Thomas Pannone
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
+0.6
WAR
Age 32
LHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.8 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP3.86
SIERA3.24
K%20.5%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%13.2%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4545
CMD4545
K†4040
FB Velo
p1089.7
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
CT+0.6
FB-1.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Lake County Captains | 27 | 20 | 116 | 473 | 120 | 37 | 12 | 18.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 4.21 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 25 | 24 | 133 | 540 | 122 | 40 | 8 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 2.57 | 3.60 | +2.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 25 | 25 | 145 | 572 | 149 | 35 | 14 | 20.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 2.36 | 3.57 | +2.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 21 | 15 | 93 | 399 | 82 | 28 | 17 | 19.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.82 | 4.78 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 45 | 13 | 107 | 467 | 110 | 45 | 17 | 22.5% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 4.43 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 24 | 21 | 118 | 548 | 82 | 40 | 24 | 13.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.07 | 5.80 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 14 | 12 | 63 | 262 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 23.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 3.22 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 12 | 9 | 56 | 230 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 20.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.89 | 3.70 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 30 | 30 | 152 | 642 | 136 | 38 | 20 | 18.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.54 | 4.13 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 83 | 39 | 16 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.85 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 115 | 484 | 77 | 39 | 16 | 15.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.97 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 109 | 460 | 70 | 38 | 16 | 15.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 5.11 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 103 | 433 | 62 | 36 | 15 | 14.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.15 | 5.26 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 17 | 96 | 405 | 55 | 35 | 15 | 13.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 5.32 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 223 | 169 | 984 | 4133 | 781 | 306 | 134 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.05 | 4.23 | +11.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 34 | 200 | 840 | 159 | 62 | 27 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.05 | 4.23 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Pannone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | — | 5.11 | 15.1% | 7.0% | 326 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Castillo L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 4.82 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.33 | 4.49 | 408 | 77 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .264 | 5.13 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +0.96 | 4.17 | 327 | 76 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | .301 | 4.73 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.06 | 4.33 | 445 | 76 |
| Everett Teaford L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 76 |
| Travis Blackley L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .324 | 4.45 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.44 | 3.85 | 225 | 74 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2028 · 3.71 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.71 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .298 | 4.55 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.84 | 3.71 | 237 | 74 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.18 | 15.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.24 | 16.7% | 8.4% | 92 | -0.94 | 2.79 | 225 | 73 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2024 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 311 | 72 |
| Jaime García L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.94 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 540 | 69 |
| Travis Wood L 2024 · 5.71 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.71 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 256 | 69 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.84 | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .335 | 4.77 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 112 | +0.93 | 2.89 | 391 | 68 |
| Roy Merritt L 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.92 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 129 | 67 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.40 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .346 | 4.07 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.33 | 3.83 | 426 | 67 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.82 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .316 | 5.24 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.45 | 512 | 66 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.08 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 65 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 32 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 642 | 64 |
| Drew Smyly L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.90 | 21.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | .291 | 4.45 | 21.6% | 13.9% | 307 | -0.45 | 1.80 | 840 | 62 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.48 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% | .288 | 3.77 | 25.2% | 15.4% | 175 | -1.71 | 2.83 | 845 | 62 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 60 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 244 | 59 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.