Jimmy Herget — OGILVIE

Jimmy Herget P Colorado Rockies

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 183 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA3.64

FIP3.78

K%21.5%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%13.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1592.0

Whiff%

p5325.8%

p3820.4%

xwOBA vs

p370.327

SL+1.6 (61%)

FB+1.5 (31%)

CH (8%)

SI (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	24	0	25	104	26	11	1	0%	1.1	17.0%	13.2%	3.8%	1.3%	3.20	4.08	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	24	0	25	104	26	11	1	0%	1.1	25.0%	10.6%	14.4%	1.0%	3.20	2.86	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	50	0	61	252	83	22	3	0%	1.2	25.4%	10.0%	15.3%	1.4%	1.78	3.00	—
2016	22	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	50	0	61	252	83	22	3	0%	1.2	32.9%	8.7%	24.2%	1.2%	1.78	2.09	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	62	257	72	18	5	0%	1.2	23.5%	7.5%	15.9%	2.0%	2.90	3.16	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	62	257	72	18	5	0%	1.2	28.0%	7.0%	21.0%	1.9%	2.90	2.70	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	50	0	60	260	65	20	5	0%	1.2	22.0%	8.1%	13.9%	2.1%	3.47	3.44	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	50	0	60	260	65	20	5	0%	1.2	25.0%	7.7%	17.3%	1.9%	3.47	3.02	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	65	277	68	38	9	0%	1.2	23.8%	14.6%	9.2%	3.2%	3.05	4.70	-0.1
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	65	277	68	38	9	0%	1.2	24.5%	13.7%	10.8%	3.2%	3.05	4.56	-0.0
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	20	1	20	87	17	13	2	5%	1.0	19.5%	14.9%	4.6%	2.1%	3.20	4.52	+0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	20	1	20	87	17	13	2	5%	1.0	19.5%	14.9%	4.6%	2.3%	3.20	4.68	-0.0
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	61	259	73	17	7	0%	1.2	25.7%	6.8%	18.9%	3.2%	4.28	3.54	+0.7
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	61	259	73	17	7	0%	1.2	28.2%	6.6%	21.6%	2.7%	4.28	3.03	+1.1
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	73	281	67	14	5	2%	1.4	23.7%	4.5%	19.2%	1.5%	2.59	2.48	+1.8
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	73	281	67	14	5	2%	1.4	23.8%	5.0%	18.9%	1.8%	2.59	2.73	+1.6
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	1	62	263	62	16	12	2%	1.1	21.2%	5.7%	15.6%	4.7%	4.67	4.60	-0.0
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	1	62	263	62	16	12	2%	1.1	21.2%	5.7%	15.6%	4.7%	4.67	4.60	-0.0
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	1	62	263	62	16	12	2%	1.1	23.6%	6.1%	17.5%	4.6%	4.67	4.40	+0.1
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	47	194	49	10	7	0%	1.2	22.2%	4.9%	17.3%	3.7%	3.28	3.88	+0.4
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	47	194	49	10	7	0%	1.2	22.2%	4.9%	17.3%	3.7%	3.28	3.88	+0.4
2024	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	47	194	49	10	7	0%	1.2	25.3%	5.2%	20.1%	3.6%	3.28	3.59	+0.5
2025	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	59	0	83	347	81	25	6	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	1.5%	2.48	2.88	+1.7
2025	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	59	0	83	347	81	25	6	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	1.5%	2.48	2.88	+1.7
2025	31	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	59	0	83	347	81	25	6	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.2%	16.1%	1.7%	2.48	2.99	+1.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			235	6	284	1189	264	86	33	3%	1.2	22.2%	7.2%	15.0%	2.8%	3.67	3.66	+3.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	49	3	48	220	44	24	13	6%	1.0	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	3.9%	7.08	4.86	-0.2
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	49	3	48	220	44	24	13	6%	1.0	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	3.9%	7.08	4.86	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	COL	2	0	2	14	2	2	4	0%	1.1	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	28.6%	23.14	19.39	—
2026	32	MLB RAW	COL	47	3	46	206	42	22	9	6%	1.0	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	4.4%	6.26	5.13	-0.3
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	COL	47	3	46	206	42	22	9	6%	1.0	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	4.4%	6.26	5.13	-0.3
ROS	32	MLB MLE	COL	5	0	6	24	5	2	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	8.1%	13.5%	2.7%	3.64	3.78	+0.1
ROS	32	MLB CTX	COL	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.1%	13.5%	2.7%	3.64	3.78	+0.1
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	54	244	49	26	14	—	—	20.2%	10.6%	9.5%	5.6%	6.71	4.74	-0.1
FULL	32	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	52	218	49	26	14	—	—	22.5%	11.9%	10.6%	6.3%	7.02	6.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	COL	55	0	58	244	51	21	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.6%	12.3%	3.4%	4.49	4.66	-0.1
2028	34	MLB MLE	COL	50	0	53	222	44	20	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	9.1%	10.9%	3.7%	4.77	4.96	-0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	COL	52	0	55	232	48	20	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.6%	12.3%	3.4%	4.49	4.66	-0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	COL	46	0	48	203	40	18	7	0%	1.0	20.0%	9.1%	10.9%	3.7%	4.77	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		338	6	393	1646	358	126	49	2%	1.2	21.7%	7.7%	14.1%	3.0%	3.92	3.86	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		172	3	200	839	182	64	25	2%	1.2	21.7%	7.7%	14.1%	3.0%	3.92	3.86	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		550	6	666	2801	640	236	72	1%	1.2	22.9%	8.4%	14.4%	2.6%	3.42	3.65	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		165	2	200	841	192	71	22	1%	1.2	22.9%	8.4%	14.4%	2.6%	3.42	3.65	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jimmy Herget (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.82	22.6%	6.6%	2.6%	—	4.80	20.4%	11.6%	110	+0.98	—	—	—
Cory Gearrin R 2018 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.292	3.78	19.5%	9.5%	55	-0.24	3.15	272	87
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	84
Tommy Hunter R 2018 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	18.9%	5.2%	2.1%	.296	2.78	24.5%	18.6%	25	-0.52	2.78	316	80
Jonathan Broxton R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	.256	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	16	+0.57	3.67	137	79
Brad Brach R 2018 · 3.44 FIP	32	SU	3.44	20.8%	9.0%	1.7%	.338	4.06	24.4%	11.0%	97	+0.62	2.69	410	78
Fernando Salas R 2017 · 3.50 FIP	32	SU	3.50	21.3%	6.1%	2.6%	.326	4.15	19.4%	14.1%	92	+0.65	2.71	288	77
Louis Coleman R 2018 · 3.98 FIP	32	SU	3.98	19.8%	9.9%	2.4%	.243	4.44	17.6%	3.6%	14	+0.46	3.10	256	76
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	75
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	75
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	75
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	75
George Kontos R 2017 · 3.71 FIP	32	SU	3.71	25.2%	6.5%	3.5%	.287	4.41	14.7%	8.6%	97	+0.70	3.55	290	75
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	75
Miguel Socolovich R 2018 · 3.55 FIP	32	SU	3.55	20.8%	5.6%	2.7%	.338	3.55	18.4%	13.7%	42	+0.00	2.65	283	74
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	74
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	74
Tyler Clippard R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	32	SU	4.37	27.3%	11.4%	3.9%	.243	3.59	28.0%	21.3%	157	-0.78	2.49	417	74
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	74
Jim Johnson R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	32	SU	3.34	17.2%	6.2%	1.7%	.330	3.63	22.0%	14.1%	185	+0.29	2.56	251	74
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	21.2%	8.0%	1.23	4.28
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97