Player 838677 DSL Royals Ventura
Age — —/— ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 66 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .288 / .344
PA66
HR1
K%21
BB%6
BABIP283
ISO115
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +4.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.22627
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKKC 9991 20701 5141 93 220268330598 110250 145 247 47 -6 +1 +0 -2 +3 -0.4
YTD ROKKC 9988 24901 8101 93 273340409749 136299 108 330 110 +1 +1 +0 -2 +3 0.3
ROS ROKKC 0% 6661 14401 4141 21 230288344632 115280 216 273 67 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.2
ROS MLBKC 0% 01 0000 000 00 276 263 59 +0 -0
FULL ROKKC 9992 20701 5141 93 217268326594 109247 145 247 47 -6 +1 +0 -2 +3 -0.4
TOT ROKKC 165152 341102 9282 114 224276336612 112262 175 257 55 -8 +1 +0 -3 +5 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBKC 0% 160148 33812 10341 41 223277331608 108280 216 277 70 -5 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.3
202725 MLBKC 0% 01 0000 000 00 276 267 63 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 226209 471213 14482 62 225280335615 110277 216 276 69 -8 +0 +0 -4 +6 -0.5
/ 162G 650601 1363539 401386 176 226281339621 113278 216 276 69 -23 +1 +0 -12 +18 -1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
231837229281332-5+0-0.4-0.2
/162664715-9.5+0.0-0.8pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 838677 (OGILVIE) 25 224/276/336 112262 211 17% 5% 55 -0.6
Jimmy Herron
2021 · A
25 39→45 40→45 48→55 48 189/266/279 90247 814 26% 8% 51 -1.7 208/286/327 119270 1218 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/289/340128261152424%8%74-0.1
Nate Eaton
2022 · A
25 40→49 40→50 55→60 44 195/262/286 91267 719 29% 7% 50 -1.7 218/272/351 133286 1528 28% 6% 72 -0.2 219/272/357138284142727%5%70-0.2
Tyler Reichenborn
2023 · A
25 41→43 39→45 47→50 45 200/275/283 83276 713 29% 8% 56 -1.3 207/278/312 105288 1011 30% 8% 64 -0.8 165/242/29312822216833%8%42-0.6
Cade Gotta
2016 · A
24 40→50 40→45 53→55 42 197/257/297 100275 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/274/327 98294 727 23% 6% 65 -0.7 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Sean Jamieson
2014 · A
25 42→43 43→45 50 42 207/270/323 116273 1012 27% 6% 63 -0.8 226/283/329 103310 89 28% 6% 70 -0.3 228/286/321933177729%6%66-0.3
Jeff McVaney
2015 · A
25 45→50 42→45 48→50 43 220/277/330 111275 810 23% 5% 68 -0.5 221/286/316 95277 613 21% 6% 69 -0.4 217/286/3058827151320%6%62-0.6
Khayyan Norfork
2014 · A
25 42→44 41→40 51→50 42 207/261/312 104267 813 25% 6% 56 -1.3 213/264/291 78288 412 26% 5% 52 -1.6 202/266/260582765627%6%43-0.8
Nick Vickerson
2014 · A
25 36 42→40 49→50 47 183/268/285 102256 1013 31% 9% 54 -1.4 203/302/300 97289 811 29% 11% 72 -0.2 190/312/2718127271129%13%66-0.4
Marty Gantt
2015 · A
25 46→45 40→45 51→50 42 218/282/319 100311 711 30% 7% 67 -0.5 220/289/331 111296 911 27% 8% 73 -0.1 208/283/321112268111225%8%66-0.3
Elliott Blair
2013 · A
25 43→53 39→45 53→50 40 207/272/298 91284 512 28% 5% 59 -1.1 225/286/329 104316 89 29% 6% 72 -0.2 235/295/3421073338930%6%76+0.0
Jacob Rhinesmith
2021 · A
25 41→44 42→45 49→50 45 202/264/307 105253 911 24% 7% 57 -1.2 211/277/319 108281 99 27% 7% 66 -0.6 214/284/34212827511825%8%72-0.2
Chris Emanuele
2009 · A
25 45 41→45 49→50 43 214/281/315 100289 79 27% 7% 66 -0.6 216/277/320 104301 913 30% 6% 66 -0.6 212/269/314102298101731%5%56-0.9
Tyler Stubblefield
2013 · A
25 42 38→45 51→50 47 200/279/278 78260 512 24% 8% 56 -1.3 214/270/318 104261 99 21% 6% 62 -0.9 211/252/3271172439517%5%52-0.7
T.J. White
2017 · AA
25 43→44 39→45 52→45 42 206/268/297 90269 610 25% 6% 56 -1.3 209/270/340 131276 146 28% 6% 68 -0.5 198/262/34815025218229%6%64-0.3
Mark Thompson
2009 · A
24 43 39→45 52→50 43 207/266/292 85258 612 22% 5% 53 -1.5 218/282/329 111282 1111 25% 6% 70 -0.3 215/285/332117276141126%6%70-0.2
Wagner Lagrange
2021 · A
25 44→43 41→45 49→40 40 214/257/316 102281 75 26% 5% 55 -1.4 222/265/338 116285 127 26% 5% 65 -0.7 218/256/33311527214525%4%57-0.6
Michael Guldberg
2023 · AA
24 45 39→45 50→55 45 217/283/304 87281 713 24% 7% 64 -0.8 210/263/305 95287 811 28% 6% 56 -1.3 176/213/2608324181030%4%17-0.9
Kyle Datres
2021 · A
25 39→40 45→50 51→55 41 198/264/325 127271 1215 31% 6% 62 -0.9 206/284/345 139284 1622 32% 8% 76 +0.1 198/283/340141269182732%8%73-0.1
J.E. Cruz
2006 · A
25 38→48 42→45 52→45 43 192/260/290 98265 1012 30% 7% 51 -1.7 209/280/310 101283 78 27% 8% 64 -0.8 206/280/3081022776626%8%62-0.6
Huascar Fuentes
2017 · A
25 42 41→50 49→45 39 203/271/309 106277 87 28% 5% 61 -1.0 201/257/280 79289 46 30% 5% 47 -1.9 174/223/233602520229%3%17-1.0