Thomas Pannone — OGILVIE

Thomas Pannone P Nashville Sounds

Age 32 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.43

FIP4.55

K%17.1%

BB%5.9%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.7

Whiff%

p5125.5%

p4321.2%

xwOBA vs

p220.345

CT+0.6

FB-1.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	27	20	116	473	120	37	12	74%	4.3	18.8%	9.2%	9.5%	2.8%	4.02	4.23	—
2015	21	A RAW	Lake County Captains	27	20	116	473	120	37	12	74%	4.3	25.4%	7.8%	17.5%	2.5%	4.02	3.33	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	133	540	122	40	8	96%	5.3	16.9%	8.7%	8.3%	1.6%	2.57	3.63	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	133	540	122	40	8	96%	5.3	22.6%	7.4%	15.2%	1.5%	2.57	2.95	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	145	572	149	35	14	100%	5.8	20.8%	6.8%	14.0%	2.5%	2.36	3.59	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	145	572	149	35	14	100%	5.8	26.0%	6.1%	19.9%	2.4%	2.36	3.02	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	15	93	399	82	28	17	71%	4.4	19.2%	6.7%	12.5%	4.5%	4.82	4.81	+0.1
2018	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	15	93	399	82	28	17	71%	4.4	20.6%	7.0%	13.5%	4.3%	4.82	4.61	+0.3
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	13	107	467	110	45	17	29%	2.4	22.5%	9.8%	12.7%	3.7%	5.23	4.49	+0.1
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	13	107	467	110	45	17	29%	2.4	23.6%	9.6%	13.9%	3.6%	5.23	4.38	+0.2
2021	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	24	21	118	548	82	40	24	88%	4.9	13.2%	7.7%	5.5%	5.3%	7.07	5.88	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	24	21	118	548	82	40	24	88%	4.9	15.0%	7.3%	7.7%	4.4%	7.07	5.36	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	14	12	63	262	70	8	7	86%	4.5	23.5%	3.2%	20.3%	3.1%	4.57	3.24	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	14	12	63	262	70	8	7	86%	4.5	26.7%	3.1%	23.7%	2.7%	4.57	2.70	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	56	230	54	14	5	75%	4.7	19.2%	5.4%	13.8%	2.8%	2.89	3.71	+0.8
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	56	230	54	14	5	75%	4.7	19.2%	5.4%	13.8%	2.8%	2.89	3.71	+0.8
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	9	56	230	54	14	5	75%	4.7	23.5%	6.1%	17.4%	2.2%	2.89	3.08	+1.3
2024	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	30	30	152	642	136	38	20	100%	5.1	17.6%	5.3%	12.3%	3.3%	3.54	4.09	—
2024	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	30	30	152	642	136	38	20	100%	5.1	17.6%	5.3%	12.3%	3.3%	3.54	4.09	—
2024	30	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	30	30	152	642	136	38	20	100%	5.1	21.2%	5.9%	15.3%	3.1%	3.54	3.77	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			51	14	122	534	104	48	21	27%	2.4	19.5%	9.0%	10.5%	3.9%	5.47	4.82	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	23	21	99	412	84	30	12	91%	4.3	17.1%	6.3%	10.8%	3.0%	4.29	4.13	—
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	23	21	99	412	84	30	12	91%	4.3	17.1%	6.3%	10.8%	3.0%	4.29	4.13	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	MIL	22	20	96	398	82	28	11	91%	4.4	20.6%	7.0%	13.6%	2.8%	4.23	3.77	—
2026	32	MLB RAW	MIL	1	1	3	14	2	2	1	100%	3.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	7.1%	6.00	7.62	—
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	MIL	1	1	3	14	2	2	1	100%	3.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	7.1%	6.00	7.62	—
ROS	32	MLB MLE	MIL	2	2	13	55	9	3	2	100%	6.6	17.1%	5.9%	11.1%	3.2%	4.43	4.55	+0.1
ROS	32	MLB CTX	MIL	2	2	13	55	9	3	2	100%	6.5	17.1%	5.9%	11.1%	3.2%	4.43	4.55	+0.1
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	MIL	—	—	112	467	93	33	14	—	—	20.0%	7.1%	12.9%	2.9%	4.30	4.18	+1.0
FULL	32	MLB A+C	MIL	—	—	16	68	93	33	14	—	—	137.3%	48.9%	88.4%	20.2%	29.84	8.81	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	MIL	25	25	151	639	104	41	22	100%	6.1	16.2%	6.4%	9.8%	3.5%	4.67	4.83	+0.1
2028	34	MLB MLE	MIL	23	23	138	582	89	40	22	100%	6.0	15.3%	6.9%	8.5%	3.8%	4.95	5.14	-0.4
2027	33	MLB CTX	MIL	24	24	144	608	99	39	21	100%	6.0	16.2%	6.4%	9.8%	3.5%	4.67	4.83	+0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	MIL	21	21	125	528	81	36	20	100%	6.0	15.3%	6.9%	8.5%	3.8%	4.95	5.14	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		99	62	403	1723	293	126	64	63%	4.1	17.0%	7.3%	9.7%	3.7%	4.99	4.63	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		49	31	200	855	145	62	32	62%	4.1	17.0%	7.3%	9.7%	3.7%	4.99	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		246	190	1082	4545	842	325	149	77%	4.4	18.5%	7.1%	11.4%	3.3%	4.07	4.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	35	200	840	156	60	28	77%	4.4	18.5%	7.1%	11.4%	3.3%	4.07	4.24	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Thomas Pannone (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	17.1%	5.9%	3.2%	—	4.98	15.8%	9.2%	289	+0.43	—	—	—
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	77
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2015 · 3.66 FIP	34	SP	3.66	16.8%	7.1%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	119	75
J.A. Happ L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	32	SP	3.37	21.1%	5.7%	2.4%	.308	3.73	23.1%	15.9%	518	+0.36	3.37	1,053	73
CC Sabathia L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	35	SP	4.31	18.9%	6.5%	3.6%	.311	3.97	20.1%	12.1%	481	-0.34	3.76	756	71
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	66
Jorge De La Rosa L 2015 · 3.86 FIP	34	SP	3.86	21.1%	9.8%	2.4%	.284	4.36	18.4%	8.9%	256	+0.50	3.86	405	66
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	65
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	65
Greg Smith L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	31	SP-	3.37	11.8%	5.3%	1.1%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	120	62
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	62
C.J. Wilson L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	34	SP	3.69	19.9%	8.0%	2.3%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	132	62
Oscar Rivera L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	34	SP	3.68	14.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.298	4.66	10.4%	3.0%	129	+0.98	3.68	237	61
Alejandro Astorga L 2017 · 4.01 FIP	30	SP	4.01	14.4%	8.2%	2.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	311	60
Orlando Lara L 2017 · 4.39 FIP	32	SP	4.39	14.7%	6.5%	3.1%	.346	4.09	22.0%	14.2%	104	-0.30	3.85	426	59
Drew Smyly L 2021 · 4.89 FIP	32	SP-	4.89	21.4%	7.0%	5.0%	.291	4.49	21.6%	13.9%	307	-0.40	2.00	840	59
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	59
Roy Merritt L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	31	SP	3.95	16.2%	5.8%	2.7%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	129	59
Scott Diamond L 2016 · 3.46 FIP	30	SP	3.46	12.7%	4.8%	1.5%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	316	58
Felix Doubront L 2019 · 3.44 FIP	31	SP	3.44	17.6%	5.0%	2.1%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	291	58
Duane Below L 2016 · 4.57 FIP	30	SP	4.57	14.7%	5.1%	3.8%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	189	57

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	151	16.3%	6.4%	1.35	4.67
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37