Nick CastellanosRF San Diego Padres
Age 34 R/R 6'3" / 203 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 12.169 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 433 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 114111vR 102
AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .309 / .453
PA433
HR15
SB5
K%24
BB%5
BABIP322
ISO188
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -4.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-4FLDPOS: -5.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +15.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.90.70.0-0.6262829
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 56 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT56
Whiff%
1914.5%
xwOBA
580.317
POWER50
Barrel%
487.9
Avg EV
3688.1
Bat Spd
3669.8
EYE30
Chase%
1438.8%
SPEED41
Sprint
4327.2
DEFENSE40
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1291 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
358
933
wRC+
108
91
◀◀L
wOBA
326
304
L
ISO
189
150
◀◀L
BABIP
301
288
L
K%
24.6%
21.0%
R
BB%
5.9%
5.6%
L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2013
Service   12.169 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
OPTDEF 20%
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$8M+0.1$0.5M-$8M
Totals $8M $0.5M -$8M
Options · projected decision
2027MUTUAL OPT$20.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2028MUTUAL OPT$20.0M / $2.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201018 ROKGCL Tigers 2926 6100 270 01 231286269555 38300 247 283 75
201018 ROKGCL Tigers 2924 8200 450 01 333429417845 83400 1714 372 143
201119 AWest Michigan Whitecaps 562526 1232826 261883 32 234274329603 95346 335 265 61
201119 AWest Michigan Whitecaps 562507 1583637 451303 32 312371436807 124402 238 357 131
201220 AA3 teams 694652 1663237 302015 106 255293345638 90353 294 282 74
201220 AA3 teams 694636 19638411 461495 106 308360432792 124383 217 351 126
201321 AAA2 teams 613572 13831120 331183 41 241286404690 163269 195 298 86
201321 AAA2 teams 613551 15237118 541013 41 276344445788 169307 169 348 124
201422 MLBDetroit Tigers 579533 14333412 361403 22 268318413731 144338 246 315 99 -1 -0 -9 +2 +16 0.9
201422 MLBDetroit Tigers 579533 13831411 361403 22 259309394703 135326 246 310 96 -3 -0 -9 +2 +16 0.7
201523 MLBDetroit Tigers 595549 14535616 391521 03 264314437751 173333 267 325 107 +5 -1 -3 +2 +17 1.9
201523 MLBDetroit Tigers 595549 14033615 391521 03 255306419725 164322 267 318 101 +1 -1 -3 +2 +17 1.6
201624 MLBDetroit Tigers 447411 12327420 281113 11 299348530879 231361 256 370 141 +21 -0 -1 +2 +13 3.5
201624 MLBDetroit Tigers 447411 11725418 281113 11 285335496831 212345 256 360 134 +17 -0 -1 +2 +13 3.1
201725 MLBDetroit Tigers 665614 173381028 411425 45 282332513845 231323 216 363 136 +27 -1 -10 +2 +19 3.8
201725 MLBDetroit Tigers 665614 167361026 411425 45 272323490813 218313 216 353 128 +21 -1 -10 +2 +19 3.2
201826 MLBDetroit Tigers 678620 19349525 491516 21 311367527895 216376 227 381 150 +38 +0 -23 -7 +19 2.8
201826 MLBDetroit Tigers 678620 18546523 491516 21 298356500856 202361 227 375 145 +34 +0 -23 -7 +19 2.4
201927 MLBChicago Cubs 664615 17657326 411435 22 286336515851 229334 226 365 138 +28 -0 -12 -7 +19 2.8
201927 MLBChicago Cubs 664615 17858327 411435 22 289339525864 236337 226 375 145 +34 -0 -12 -7 +19 3.4
202028 MLBCincinnati Reds 242218 4811213 19694 02 220295468762 248255 298 325 107 +2 -1 -5 -3 +7 0.1
202028 MLBCincinnati Reds 242218 4911214 19694 02 225299486785 261257 298 341 119 +5 -1 -5 -3 +7 0.4
202129 MLBCincinnati Reds 585531 15936132 411217 31 299358552909 252331 217 384 152 +34 +0 -10 -6 +17 3.6
202129 MLBCincinnati Reds 585531 16438134 411217 31 309366576942 267340 217 406 169 +45 +0 -10 -6 +17 4.7
202230 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 558524 13626013 291303 71 260302384686 124321 235 301 89 -7 +1 -12 -6 +16 -0.8
202230 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 558524 13827013 291303 71 263306389695 126326 235 310 95 -3 +1 -12 -6 +16 -0.4
202331 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 671626 16736228 361853 112 267310465775 198332 285 334 114 +10 +1 -9 -7 +19 1.5
202331 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 671626 17037229 361853 112 272314476790 204337 285 344 121 +16 +1 -9 -7 +19 2.1
202432 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 659606 15129422 4113910 62 249307419727 170289 216 318 101 +1 +0 -13 -7 +19 -0.0
202432 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 659606 15430423 4113910 62 254312431743 177294 216 329 110 +7 +0 -13 -7 +19 0.6
202533 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 589547 13426216 321334 40 245292388679 143292 235 299 87 -9 +1 -13 -6 +17 -1.1
202533 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 589547 13727217 321334 40 250297400697 150298 235 307 93 -5 +1 -13 -6 +17 -0.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD34 MLBSD 122115 22504 5340 20 191225339564 148228 284 238 40 -8 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.6
YTD34 MLBSD 122115 22504 5340 20 191225339564 148228 284 246 46 -7 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.5
ROS34 MLBSD 100% 433404 10725315 231053 51 265309453762 188319 245 329 110 +5 +1 -4 -5 +12 1.0
ROS34 MLBSD 100% 433404 10524314 231053 51 260305438743 178314 245 319 102 +1 +1 -4 -5 +12 0.6
FULL34 MLBSD 555519 12729318 281393 71 245287416703 171298 255 301 88 -7 +1 -4 -6 +16 -0.1
TOT34 MLBSD 555519 12930319 281393 71 249291428719 179301 255 309 95 -3 +1 -4 -6 +16 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735 MLBSD 100% 487455 11726316 261223 41 257302433735 176314 255 319 102 +1 +0 -10 -5 +14 0.0
202836 MLBSD 100% 425397 9721213 221103 20 244289406695 161303 265 304 91 -4 +0 -10 -5 +12 -0.7
202937 MLBSD 100% 359336 7816210 18952 10 232275381656 149292 265 289 79 -8 +0 -10 -4 +10 -1.2
202735 MLBSD 100% 487455 11425315 261223 41 251295418713 167309 255 309 95 -3 +0 -10 -5 +14 -0.4
202836 MLBSD 100% 425397 9520212 221103 20 239284390675 151299 265 295 84 -8 +0 -10 -5 +12 -1.0
202937 MLBSD 100% 359336 761529 18952 10 226270363633 137288 265 280 72 -11 +0 -10 -4 +10 -1.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 86548004 213248353300 521204965 5424 266316452769 186321 246 336 115 +149 +1 -154 -66 +245 17.9
/ 162G 650601 16036423 391545 42 266316454771 188319 246 336 115 +11 +0 -12 -5 +18 1.3
Career 105349762 258058359338 612256276 7134 264313440753 176323 246 326 107 +88 +1 -154 -80 +298 15.6
/ 162G 650602 16036421 381585 42 266315444758 178325 246 326 107 +5 +0 -10 -5 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201018 ROKGCL Tigers 2924 8200 450 01 333429417845 83400 1714 372 143 +1 -0 +1 0.2
201119 AWest Michigan Whitecaps 562507 1583637 451303 32 312371436807 124402 238 357 131 +20 -0 +16 3.6
201220 AAErie SeaWolves 341322 851517 14762 54 264299382681 118322 224 301 89 -4 -1 +10 0.5
201220 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers 243215 871733 22423 32 4054675531.020 149486 179 446 199 +27 -0 +7 3.5
201220 INTLMesa Solar Sox 11099 24601 10310 20 242312333645 91338 289 292 82 -2 +0 +3 0.1
201321 MLBDetroit Tigers 1818 5000 010 00 278278278556 294 60 251 51 -1 +0 -1 -7 +1 -0.8
201321 AAAToledo Mud Hens 595533 14737118 541003 41 276346450796 174307 179 351 127 +18 +0 +17 3.6
201422 MLBDetroit Tigers 579533 13831411 361403 22 259309394703 135326 246 310 96 -3 -0 -9 +2 +16 0.7
201523 MLBDetroit Tigers 595549 14033615 391521 03 255306419725 164322 267 318 101 +1 -1 -3 +2 +17 1.6
201624 MLBDetroit Tigers 447411 11725418 281113 11 285335496831 212345 256 360 134 +17 -0 -1 +2 +13 3.1
201725 MLBDetroit Tigers 665614 167361026 411425 45 272323490813 218313 216 353 128 +21 -1 -10 +2 +19 3.2
201826 MLBDetroit Tigers 678620 18546523 491516 21 298356500856 202361 227 375 145 +34 +0 -23 -7 +19 2.4
201927 MLBChicago Cubs 664615 17858327 411435 22 289339525864 236337 226 375 145 +34 -0 -12 -7 +19 3.4
202028 MLBCincinnati Reds 242218 4911214 19694 02 225299486785 261257 298 341 119 +5 -1 -5 -3 +7 0.4
202129 MLBCincinnati Reds 585531 16438134 411217 31 309366576942 267340 217 406 169 +45 +0 -10 -6 +17 4.7
202230 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 558524 13827013 291303 71 263306389695 126326 235 310 95 -3 +1 -12 -6 +16 -0.4
202331 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 671626 17037229 361853 112 272314476790 204337 285 344 121 +16 +1 -9 -7 +19 2.1
202432 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 659606 15430423 4113910 62 254312431743 177294 216 329 110 +7 +0 -13 -7 +19 0.6
202533 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 589547 13727217 321334 40 250297400697 150298 235 307 93 -5 +1 -13 -6 +17 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 69506412 174239943250 432161754 4222 272323464787 193325 236 344 122 +170 -0 -120 -48 +197 20.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Justin Uptonlast yr '22
AS×4SS×2
career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA
167,649325151261342469-82-9129.627.0
/1626642813-7.1-7.92.6pk7: 24
#2Aubrey Hufflast yr '12
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,786 PA
136,78624237278342464-60-7525.526.9
/162664244-5.8-7.42.5pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 17 projected seasons
178,88031158267313454-100-17827.525.5
/162664234-7.5-13.32.1pk7: 23
#3Raul Ibanezlast yr '14
career totals — 15 seasons, 7,916 PA
157,91629345274337468-80-12524.623.4
/162664254-6.7-10.52.1pk7: 22
#4Hunter Pencelast yr '20
career totals — 14 seasons, 7,006 PA
147,006244120279334461-68-6724.322.9
/1626642311-6.5-6.42.3pk7: 21
#5Michael Cuddyerlast yr '15
career totals — 14 seasons, 6,082 PA
146,08219774278344461-57-11618.818.1
/162664228-6.2-12.62.0pk7: 17
#6Adam Lindlast yr '17
career totals — 12 seasons, 5,029 PA
125,0292007272330465-76-7611.611.8
/162664261-10.0-10.11.5pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nick Castellanos (OGILVIE) 34 50→56 50 55→41 30 249/291/428 179301 197 25% 5% 95 +0.3
Abraham Valencia
2014 · AAA
34 46→53 53→55 43→45 40 242/297/406 163280 224 23% 4% 98 +1.6 243/303/357 114292 127 21% 5% 86 +0.8 259/324/324653096317%5%83+0.3
Roberto Lopez
2019 · AAA
33 48→49 51→55 45 44 250/295/400 150290 209 22% 6% 94 +1.3 236/285/361 125279 168 21% 6% 79 +0.3 233/282/33510226916420%5%68-0.3
Kevin Pillar
2022 · MLB
33 47→57 53→55 47→55 42 247/291/422 175275 2110 20% 4% 98 +1.6 239/290/422 183271 2311 21% 5% 98 +1.6 233/285/412180263221521%5%92+0.5
Gerald Williams
2001 · MLB
34 52→53 50 42→55 46 265/306/418 153287 1811 16% 5% 103 +1.9 226/280/352 126257 1318 17% 6% 76 +0.0 206/255/343138235121718%5%60-0.4
Matt McBride
2019 · MLB
34 40→50 53→55 42→40 46 215/275/393 179247 214 23% 7% 85 +0.7 222/273/412 190263 267 26% 6% 89 +1.0 191/231/41122119537027%4%68-0.1
Raul Sanchez
2006 · AAA
33 52→55 49→45 42→50 43 262/301/411 149295 1712 18% 4% 99 +1.7 270/316/386 116306 1213 15% 5% 98 +1.6 283/330/3799732091414%5%100+0.8
Brett Harper
2015 · AAA
34 47→50 52→60 42→30 42 244/300/404 161306 218 27% 6% 98 +1.6 245/301/415 170302 254 27% 7% 101 +1.8 239/296/40216329026027%6%94+0.7
Carlos Valencia
2014 · AAA
34 46→56 48→60 38→40 38 235/262/379 144273 164 21% 3% 75 -0.0 219/252/344 125256 154 21% 4% 61 -1.0 212/245/3089725413322%4%47-1.0
Felix Perez
2019 · AAA
34 47→52 52→65 43→50 41 243/293/407 164292 217 25% 5% 95 +1.4 239/291/459 220271 315 25% 6% 109 +2.4 228/282/47424524137024%5%111+1.7
John Lindsey
2011 · AAA
34 46→53 50→65 43→30 40 236/293/395 159289 182 25% 5% 93 +1.3 235/302/430 195296 253 29% 6% 106 +2.2 229/309/45722727933030%7%114+2.0
Alex Gonzalez
2011 · MLB
34 47→55 51→55 41→40 45 242/287/410 168266 183 18% 5% 94 +1.3 239/278/386 147277 174 20% 5% 83 +0.6 228/258/34611727214221%4%61-0.6
Chris Aguila
2012 · AAA
33 44→54 51→55 47→50 42 226/284/391 165301 197 31% 7% 88 +0.9 230/288/367 137304 158 28% 7% 82 +0.5 225/286/32910429311326%6%69-0.2
Edgard Clemente
2010 · AAA
34 49 54→55 39→40 49 252/318/426 175293 226 22% 8% 111 +2.5 258/315/431 173312 218 24% 7% 111 +2.5 236/297/41117529924929%6%95+0.3
Damon Hollins
2008 · MLB
34 46→50 54→55 45 47 240/290/418 177260 229 18% 6% 97 +1.5 211/278/362 151254 186 24% 8% 78 +0.2 180/253/31913921318225%8%52-1.1
Adam Rosales
2018 · MLB
35 45→49 52→55 44→45 41 228/286/396 167309 207 32% 7% 90 +1.0 208/259/343 135274 165 29% 6% 64 -0.8 189/239/31312324515329%5%46-1.2
Jose Amador
2014 · AAA
34 50→60 52→55 39→45 43 257/312/417 160295 215 21% 5% 106 +2.2 241/309/376 135272 175 18% 7% 95 +1.4 250/329/38813727417315%8%103+1.3
Darnell McDonald
2013 · MLB
34 43→53 48→55 43→55 49 218/287/361 143261 169 23% 8% 81 +0.4 213/272/321 108262 1011 22% 7% 63 -0.8 205/258/2878225261221%6%46-1.2
Mario Lisson
2017 · AAA
33 46→49 48→55 43→55 44 231/300/370 139306 178 29% 8% 89 +1.0 214/278/355 141282 169 29% 7% 76 +0.0 171/232/31314220618627%7%43-0.8
Jason Michaels
2010 · MLB
34 48→55 49→50 42→45 51 239/309/391 153282 166 21% 9% 98 +1.6 228/289/377 149262 155 19% 7% 85 +0.7 211/267/34313223913118%6%63-0.2
Hernando Arredondo
2013 · AAA
36 50→56 51→50 42→50 41 257/284/414 157284 208 19% 4% 93 +1.3 242/276/384 142279 175 20% 4% 82 +0.5 238/274/36913127416220%4%74-0.0