Josh Sborz
P
Round Rock Express
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 55 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9989vR 80
ERA3.74
FIP3.45
K%29.5%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%23.1%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p3423.0%
K%
p6525.0%
xwOBA vs
p480.314
FB+1.9 (46%)
CU (23%)
SL-0.7 (31%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 3 | 22 | 97 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 23% | 1.7 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 2.42 | 4.12 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 3 | 22 | 97 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 23% | 1.7 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 3.1% | 2.42 | 3.82 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 19 | 125 | 505 | 125 | 36 | 10 | 63% | 4.2 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 2.81 | 3.84 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 19 | 125 | 505 | 125 | 36 | 10 | 63% | 4.2 | 24.8% | 7.1% | 17.6% | 2.0% | 2.81 | 3.00 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 24 | 24 | 117 | 505 | 81 | 54 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 13.0% | 11.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 4.15 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 24 | 24 | 117 | 505 | 81 | 54 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 3.99 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 71 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.0% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 0.4% | 3.88 | 2.24 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 71 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 8.9% | 22.7% | 0.4% | 3.88 | 1.81 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 59 | 257 | 75 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 6.8% | 20.8% | 0.9% | 5.19 | 2.12 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 59 | 257 | 75 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.2% | 7.0% | 22.2% | 1.6% | 5.19 | 2.35 | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.08 | 6.27 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.08 | 5.87 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 63 | 0 | 59 | 257 | 69 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 63 | 0 | 59 | 257 | 69 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.88 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 2 | 45 | 189 | 62 | 21 | 6 | 5% | 1.2 | 30.9% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 3.3% | 4.03 | 3.77 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 2 | 45 | 189 | 62 | 21 | 6 | 5% | 1.2 | 32.8% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 3.2% | 4.03 | 3.48 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.7% | 7.9% | 22.8% | 3.6% | 5.27 | 3.50 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 7.4% | 24.2% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 3.49 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 27 | 121 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.6% | 5.8% | 18.8% | 1.4% | 6.33 | 2.53 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 27 | 121 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 0.8% | 6.33 | 2.73 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 8% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.25 | 4.99 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 8% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.25 | 5.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 26 | 0 | 30 | 137 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 17.2% | 1.3% | 7.7% | 7.89 | 7.96 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | TEX | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 6.4% | 23.1% | 3.0% | 3.74 | 3.45 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | TEX | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 6.4% | 23.1% | 3.0% | 3.74 | 3.45 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 84 | 368 | 95 | 39 | 16 | — | — | 25.9% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 4.3% | 5.20 | 5.03 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 5 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 29.5% | 6.4% | 23.1% | 3.0% | 3.74 | 3.07 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 6.9% | 21.8% | 3.3% | 3.73 | 3.73 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 54 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 7.4% | 20.4% | 3.6% | 3.91 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 39 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 47 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 7.9% | 18.9% | 3.9% | 4.19 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 6.9% | 21.8% | 3.3% | 3.73 | 3.73 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 7.4% | 20.4% | 3.6% | 3.91 | 4.03 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 7.9% | 18.9% | 3.9% | 4.19 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 202 | 1 | 214 | 909 | 252 | 82 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 9.1% | 18.7% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 3.74 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 1 | 200 | 851 | 236 | 77 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 9.1% | 18.7% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 387 | 49 | 609 | 2598 | 579 | 256 | 61 | 13% | 1.6 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 3.76 | +11.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 16 | 200 | 853 | 190 | 84 | 20 | 13% | 1.6 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 3.76 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Sborz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.45 | 29.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.02 | 27.8% | 20.5% | 137 | +0.57 | — | — | — |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 2.37 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.37 | 28.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | .302 | 5.17 | 19.2% | 9.9% | 98 | +2.80 | 2.37 | 153 | 80 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 2.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.50 | 30.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 78 |
| Ryan Madson R 2028 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 74 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 72 |
| C.C. Lee R 2025 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 121 | 72 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 71 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .235 | 4.87 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.74 | 2.00 | 320 | 71 |
| Daniel Bard R 2029 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 71 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 2.56 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.56 | 24.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.29 | 26.1% | 18.9% | 107 | +0.73 | 2.56 | 268 | 69 |
| Gregory Infante R 2025 · 3.64 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.64 | 22.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 230 | 69 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .298 | 3.52 | 27.3% | 20.0% | 58 | -0.08 | 3.52 | 316 | 69 |
| Jay Jackson R 2025 · 2.91 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.91 | 32.4% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .272 | 3.61 | 29.4% | 19.9% | 41 | +0.70 | 2.41 | 261 | 69 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.59 | 25.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | .287 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.56 | 290 | 68 |
| Chad Gaudin R 2027 · 2.66 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.66 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | .325 | 3.46 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 58 | +0.80 | 2.02 | 102 | 68 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.03 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .263 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 101 | +0.32 | 2.48 | 277 | 68 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.09 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .305 | 5.10 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.01 | 2.74 | 239 | 67 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 2.95 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.95 | 23.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | .311 | 4.03 | 19.7% | 13.8% | 83 | +1.08 | 2.95 | 260 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 28.3% | 7.1% | 1.32 | 3.87 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |