Brad Wieck
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.2
WAR
Age 34
LHP
6'8" / 257 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
xFIP3.09
SIERA3.04
K%22.9%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.8%
IP21
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD7070
K†5555
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p6728.0%
K%
p9039.4%
xwOBA vs
p900.255
FB+4.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 23 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 139 | 50 | 8 | 19.7% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 4.09 | 4.09 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 41 | 0 | 61 | 249 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 29.3% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 1.17 | 2.01 | +2.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 41 | 0 | 39 | 174 | 61 | 23 | 2 | 32.5% | 11.3% | 1.0% | 3.96 | 2.33 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 49 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 80 | 17 | 4 | 30.5% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 2.36 | 2.73 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 64 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 94 | 22 | 13 | 36.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.43 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 18.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 21 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 39.4% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 1.46 | 1.55 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 0 | 27 | 120 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 21 | — | 21 | 87 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.16 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 261 | 23 | 388 | 1652 | 460 | 175 | 37 | 27.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 3.51 | 3.31 | +8.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 12 | 200 | 852 | 237 | 90 | 19 | 27.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 3.51 | 3.31 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brad Wieck (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.25 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.41 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 20 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.55 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.77 | 1.56 | 219 | 84 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 259 | 84 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 71 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 71 |
| Brady Feigl L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 22.7% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 212 | 70 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | .269 | 2.55 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.29 | 2.19 | 195 | 70 |
| Boone Logan L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.22 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 4.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 113 | 66 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 66 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 64 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.7% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 864 | 64 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 63 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.17 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .301 | 5.84 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.67 | 2.63 | 198 | 63 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 28.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .290 | 3.36 | 29.3% | 21.7% | 137 | +0.06 | 2.22 | 459 | 61 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 60 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.75 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.42 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 2.97 | 117 | 60 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 59 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 59 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.89 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 424 | 58 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 57 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 57 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.