Trevor Williams
P
Washington Nationals
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 231 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.66
FIP4.42
xFIP4.56
SIERA4.59
K%19.1%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%12.4%
IP74
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†3030
FB Velo
p1087.7
Whiff%
p1119.8%
K%
p1717.4%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
SI (8%)
SL-0.8 (36%)
CH-3.0 (13%)
FB-9.4 (51%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | 25 | 24 | 131 | 565 | 101 | 43 | 9 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.85 | 4.00 | +1.9 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 28 | 21 | 128 | 537 | 89 | 33 | 9 | 14.6% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 2.95 | 3.81 | +2.2 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 25 | 150 | 642 | 117 | 48 | 14 | 18.2% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 4.07 | 3.79 | +2.6 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 31 | 171 | 701 | 126 | 52 | 15 | 18.0% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 3.11 | 3.74 | +3.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 27 | 149 | 650 | 118 | 42 | 27 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.39 | 4.94 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 11 | 55 | 252 | 49 | 21 | 15 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.18 | 6.25 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | New York Mets | 27 | 19 | 110 | 479 | 105 | 34 | 12 | 21.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 3.85 | 3.57 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 9 | 90 | 372 | 84 | 22 | 12 | 22.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.21 | 3.76 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 30 | 30 | 144 | 659 | 111 | 52 | 34 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.55 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 15 | 15 | 74 | 289 | 64 | 19 | 3 | 22.7% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 2.07 | 2.61 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 17 | 17 | 83 | 373 | 65 | 21 | 11 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 6.21 | 4.13 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 22 | — | 22 | 94 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 44 | 21 | 10 | 14.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 39 | 20 | 9 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 272 | 229 | 1285 | 5519 | 998 | 395 | 174 | 18.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.16 | 4.21 | +15.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 36 | 200 | 859 | 155 | 61 | 27 | 18.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.16 | 4.21 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Williams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.96 | 14.5% | 7.3% | 136 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 290 | 62 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.76 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .224 | 4.37 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 22 | -0.39 | 2.96 | 358 | 59 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.39 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.11 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.28 | 4.11 | 186 | 59 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 59 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .248 | 6.54 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +2.82 | 2.87 | 141 | 59 |
| Hector Navarro R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 59 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.78 | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | .265 | 4.12 | 12.5% | 5.9% | 144 | +0.34 | 3.32 | 209 | 59 |
| Doug Fister R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.68 | 13.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 455 | 58 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 58 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.70 | 17.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 605 | 58 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.28 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .331 | 5.50 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 99 | +1.22 | 2.06 | 1,046 | 57 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 57 |
| Oscar Villarreal R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.90 | 14.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% | .325 | 5.35 | 8.7% | 0.1% | 13 | +1.45 | 2.53 | 135 | 57 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.63 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 5.47 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.84 | 4.63 | 172 | 57 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.63 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 3.50 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | -0.13 | 2.37 | 140 | 56 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 56 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 56 |
| Kameron Loe R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.88 | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | .356 | 3.36 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 133 | -0.52 | 3.36 | 201 | 56 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 56 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.19 | 20.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 288 | 56 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.