett Teaford L 2023 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 50 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.39 | 17.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | .306 | 4.87 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 106 | -0.52 | 3.53 | 609 | 48 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2029 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 46 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.88 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 864 | 43 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 43 |
| Luke Westphal L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.18 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 5.42 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.24 | 2.97 | 294 | 41 |
| Eric Stults L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 41 |
| Yohan Flande L 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.20 | 10.0% | 11.9% | 0.8% | .386 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 335 | 41 |
| Dana Eveland L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 41 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 40 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 39 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.86 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | .322 | 7.02 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +1.16 | 4.35 | 327 | 39 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 39 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2024 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.56 | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 368 | 39 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.44 | 4.92 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |