Jimmy Herget P Colorado Rockies
Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 183 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9586vR 77
ERA3.14
FIP3.29
K%23.2%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%16.6%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
K: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: +1.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+2BBCONTACT: +5.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+5CONTACTSTAM: +3.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +1.16 (65 IP)+1.2WAR
0.50.40.1-0.1262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p7829.7%
K%
p6024.1%
xwOBA vs
p810.282
SL+1.6 (60%)
FB+1.5 (33%)
CH (7%)
SI (24%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201521ROKBillings Mustangs24025104261110%1.117.0%13.2%3.8%1.3%3.204.08
201521ROKBillings Mustangs24025104261110%1.125.0%10.6%14.4%1.0%3.202.86
201622A+Daytona Tortugas50061252832230%1.225.4%10.0%15.3%1.3%1.782.96
201622A+Daytona Tortugas50061252832230%1.232.9%8.7%24.2%1.2%1.782.09
201723MIX2 levels52062257721850%1.223.5%7.5%15.9%1.8%2.903.08
201723MIX2 levels52062257721850%1.228.0%7.0%21.0%1.9%2.902.70
201824AAALouisville Bats50060260652050%1.222.0%8.1%13.9%2.2%3.473.46
201824AAALouisville Bats50060260652050%1.225.0%7.7%17.3%1.9%3.473.02
201925MIX2 levels53065277683890%1.223.8%14.6%9.2%3.4%3.054.78-0.1
201925MIX2 levels53065277683890%1.224.5%13.7%10.8%3.2%3.054.56+0.1
202026MLBTexas Rangers2012087171325%1.019.5%14.9%4.6%2.2%3.204.57-0.0
202026MLBTexas Rangers2012087171325%1.019.5%14.9%4.6%2.3%3.204.68-0.0
202127MIX2 levels49061259731770%1.225.7%6.8%18.9%3.5%4.283.73+0.6
202127MIX2 levels49061259731770%1.228.2%6.6%21.6%2.7%4.283.03+1.1
202228MIX2 levels52173281671452%1.423.7%4.5%19.2%1.6%2.592.53+2.0
202228MIX2 levels52173281671452%1.423.8%5.0%18.9%1.8%2.592.73+1.8
202329MIX2 levels541622636216122%1.121.9%6.3%15.6%4.8%4.674.70-0.1
202329MIX2 levels541622636216122%1.123.6%6.1%17.5%4.6%4.674.40+0.1
202430MIX3 levels38047194491070%1.223.1%5.4%17.6%3.5%3.283.78+0.4
202430MIX3 levels38047194491070%1.225.3%5.2%20.1%3.6%3.283.59+0.5
202531MLBColorado Rockies59083347812560%1.423.3%7.2%16.1%1.3%2.482.77+2.2
202531MLBColorado Rockies59083347812560%1.423.3%7.2%16.1%1.7%2.482.99+2.0
▸ 2026 Season
202632MLBColorado Rockies27327122289611%1.024.1%6.5%17.6%1.9%5.272.90+0.5
ROS32MLBCOL36038160371140%1.123.2%6.7%16.6%2.4%3.143.29+0.6
ROS32MLBCOL36038160371140%1.123.2%6.7%16.6%2.4%3.143.29+0.6
2026 TOT32MLBCOL6528265201023.1%7.0%16.1%3.5%4.033.13+1.2
2026 FULL32MLBCOL6326665201024.5%7.4%17.1%3.7%4.183.99+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733MLBCOL55058244541760%1.122.3%7.1%15.2%2.7%3.793.96+0.4
202834MLBCOL50053222471770%1.121.4%7.6%13.8%3.0%4.074.26+0.2
202935MLBCOL45047199411670%1.020.4%8.2%12.2%3.3%4.394.60-0.0
202733MLBCOL52055232521760%1.122.3%7.1%15.2%2.7%3.793.96+0.4
202834MLBCOL46048203431560%1.021.4%7.6%13.8%3.0%4.074.26+0.2
202935MLBCOL39041173351460%1.120.4%8.2%12.2%3.3%4.394.60-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career38564441856415127482%1.222.4%6.9%15.5%2.6%3.483.49+9.9
/ 200 IP173320083518757222%1.222.4%6.9%15.5%2.6%3.483.49+4.5
Career52866452703628223661%1.223.2%8.3%15.0%2.5%3.223.53+14.1
/ 200 IP164220083819569211%1.223.2%8.3%15.0%2.5%3.223.53+4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jimmy Herget (OGILVIE) 3.78 22.8%6.7%2.5% 4.25 21.4%13.8%158 +0.47
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 32 SU 3.94 21.4%8.1%3.0%.292 3.77 19.5%9.5%55 -0.17 3.15 272 79
Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.34 FIP 32 SU 3.34 18.9%5.2%2.1%.296 2.82 24.5%18.6%25 -0.52 2.82 316 79
Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.06 FIP 32 SU 3.06 19.9%6.1%1.6%.281 3.28 23.4%17.0%84 +0.22 2.63 144 77
Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 77
Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP 35 SU 3.51 25.4%8.6%2.7%.290 3.93 22.4%12.7%161 +0.42 3.51 219 77
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 32 SU 4.31 23.2%9.2%3.6%.319 2.62 28.5%21.7%186 -1.69 2.01 380 77
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 32 SU 3.66 22.0%7.3%2.7%.256 4.24 20.5%9.0%16 +0.58 3.57 137 77
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 3.19 FIP 32 SU 3.19 19.8%4.9%2.1%.315 3.74 20.8%12.4%206 +0.55 2.78 326 76
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 20.8%9.0%1.7%.338 4.07 24.4%11.0%97 +0.63 2.73 410 76
George Kontos R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 32 SU 3.59 25.2%6.5%3.3%.287 4.44 14.7%8.6%97 +0.85 3.56 290 75
Fernando Salas R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 32 SU 3.59 21.3%6.1%2.8%.326 4.32 19.4%14.1%92 +0.73 2.80 288 75
Chad Gaudin R 2027 · 2.66 FIP 33 SU 2.66 22.8%6.8%1.1%.325 3.46 21.8%13.9%58 +0.80 2.02 102 75
Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 32 SU 3.60 20.8%5.6%2.8%.338 3.59 18.4%13.7%42 -0.01 2.60 283 73
Ryan Madson R 2028 · 2.97 FIP 34 SU 2.97 23.4%5.2%2.2%.244 2.98 23.9%18.7%176 +0.01 1.42 240 73
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 32 SU 3.43 17.2%6.2%1.8%.330 3.64 22.0%14.1%185 +0.21 2.51 251 73
Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.76 FIP 31 SU 3.76 21.9%6.4%3.1%.240 5.21 20.2%12.3%42 +1.45 3.03 120 73
Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 72
Deolis Guerra R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 32 SU 3.80 23.0%7.4%3.1%.251 2.56 364 72
Matt Albers R 2026 · 3.18 FIP 32 SU 3.18 18.8%4.7%1.9%.252 4.51 20.4%13.3%147 +1.33 3.15 244 72
Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.09 FIP 33 SU 3.09 27.9%8.7%2.3%.305 5.10 21.4%9.7%88 +2.01 2.74 239 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45521.8%7.3%1.093.94
Kelvin Herrera ('19)55923.8%7.3%1.033.58
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
Trevor Gott ('23)45122.0%7.4%0.793.97