Taylor Widener
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 203 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION36 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.87
FIP4.89
xFIP5.36
SIERA4.33
K%21.1%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.9%
IP37
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p1320.1%
K%
p1517.1%
xwOBA vs
p400.323
FB+1.5
SL-2.8
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 7 | 1 | 23 | 84 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 30.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.78 | 3.26 | +0.3 |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | 27 | 27 | 119 | 489 | 129 | 50 | 5 | 20.3% | 11.8% | 1.4% | 3.39 | 3.66 | +2.4 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Jackson Generals | 26 | 25 | 137 | 552 | 176 | 43 | 12 | 25.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 2.75 | 3.58 | +2.9 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | 23 | 23 | 100 | 464 | 109 | 41 | 23 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 8.10 | 5.12 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 12 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 4.50 | 5.56 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 26 | 16 | 82 | 373 | 89 | 36 | 18 | 22.9% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 4.96 | 4.82 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 41 | 0 | 54 | 241 | 61 | 14 | 7 | 23.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.83 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 22 | 11 | 57 | 266 | 59 | 30 | 11 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 6.51 | 5.62 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 4.87 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 19.5% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.27 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 28 | — | 28 | 120 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 5.55 | 5.73 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 184 | 103 | 592 | 2557 | 578 | 248 | 89 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.34 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 35 | 200 | 864 | 195 | 84 | 30 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taylor Widener (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | — | 5.42 | 19.5% | 8.4% | 94 | +0.53 | — | — | — |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 88 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 85 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 85 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 83 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 83 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 81 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 81 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 80 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 13.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 9.8% | 0.3% | 53 | -0.69 | 4.11 | 156 | 80 |
| Tyler Herron R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 117 | 80 |
| Grant Black R 2024 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.78 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | .282 | 3.61 | 20.9% | 15.1% | 136 | -1.17 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 79 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 79 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 78 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 78 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 77 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.89 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 3.5% | .302 | 2.69 | 27.3% | 19.4% | 98 | -2.20 | 1.51 | 541 | 77 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.20 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .296 | 5.09 | 17.4% | 6.3% | 89 | +0.89 | 4.20 | 166 | 76 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.46 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 136 | +0.17 | 2.78 | 596 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.