Thomas Pannone
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 32
LHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 126
ERA4.43
FIP4.57
K%17.9%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.7
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
CT+0.6
FB-1.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | 27 | 20 | 116 | 473 | 120 | 37 | 12 | 74% | 4.3 | 18.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.02 | 4.04 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | 27 | 20 | 116 | 473 | 120 | 37 | 12 | 74% | 4.3 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 2.5% | 4.02 | 3.33 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 133 | 540 | 122 | 40 | 8 | 96% | 5.3 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 1.4% | 2.57 | 3.51 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 133 | 540 | 122 | 40 | 8 | 96% | 5.3 | 22.6% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 1.5% | 2.57 | 2.95 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 145 | 572 | 149 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.8% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 2.36 | 3.41 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 145 | 572 | 149 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 19.9% | 2.4% | 2.36 | 3.02 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 15 | 93 | 399 | 82 | 28 | 17 | 71% | 4.4 | 19.2% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 4.82 | 4.72 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 15 | 93 | 399 | 82 | 28 | 17 | 71% | 4.4 | 20.6% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 4.82 | 4.61 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 13 | 107 | 467 | 110 | 45 | 17 | 29% | 2.4 | 22.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 5.23 | 4.49 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 13 | 107 | 467 | 110 | 45 | 17 | 29% | 2.4 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 4.38 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 24 | 21 | 118 | 548 | 82 | 40 | 24 | 88% | 4.9 | 13.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.07 | 6.21 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 24 | 21 | 118 | 548 | 82 | 40 | 24 | 88% | 4.9 | 15.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 7.07 | 5.36 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 14 | 12 | 63 | 262 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 86% | 4.5 | 23.5% | 3.2% | 20.3% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 3.36 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 14 | 12 | 63 | 262 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 86% | 4.5 | 26.7% | 3.1% | 23.7% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 2.70 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 9 | 56 | 230 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 75% | 4.7 | 20.4% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 2.89 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 9 | 56 | 230 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 75% | 4.7 | 23.5% | 6.1% | 17.4% | 2.2% | 2.89 | 3.08 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 30 | 30 | 152 | 642 | 136 | 38 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.6% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 3.54 | 4.04 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 30 | 30 | 152 | 642 | 136 | 38 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | 3.54 | 3.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 15 | 14 | 66 | 279 | 52 | 20 | 7 | 93% | 4.4 | 16.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 49 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 131 | 553 | 101 | 38 | 16 | — | — | 18.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.37 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 6 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 17.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 25 | 25 | 151 | 639 | 109 | 46 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.85 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 23 | 138 | 582 | 94 | 45 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 4.97 | 5.16 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 124 | 522 | 79 | 43 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.28 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 40 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 16.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 4.97 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.28 | 5.49 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 74 | 37 | 260 | 1115 | 199 | 91 | 42 | 50% | 3.5 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 5.16 | 4.70 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 28 | 200 | 859 | 153 | 70 | 32 | 50% | 3.5 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 5.16 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 238 | 183 | 1050 | 4412 | 827 | 327 | 143 | 77% | 4.4 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.06 | 4.23 | +14.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 35 | 200 | 840 | 158 | 62 | 27 | 77% | 4.4 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.06 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Pannone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 17.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | — | 5.15 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 413 | +0.58 | — | — | — |
| Eric Stults L 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 77 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 76 |
| CC Sabathia L 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.30 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | .311 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 481 | -0.34 | 3.75 | 756 | 71 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.20 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 256 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 405 | 67 |
| Everett Teaford L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 66 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .298 | 4.12 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 139 | +0.07 | 2.90 | 864 | 65 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 65 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 65 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.57 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.59 | 19.5% | 7.6% | 301 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 650 | 64 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 63 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 63 |
| Drew Smyly L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 21.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | .291 | 4.35 | 21.6% | 13.9% | 307 | -0.54 | 2.01 | 840 | 62 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.85 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | .298 | 4.45 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.60 | 3.85 | 237 | 61 |
| Wade Miley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.19 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .284 | 3.77 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 230 | -0.42 | 3.36 | 1,167 | 61 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 311 | 61 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.30 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .290 | 6.22 | 8.7% | -4.3% | 12 | +1.92 | 3.72 | 395 | 60 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.45 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .346 | 4.05 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.40 | 3.82 | 426 | 59 |
| Travis Blackley L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 59 |
| Roy Merritt L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.88 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 129 | 59 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.39 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.39 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 291 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 144 | 16.6% | 7.4% | 1.39 | 4.81 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Jeremy Hellickson ('19) | 5 | 126 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.44 | 4.49 |
| Miguel González ('17) | 3 | 145 | 16.2% | 7.5% | 1.18 | 4.44 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |