Hoby Milner — OGILVIE

Hoby Milner P Seattle Mariners

Age 35 LHP 6'3" / 187 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98106vR 114

ERA3.47

FIP3.73

K%16.0%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1087.1

Whiff%

p1017.4%

p1012.7%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

FB+2.2 (51%)

SL+1.6 (28%)

SI (40%)

CH-1.3 (21%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	3	64	263	41	17	6	10%	2.1	12.9%	7.4%	5.4%	2.8%	3.52	4.49	—
2015	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	3	64	263	41	17	6	10%	2.1	15.6%	6.5%	9.1%	2.3%	3.52	3.83	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	65	271	76	13	5	0%	1.3	23.3%	5.2%	18.1%	1.9%	2.49	2.84	—
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	65	271	76	13	5	0%	1.3	28.0%	4.8%	23.2%	1.8%	2.49	2.36	—
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	59	247	49	16	3	0%	1.0	18.5%	6.5%	12.0%	1.2%	2.29	3.01	+1.1
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	59	247	49	16	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.5%	13.4%	1.2%	2.29	2.91	+1.2
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	1	48	212	57	21	6	2%	0.9	24.8%	10.3%	14.5%	2.0%	3.56	3.38	+0.7
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	1	48	212	57	21	6	2%	0.9	26.9%	9.9%	17.0%	2.8%	3.56	3.66	+0.5
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	65	260	92	11	7	0%	1.2	32.2%	4.3%	27.9%	2.8%	3.31	2.47	+1.6
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	65	260	92	11	7	0%	1.2	35.4%	4.2%	31.2%	2.7%	3.31	2.18	+1.9
2020	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	19	0	13	59	13	6	5	0%	0.7	22.0%	10.2%	11.9%	8.3%	8.10	7.09	-0.4
2020	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	19	0	13	59	13	6	5	0%	0.7	22.0%	10.2%	11.9%	8.5%	8.10	7.38	-0.4
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	54	219	78	5	10	0%	1.1	33.0%	2.3%	30.7%	4.6%	3.19	3.12	+0.9
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	54	219	78	5	10	0%	1.1	35.6%	2.3%	33.3%	4.6%	3.19	2.90	+1.1
2022	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	67	0	65	272	64	15	5	0%	1.0	23.5%	5.5%	18.0%	1.8%	3.76	2.77	+1.4
2022	31	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	67	0	65	272	64	15	5	0%	1.0	23.5%	5.5%	18.0%	1.8%	3.76	2.82	+1.3
2023	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	73	0	64	252	59	13	5	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.2%	18.3%	1.9%	1.82	2.81	+1.3
2023	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	73	0	64	252	59	13	5	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.2%	18.3%	1.9%	1.82	2.81	+1.3
2023	32	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	73	0	64	252	59	13	5	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.2%	18.3%	2.0%	1.82	2.88	+1.3
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	1	67	275	65	12	6	2%	1.1	23.9%	4.5%	19.4%	2.1%	4.59	2.82	+1.4
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	1	67	275	65	12	6	2%	1.1	23.9%	4.5%	19.4%	2.1%	4.59	2.82	+1.4
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	1	67	275	65	12	6	2%	1.1	23.6%	4.4%	19.3%	2.2%	4.59	2.86	+1.3
2025	34	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	73	0	70	293	58	18	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.1%	13.7%	1.6%	3.84	3.08	+1.2
2025	34	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	73	0	70	293	58	18	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.1%	13.7%	1.6%	3.84	3.08	+1.2
2025	34	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	73	0	70	293	58	18	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.1%	13.7%	1.7%	3.84	3.14	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			409	1	380	1602	342	94	44	0%	0.9	21.3%	5.9%	15.5%	2.7%	3.83	3.55	+4.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	52	0	50	211	30	11	6	0%	1.0	12.7%	5.5%	7.3%	3.1%	3.62	4.42	+0.1
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	52	0	50	211	30	11	6	0%	1.0	12.7%	5.5%	7.3%	3.1%	3.62	4.42	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	AAA RAW	SEA	10	0	11	46	9	2	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	4.3%	15.2%	2.2%	2.53	3.19	—
2026	35	MLB RAW	SEA	42	0	39	165	21	9	5	0%	0.9	12.7%	5.5%	7.3%	3.0%	3.92	4.38	+0.1
SO FAR	35	MLB RAW	SEA	42	0	39	165	21	9	5	0%	0.9	12.7%	5.5%	7.3%	3.0%	3.92	4.38	+0.1
ROS	35	MLB MLE	SEA	5	0	5	21	3	1	0	0%	1.0	16.0%	5.7%	10.3%	2.3%	3.47	3.73	+0.0
ROS	35	MLB CTX	SEA	5	0	5	21	3	1	0	0%	1.0	16.0%	5.7%	10.3%	2.3%	3.47	3.73	+0.0
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	55	232	33	12	6	—	—	14.4%	5.3%	9.1%	2.8%	3.61	4.36	+0.1
FULL	35	MLB A+C	SEA	—	—	44	186	33	12	6	—	—	18.0%	6.6%	11.4%	3.5%	4.49	4.33	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	SEA	50	0	52	221	34	14	6	0%	1.0	15.6%	6.3%	9.3%	2.8%	4.25	4.50	+0.0
2028	37	MLB MLE	SEA	44	0	46	193	28	13	6	0%	1.0	14.5%	6.9%	7.6%	3.2%	4.64	4.90	-0.2
2029	38	MLB MLE	SEA	37	0	39	166	22	13	6	0%	1.1	13.3%	7.6%	5.7%	3.7%	5.06	5.33	-0.3
2027	36	MLB CTX	SEA	50	0	52	220	34	14	6	0%	1.0	15.6%	6.3%	9.3%	2.8%	4.25	4.50	+0.0
2028	37	MLB CTX	SEA	44	0	46	194	28	13	6	0%	1.0	14.5%	6.9%	7.6%	3.2%	4.64	4.90	-0.2
2029	38	MLB CTX	SEA	37	0	39	165	22	13	6	0%	1.1	13.3%	7.6%	5.7%	3.7%	5.06	5.33	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		545	1	523	2203	430	135	63	0%	1.0	19.5%	6.1%	13.4%	2.9%	4.03	3.80	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		208	0	200	843	165	52	24	0%	1.0	19.5%	6.1%	13.4%	2.9%	4.03	3.80	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		642	5	684	2834	638	164	68	1%	1.1	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	2.4%	3.37	3.26	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		188	1	200	829	186	48	20	1%	1.1	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	2.4%	3.37	3.26	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hoby Milner (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.86	18.7%	5.8%	2.2%	—	4.87	14.5%	7.7%	137	+1.01	—	—	—
Fernando Abad L 2021 · 4.24 FIP	35	SU	4.24	17.6%	6.4%	3.3%	.343	4.24	18.2%	12.6%	81	+0.00	2.37	306	69
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	67
Cesár Ramos L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	33	SW	4.23	16.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	225	66
Craig Breslow L 2016 · 4.26 FIP	35	SU	4.26	17.0%	9.2%	2.6%	.418	4.54	15.7%	5.5%	55	+0.28	4.22	159	66
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	65
Brooks Raley L 2023 · 3.03 FIP	35	SU	3.03	25.8%	9.3%	1.7%	.268	2.93	24.2%	16.9%	77	-0.10	1.74	255	63
Jerry Blevins L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	35	SU	4.09	26.2%	9.9%	3.5%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	166	62
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2016 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	20.7%	8.2%	1.6%	.255	3.35	26.7%	18.4%	22	+0.07	2.58	109	62
Lucas Luetge L 2022 · 2.71 FIP	35	SU	2.71	23.9%	6.4%	1.5%	.345	3.76	22.5%	15.1%	96	+1.05	2.53	430	61
Manny Parra L 2018 · 3.33 FIP	35	SU	3.33	18.4%	10.3%	0.9%	.351	2.43	17.3%	11.0%	27	-0.90	2.43	114	61
Dana Eveland L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	33	SW	4.67	14.7%	4.7%	4.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.42	129	60
David Price L 2021 · 3.82 FIP	35	SW	3.82	17.8%	7.4%	2.4%	.301	3.65	22.2%	18.0%	40	-0.17	2.65	922	59
Francisco Liriano L 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SU	4.34	20.9%	11.3%	2.9%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	650	58
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	55
Dan Runzler L 2019 · 4.84 FIP	34	SU	4.84	16.0%	13.0%	2.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	127	53
Oliver Pérez L 2017 · 3.22 FIP	35	SU	3.22	27.3%	7.0%	2.8%	.311	2.23	28.0%	23.3%	105	-0.99	1.58	219	53
Tony Watson L 2020 · 4.32 FIP	35	SU	4.32	20.5%	4.1%	4.4%	.192	3.46	19.6%	12.0%	57	-0.86	2.21	405	53
Adam Loewen L 2017 · 4.22 FIP	33	SU	4.22	23.4%	17.4%	1.6%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	176	48
Rich Hill L 2015 · 3.27 FIP	35	SW	3.27	26.8%	10.9%	1.9%	.239	3.07	29.0%	21.2%	379	-0.20	2.05	1,030	48
Sam Freeman L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	35	SU	4.01	18.5%	13.1%	1.5%	.212	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	299	45

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	15.8%	6.5%	1.12	4.31
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21