Tejay Antone
P
Louisville Bats
+0.1
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP8.68
SIERA9.74
K%23.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.0%
IP9
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p8296.8
Whiff%
p9033.5%
K%
p9033.1%
xwOBA vs
p800.283
FB (60%)
SI (24%)
CU (15%)
SL (26%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | 26 | 26 | 158 | 654 | 101 | 33 | 2 | 11.4% | 6.0% | 0.4% | 2.91 | 3.10 | +3.9 |
| 2016 | 22 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 26 | 26 | 156 | 662 | 110 | 31 | 16 | 12.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.45 | 4.27 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 17 | 17 | 96 | 409 | 82 | 29 | 6 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 4.03 | 3.77 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 27 | 26 | 146 | 635 | 133 | 51 | 11 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 4.00 | 3.80 | +2.5 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 13 | 4 | 35 | 141 | 45 | 16 | 4 | 31.9% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 2.80 | 3.25 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 30 | 0 | 40 | 154 | 52 | 16 | 4 | 32.8% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 2.23 | 2.81 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 19 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.79 | 3.93 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 15 | 0 | 15 | 80 | 15 | 9 | 2 | — | — | — | 10.20 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 6 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | CIN | 9 | — | 9 | 39 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.21 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 16 | 62 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 30.7% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 2.45 | 2.44 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 24.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.28 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 102 | 675 | 2849 | 471 | 216 | 52 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 3.55 | 3.67 | +12.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 140 | 64 | 15 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 3.55 | 3.67 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tejay Antone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.19 | 25.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.33 | 24.9% | 15.5% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bard R 2029 · 2.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.86 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.60 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.74 | 2.45 | 200 | 82 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 76 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 75 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 75 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| C.C. Lee R 2025 · 3.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.02 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 121 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 74 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 74 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.04 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .324 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.1% | 134 | +0.23 | 2.31 | 403 | 74 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.99 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .291 | 5.41 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.42 | 2.93 | 176 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 73 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.46 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | .224 | 7.56 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 25 | +4.10 | 1.85 | 238 | 72 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 72 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 71 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 71 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 71 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.42 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .235 | 4.92 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.50 | 2.00 | 320 | 71 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.40 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.37 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -1.03 | 2.49 | 373 | 71 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.