Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 3 | 64 | 263 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 10% | 2.1 | 12.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.52 | 4.46 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 3 | 64 | 263 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 10% | 2.1 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 3.52 | 3.83 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 65 | 271 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.3% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 1.8% | 2.49 | 2.77 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 65 | 271 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.0% | 4.8% | 23.2% | 1.8% | 2.49 | 2.36 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 49 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 1.2% | 2.29 | 3.02 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 49 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 1.2% | 2.29 | 2.91 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 1 | 48 | 212 | 57 | 21 | 6 | 2% | 0.9 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 3.56 | 3.41 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 1 | 48 | 212 | 57 | 21 | 6 | 2% | 0.9 | 26.9% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 3.56 | 3.66 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 260 | 92 | 11 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.2% | 4.3% | 27.9% | 2.5% | 3.31 | 2.31 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 260 | 92 | 11 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 35.4% | 4.2% | 31.2% | 2.7% | 3.31 | 2.18 | +1.9 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 0 | 13 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 0.7 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.10 | 7.35 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 0 | 13 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 0.7 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.10 | 7.38 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 54 | 219 | 78 | 5 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.0% | 2.3% | 30.7% | 5.0% | 3.19 | 3.36 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 54 | 219 | 78 | 5 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 35.6% | 2.3% | 33.3% | 4.6% | 3.19 | 2.90 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 67 | 0 | 65 | 272 | 64 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 5.5% | 18.0% | 1.9% | 3.76 | 2.86 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 67 | 0 | 65 | 272 | 64 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 5.5% | 18.0% | 1.8% | 3.76 | 2.82 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 73 | 0 | 64 | 252 | 59 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 1.82 | 2.91 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 73 | 0 | 64 | 252 | 59 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 18.3% | 2.0% | 1.82 | 2.88 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 1 | 67 | 275 | 65 | 12 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 4.5% | 19.4% | 2.3% | 4.59 | 2.93 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 1 | 67 | 275 | 65 | 12 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 4.4% | 19.3% | 2.2% | 4.59 | 2.86 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 73 | 0 | 70 | 293 | 58 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 6.1% | 13.7% | 1.7% | 3.84 | 3.12 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 73 | 0 | 70 | 293 | 58 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 6.1% | 13.7% | 1.7% | 3.84 | 3.14 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 38 | 0 | 36 | 149 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 12.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 3.53 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 3.51 | 3.79 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 3.51 | 3.79 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 35 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 54 | 228 | 30 | 12 | 6 | — | — | 13.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 3.53 | 4.08 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 35 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 54 | 229 | 30 | 12 | 6 | — | — | 13.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 3.53 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | CHC | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | CHC | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 554 | 1 | 533 | 2245 | 435 | 137 | 63 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.78 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 208 | 0 | 200 | 842 | 163 | 51 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 628 | 5 | 670 | 2772 | 629 | 160 | 68 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 5.8% | 16.9% | 2.4% | 3.36 | 3.26 | +16.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 1 | 200 | 827 | 188 | 48 | 20 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 5.8% | 16.9% | 2.4% | 3.36 | 3.26 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hoby Milner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.90 | 18.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | — | 4.86 | 14.4% | 7.6% | 137 | +0.96 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | .343 | 4.29 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 81 | +0.05 | 2.35 | 306 | 69 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 67 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.53 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .418 | 4.50 | 15.7% | 5.5% | 55 | -0.03 | 4.22 | 159 | 63 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.28 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .255 | 3.47 | 26.7% | 18.4% | 22 | +0.19 | 2.56 | 109 | 62 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 62 |
| Manny Parra L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 59 |
| Brooks Raley L 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.03 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .268 | 2.36 | 24.7% | 17.5% | 61 | -0.67 | 1.74 | 238 | 58 |
| Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 23.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | .345 | 3.75 | 23.6% | 15.3% | 96 | +1.05 | 2.52 | 430 | 58 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.7% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 650 | 58 |
| Dana Eveland L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 58 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 57 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.96 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .301 | 3.85 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | -0.11 | 2.65 | 922 | 55 |
| Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 55 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 54 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.22 | 27.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .311 | 2.22 | 28.0% | 23.3% | 105 | -1.00 | 1.56 | 219 | 50 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.34 | 20.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | .192 | 3.47 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 57 | -0.87 | 2.22 | 405 | 48 |
| Adam Loewen L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 47 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 47 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.02 | 18.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 299 | 45 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 1.13 | 4.32 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Brandon Kintzler ('21) | 6 | 50 | 16.2% | 6.3% | 0.91 | 3.57 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |