Noah Syndergaard
P
ACL White Sox
Age 33
RHP
6'6" / 242 lbs
ROK
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA4.74
FIP4.57
K%20.6%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP80
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p1017.9%
K%
p1014.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.381
CT-1.5
FB-2.1
SL-2.3
CH-8.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 180 | 716 | 200 | 37 | 21 | 100% | 6.2 | 27.4% | 5.2% | 22.1% | 2.9% | 3.01 | 3.06 | +4.9 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 180 | 716 | 200 | 37 | 21 | 100% | 6.2 | 27.9% | 5.2% | 22.8% | 2.9% | 3.01 | 3.01 | +5.0 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | 31 | 30 | 184 | 744 | 218 | 41 | 11 | 97% | 5.9 | 29.3% | 5.5% | 23.8% | 1.5% | 2.60 | 2.14 | +7.0 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | 31 | 30 | 184 | 744 | 218 | 41 | 11 | 97% | 5.9 | 29.3% | 5.5% | 23.8% | 1.5% | 2.60 | 2.17 | +6.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 8 | 31 | 130 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 3.9 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 25.8% | 0.0% | 2.87 | 0.99 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 8 | 31 | 130 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 3.9 | 27.7% | 1.5% | 26.2% | 0.0% | 2.87 | 0.99 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 25 | 25 | 154 | 644 | 155 | 37 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.1% | 5.7% | 18.3% | 1.4% | 3.03 | 2.57 | +5.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 25 | 25 | 154 | 644 | 155 | 37 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.1% | 5.7% | 18.3% | 1.4% | 3.03 | 2.57 | +5.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 32 | 32 | 198 | 825 | 202 | 48 | 24 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.5% | 5.8% | 18.7% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.37 | +4.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 32 | 32 | 198 | 825 | 202 | 48 | 24 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.5% | 5.8% | 18.7% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.36 | +4.7 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 7 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 1.4 | 28.9% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 5.3% | 2.70 | 3.88 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 7 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 1.4 | 28.9% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 5.3% | 2.70 | 3.80 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 25 | 24 | 135 | 565 | 95 | 31 | 14 | 96% | 5.4 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 3.94 | 3.69 | +2.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 25 | 24 | 135 | 565 | 95 | 31 | 14 | 96% | 5.4 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 3.94 | 3.73 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 99 | 430 | 64 | 19 | 23 | 100% | 4.9 | 14.3% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.39 | 5.61 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 99 | 430 | 64 | 19 | 23 | 100% | 4.9 | 14.9% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 6.39 | 5.41 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 23 | 95 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 100% | 3.9 | 13.6% | 2.1% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 2.22 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 23 | 95 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 100% | 3.9 | 14.7% | 2.1% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 5.40 | 4.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 69 | 290 | 60 | 22 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 4.74 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 52 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 44 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 5.05 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 50 | 209 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 5.37 | 5.58 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 52 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 4.86 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 44 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.09 | 5.25 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 37 | 19 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.41 | 5.62 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 192 | 190 | 1109 | 4613 | 1062 | 268 | 129 | 99% | 5.8 | 23.0% | 5.8% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 3.92 | 3.43 | +25.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 832 | 191 | 48 | 23 | 99% | 5.8 | 23.0% | 5.8% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 3.92 | 3.43 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 183 | 181 | 1013 | 4187 | 987 | 220 | 105 | 99% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 5.3% | 18.3% | 2.5% | 3.69 | 3.15 | +26.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 826 | 195 | 43 | 21 | 99% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 5.3% | 18.3% | 2.5% | 3.69 | 3.15 | +5.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Syndergaard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | — | 5.19 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 168 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Manuel Flores R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 515 | 79 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 78 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 74 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.58 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .296 | 4.03 | 26.7% | 20.7% | 134 | -0.55 | 2.87 | 864 | 74 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 73 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.25 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .262 | 4.26 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 307 | +0.01 | 3.43 | 645 | 73 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 73 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.70 | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | .281 | 5.05 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 59 | +1.35 | 3.70 | 162 | 72 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 72 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.50 | 19.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% | .254 | 5.36 | 15.4% | 9.5% | 59 | +1.86 | 2.49 | 433 | 71 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.70 | 15.2% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .262 | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 114 | +0.64 | 3.70 | 240 | 70 |
| Cory Riordan R 2023 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 70 |
| Jake Peavy R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 69 |
| Kyle Davies R 2024 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.72 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 153 | 69 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 69 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.23 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 84 | +0.32 | 4.91 | 241 | 68 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 68 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 277 | 67 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | .313 | 4.27 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 216 | +0.48 | 3.56 | 394 | 67 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.57 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .285 | 6.83 | 7.6% | -1.5% | 12 | +2.26 | 3.73 | 469 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 1.49 | 4.97 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |