Chris Flexen
P
Chicago Cubs
+0.1
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.08
FIP4.89
xFIP5.11
SIERA5.05
K%17.1%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%8.7%
IP88
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†3040
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p1016.7%
K%
p1012.4%
xwOBA vs
p210.346
FB+8.3 (41%)
CT+2.4 (28%)
CH (2%)
CU (20%)
SL-2.4 (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | 9 | 7 | 40 | 154 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 18.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 1.59 | 2.34 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | 25 | 25 | 134 | 572 | 95 | 51 | 6 | 12.8% | 10.3% | 1.4% | 3.56 | 4.09 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | 24 | 19 | 109 | 465 | 99 | 45 | 16 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.75 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | New York Mets | 22 | 18 | 98 | 437 | 81 | 35 | 13 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 4.94 | 4.31 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 35 | 15 | 92 | 415 | 102 | 32 | 12 | 21.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.06 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 31 | 31 | 180 | 741 | 125 | 40 | 19 | 16.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.61 | 3.82 | +3.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 33 | 22 | 138 | 590 | 95 | 48 | 17 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 4.34 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 31 | 18 | 112 | 503 | 85 | 43 | 26 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.37 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 33 | 30 | 160 | 707 | 123 | 62 | 24 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.95 | 4.52 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 26 | 6 | 67 | 272 | 43 | 20 | 7 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.42 | 4.26 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 82 | 345 | 54 | 29 | 11 | 15.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 5.17 | 5.02 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 13 | 13 | 73 | 307 | 52 | 24 | 10 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 44 | 21 | 9 | 16.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 56 | — | 56 | 237 | 37 | 19 | 8 | 15.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 5.11 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 14.7% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 5.24 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 269 | 191 | 1130 | 4856 | 818 | 394 | 144 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.33 | +12.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 34 | 200 | 860 | 145 | 70 | 25 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.33 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Flexen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 15.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | — | 5.01 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 193 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | .268 | 5.25 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 166 | +0.16 | 3.94 | 567 | 61 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.25 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | +0.10 | 4.25 | 171 | 61 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 60 |
| Yohan Pino R 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.10 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.25 | 4.10 | 133 | 59 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.35 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 275 | 59 |
| Scott Feldman R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.32 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 188 | +0.16 | 3.98 | 297 | 59 |
| Sam LeCure R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.16 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 171 | 59 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 58 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.51 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 219 | 58 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.0% | .301 | 5.84 | 11.4% | 1.2% | 103 | +1.56 | 4.16 | 325 | 57 |
| Josh Zeid R 2024 · 5.36 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.36 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 57 |
| Jerome Williams R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.66 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.79 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.13 | 4.66 | 195 | 56 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .312 | 5.23 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 369 | +0.35 | 3.75 | 521 | 56 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 56 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.03 | 15.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | .306 | 4.57 | 15.7% | 7.6% | 115 | +0.54 | 4.03 | 365 | 55 |
| David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.65 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.65 | 100 | 55 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .353 | 3.35 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.54 | 3.27 | 283 | 54 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.30 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.62 | 10.8% | 5.2% | 216 | -0.68 | 3.19 | 450 | 54 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 54 |
| Michael Nix R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.82 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 4.52 | 11.9% | 0.3% | 115 | +0.70 | 3.82 | 234 | 53 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.