Josh Sborz
P
Round Rock Express
+0.3
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.44
FIP4.00
xFIP3.30
SIERA3.19
K%24.9%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%16.5%
IP20
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF7070
CTRL5050
CMD6565
K†6565
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p3423.0%
K%
p6525.0%
xwOBA vs
p480.314
FB+1.9 (46%)
CU (23%)
SL-0.7 (31%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 13 | 3 | 22 | 97 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 2.42 | 3.88 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 30 | 19 | 125 | 505 | 125 | 36 | 10 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 2.81 | 3.85 | +2.1 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 24 | 24 | 117 | 505 | 81 | 54 | 8 | 13.0% | 11.8% | 1.5% | 3.86 | 4.33 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 46 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 71 | 20 | 1 | 27.0% | 9.4% | 0.5% | 3.88 | 2.28 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53 | 0 | 59 | 257 | 75 | 18 | 4 | 27.6% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 5.19 | 2.16 | +1.9 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 63 | 0 | 59 | 257 | 69 | 31 | 7 | 26.8% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 3.97 | 3.75 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 38 | 2 | 45 | 189 | 62 | 21 | 6 | 30.9% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.03 | 3.77 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 48 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 30.7% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 3.13 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 30 | 0 | 27 | 121 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 24.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 6.33 | 2.52 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 12 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 12 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.25 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 8 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 11 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.32 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | TEX | 20 | — | 20 | 83 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 28.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.63 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 28 | 119 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 29.4% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 2.55 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 28.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 3.93 | 3.76 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 369 | 49 | 588 | 2497 | 565 | 239 | 51 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 3.53 | +11.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 17 | 200 | 849 | 192 | 81 | 17 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 3.53 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Sborz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.63 | 28.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | — | 3.76 | 28.2% | 20.4% | 20 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bard R 2029 · 2.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.86 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.60 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.74 | 2.45 | 200 | 79 |
| C.C. Lee R 2025 · 3.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.02 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 121 | 75 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 74 |
| Chad Gaudin R 2027 · 2.66 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.66 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | .325 | 3.16 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 58 | +0.50 | 2.02 | 102 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.99 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .291 | 5.41 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.42 | 2.93 | 176 | 72 |
| Ryan Madson R 2028 · 2.94 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.94 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .244 | 2.97 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.03 | 1.43 | 240 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.04 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .324 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.1% | 134 | +0.23 | 2.31 | 403 | 72 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.42 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .235 | 4.92 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.50 | 2.00 | 320 | 71 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 71 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 71 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 71 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 70 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 70 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.46 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | .224 | 7.56 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 25 | +4.10 | 1.85 | 238 | 70 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.02 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .263 | 3.46 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 101 | +0.44 | 2.58 | 277 | 70 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 70 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 70 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.