Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 19 | 19 | 104 | 436 | 83 | 33 | 0 | 100% | 5.5 | 14.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 2.24 | 2.96 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 19 | 19 | 104 | 436 | 83 | 33 | 0 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 2.24 | 2.46 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 25 | 25 | 137 | 570 | 92 | 48 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 3.28 | 4.07 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 25 | 25 | 137 | 570 | 92 | 48 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 3.28 | 3.47 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 5.0 | 4.5% | 9.1% | -4.5% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 3.87 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 5.0 | 4.5% | 9.1% | -4.5% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 3.90 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 28 | 123 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 15.3% | 0.2% | 3.1% | 2.86 | 5.42 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 28 | 123 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 13.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 2.86 | 4.19 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 61 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 3.54 | 4.01 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 61 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.7% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 2.1% | 3.54 | 3.21 | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.10 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.10 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.26 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.10 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 39 | 0 | 37 | 165 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.1% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.91 | 5.53 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 39 | 0 | 37 | 165 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 4.30 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 2 | 40 | 180 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 6% | 1.3 | 15.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 5.13 | 3.85 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 2 | 40 | 180 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 6% | 1.3 | 18.9% | 5.6% | 13.3% | 2.2% | 5.13 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 15 | 8 | 47 | 230 | 45 | 17 | 7 | 53% | 3.1 | 17.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 7.66 | 4.06 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 15 | 8 | 47 | 230 | 45 | 17 | 7 | 53% | 3.1 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 7.66 | 4.21 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.3 | 43.8% | 6.2% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.20 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.3 | 43.8% | 6.2% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 16 | 1 | 25 | 115 | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.91 | 4.08 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 50 | 220 | 43 | 23 | 4 | — | — | 19.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 4.15 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.01 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 3.72 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 0 | 200 | 861 | 167 | 77 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 3.72 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 223 | 57 | 490 | 2120 | 336 | 199 | 39 | 26% | 2.2 | 15.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 3.80 | 3.96 | +8.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 23 | 200 | 866 | 137 | 81 | 16 | 26% | 2.2 | 15.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 3.80 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rob Kaminsky (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 20.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.61 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 23 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 70 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 68 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 68 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.22 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.72 | 2.22 | 405 | 68 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 68 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.09 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 183 | 68 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.00 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 67 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 67 |
| Chris Narveson L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 66 |
| Josh Outman L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 66 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 65 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 65 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 64 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 64 |
| Nick Ramirez L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 20.2% | 8.0% | 2.1% | .305 | 3.19 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 169 | -0.37 | 2.93 | 478 | 64 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 64 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .353 | 3.52 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | -0.33 | 3.44 | 152 | 63 |
| Chris Rusin L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 19.5% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .302 | 5.03 | 12.5% | 5.0% | 98 | +1.04 | 2.80 | 488 | 62 |
| Adam Conley L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.37 | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .210 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 674 | 62 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 62 |