Brad Wieck
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 34
LHP
6'8" / 257 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97106vR 115
ERA4.14
FIP4.22
K%23.3%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%15.3%
ROS IP76
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p6728.0%
K%
p9039.4%
xwOBA vs
p900.255
FB+4.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 139 | 50 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.09 | 4.37 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 139 | 50 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 26.2% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 1.5% | 4.09 | 2.91 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 61 | 249 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.3% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 1.17 | 2.01 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 61 | 249 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 37.3% | 9.6% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 1.17 | 1.24 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 0 | 39 | 174 | 61 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.5% | 11.3% | 21.3% | 1.1% | 3.96 | 2.37 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 0 | 39 | 174 | 61 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 35.1% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 1.1% | 3.96 | 2.40 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 80 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.5% | 9.4% | 21.0% | 2.0% | 2.36 | 2.81 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 80 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.7% | 7.8% | 28.9% | 1.8% | 2.36 | 2.03 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 94 | 22 | 13 | 0% | 0.9 | 36.2% | 9.2% | 27.0% | 5.2% | 5.43 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 94 | 22 | 13 | 0% | 0.9 | 38.4% | 9.0% | 29.4% | 5.3% | 5.43 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.00 | 13.23 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.00 | 15.10 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 39.4% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 0.0% | 1.46 | 1.55 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.4% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 1.46 | 2.05 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 0 | 27 | 120 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 4.15 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 0 | 27 | 120 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 3.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 136 | 0 | 143 | 605 | 141 | 49 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 3.1% | 4.14 | 4.22 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 122 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 121 | 47 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 4.39 | 4.56 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 108 | 0 | 114 | 480 | 102 | 44 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 4.69 | 4.90 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 4.39 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 4.69 | 4.90 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 67 | 278 | 96 | 27 | 11 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.4% | 9.6% | 24.9% | 4.0% | 3.84 | 3.58 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 215 | 0 | 200 | 833 | 288 | 81 | 33 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.4% | 9.6% | 24.9% | 4.0% | 3.84 | 3.58 | +4.3 | ||
| Career | — | 261 | 23 | 388 | 1652 | 460 | 175 | 39 | 9% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 3.51 | 3.38 | +9.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 12 | 200 | 852 | 237 | 90 | 20 | 9% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 3.51 | 3.38 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brad Wieck (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 23.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.72 | 21.7% | 12.9% | 242 | +0.50 | — | — | — |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.04 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.39 | 259 | 64 |
| Rich Hill L 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 61 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.36 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .296 | 2.53 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.83 | 1.56 | 219 | 59 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 59 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.18 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | .301 | 5.68 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.50 | 2.59 | 198 | 56 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 56 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 56 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.19 | 28.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .290 | 3.30 | 29.3% | 21.7% | 137 | +0.11 | 2.22 | 487 | 56 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 53 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 549 | 52 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 52 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 50 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 49 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.43 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.09 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.34 | 2.72 | 166 | 49 |
| Andrew Miller L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.56 | 29.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | .264 | 3.33 | 25.6% | 16.5% | 49 | -1.23 | 1.34 | 336 | 49 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 49 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.17 | 31.7% | 12.2% | 4.0% | .270 | 4.26 | 27.8% | 12.4% | 146 | +0.09 | 2.33 | 455 | 48 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 47 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | .276 | 3.68 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -0.85 | 2.22 | 405 | 46 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.56 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 117 | 45 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 129 | 22.3% | 8.5% | 1.31 | 4.39 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Kutter Crawford ('24) | 3 | 130 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 1.45 | 4.47 |