Noah Syndergaard
P
ACL White Sox
+0.4
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'6" / 242 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA5.37
FIP4.61
xFIP5.21
SIERA5.07
K%20.1%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%12.6%
IP80
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p1017.9%
K%
p1014.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.381
CT-1.5
FB-2.1
SL-2.3
CH-8.9
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | New York Mets | 29 | 29 | 180 | 716 | 200 | 37 | 21 | 27.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.01 | 3.07 | +4.5 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | 31 | 30 | 184 | 744 | 218 | 41 | 11 | 29.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 2.60 | 2.09 | +6.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | New York Mets | 8 | 8 | 31 | 130 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 2.87 | 0.99 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Mets | 25 | 25 | 154 | 644 | 155 | 37 | 9 | 24.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 3.03 | 2.59 | +4.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | New York Mets | 32 | 32 | 198 | 825 | 202 | 48 | 24 | 24.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.28 | +4.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 7 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 25 | 24 | 135 | 565 | 95 | 31 | 14 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 3.94 | 3.70 | +2.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 20 | 20 | 99 | 430 | 64 | 19 | 23 | 14.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.39 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 6 | 6 | 23 | 95 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 13.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 2.22 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 61 | 22 | 10 | 21.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 5.35 | 4.52 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 48 | 18 | 8 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 4.94 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 4.86 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 4.93 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 181 | 1013 | 4187 | 987 | 220 | 103 | 23.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.69 | 3.13 | +24.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 826 | 195 | 43 | 20 | 23.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.69 | 3.13 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Syndergaard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 21.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | — | 4.79 | 19.8% | 11.8% | 138 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 81 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 79 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 78 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 78 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.31 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.08 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.23 | 2.86 | 596 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 77 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 77 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 76 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2027 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 76 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.55 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .273 | 6.40 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.85 | 3.55 | 155 | 76 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 76 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 75 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 75 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 75 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 74 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 74 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.