Jimmy Herget
P
Colorado Rockies
+0.6
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 183 lbs
MLB
Svc 4.0 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.60
FIP3.87
xFIP4.01
SIERA3.35
K%23.3%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%16.0%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†5555
SL+1.6 (60%)
FB+1.5 (33%)
CH (8%)
SI (23%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 17.0% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 3.20 | 4.08 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 50 | 0 | 61 | 252 | 83 | 22 | 3 | 25.4% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 1.78 | 2.99 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 52 | 0 | 62 | 257 | 72 | 18 | 5 | 23.5% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 2.90 | 3.17 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 50 | 0 | 60 | 260 | 65 | 20 | 5 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 3.47 | 3.44 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 53 | 0 | 65 | 277 | 68 | 38 | 9 | 23.8% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 3.05 | 4.68 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 20 | 1 | 20 | 87 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 19.5% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 3.20 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 49 | 0 | 61 | 259 | 73 | 17 | 7 | 25.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 3.50 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 52 | 1 | 73 | 281 | 67 | 14 | 5 | 23.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 2.59 | 2.42 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 54 | 1 | 62 | 263 | 62 | 16 | 12 | 21.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.67 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 38 | 0 | 47 | 194 | 49 | 10 | 7 | 23.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.28 | 3.93 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 59 | 0 | 83 | 347 | 81 | 25 | 6 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 2.48 | 3.02 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 9 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.80 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | COL | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 22.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 3.53 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | COL | — | — | 52 | 214 | 46 | 15 | 5 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 3.20 | 3.24 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 21.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 3.81 | 4.06 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | COL | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | COL | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | COL | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 37 | MLB | COL | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 18.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 510 | 5 | 628 | 2619 | 606 | 217 | 64 | 23.1% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 3.11 | 3.54 | +12.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 2 | 200 | 834 | 193 | 69 | 20 | 23.1% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 3.11 | 3.54 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jimmy Herget (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.01 | 22.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.20 | 20.3% | 12.8% | 141 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.29 | 18.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.73 | 24.5% | 18.6% | 25 | -0.56 | 2.73 | 316 | 81 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 80 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.34 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.67 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.33 | 2.57 | 251 | 79 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.05 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.23 | 2.56 | 144 | 78 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 78 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.55 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .273 | 6.40 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.85 | 3.55 | 155 | 78 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 76 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.19 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.68 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 206 | +0.49 | 2.89 | 326 | 76 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 76 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 76 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 75 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.60 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.87 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.27 | 3.12 | 352 | 75 |
| Erik Davis R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 227 | 75 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 74 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.40 | 21.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.09 | 19.4% | 14.1% | 92 | +0.69 | 2.65 | 288 | 74 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 74 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.54 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | .338 | 3.57 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 42 | +0.03 | 2.65 | 283 | 74 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.49 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 149 | 73 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-2
MLB Debut 2019
Service 4.401 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.6 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2027 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $4M | $4M | +$0.8M | ||