Player 837966 — OGILVIE

Player 8379661B DSL Tigers 1

Age — —/— ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .277 / .269

PA79

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	88	71	11	2	0	0	13	15	2	0	2	155	299	183	482	28	193	17	15	242	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	88	76	8	1	0	0	9	18	2	0	2	105	218	118	337	13	131	20	10	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	88	76	8	1	0	0	9	18	2	0	2	105	218	118	337	13	136	20	10	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	88	71	11	2	0	0	13	15	2	0	2	155	299	183	482	28	193	17	15	242	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	88	77	8	1	0	0	9	18	2	0	2	104	218	117	335	13	131	20	10	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	88	77	8	1	0	0	9	18	2	0	2	104	218	117	335	13	131	20	10	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	DET	0%	200	180	37	6	1	1	16	56	2	2	1	206	279	272	551	66	288	28	8	255	58	-10	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	0%	137	123	26	4	1	1	11	38	2	1	1	208	282	280	562	73	288	28	8	259	61	-6	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	205	279	275	554	71	284	—	—	256	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	304	271	47	7	1	1	26	78	5	2	3	173	258	218	476	44	237	26	9	232	43	-10	+0	+0	-4	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	100	15	2	2	56	167	11	4	6	173	259	216	474	43	237	26	9	232	43	-31	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.3	216	1	2	208	279	278	-3	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	5	6	-8.8	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837966 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	204/277/269	65	288	0	1	28%	8%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	204/266/287	83	283	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	217/271/324	107	287	10	7	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	36	183/235/261	77	267	3	10	31%	4%	40	-3.1	200/260/334	134	278	14	16	32%	5%	68	-1.0	183/246/324	141	255	15	27	33%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Austin Deming 2024 · A	24	40→36	37→50	44→50	38	182/249/252	71	316	4	7	41%	8%	44	-2.8	194/255/322	128	298	15	11	38%	6%	62	-1.4	178/239/314	136	264	18	12	38%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	193/277/258	65	267	4	4	27%	9%	56	-1.9	201/280/286	85	286	7	4	29%	9%	63	-1.3	194/281/287	93	275	8	1	30%	10%	62	-0.5
✕Chris Paul 2018 · A	25	45→37	39→40	42→40	37	218/263/306	89	301	6	5	29%	4%	60	-1.6	218/259/319	101	291	8	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	208/242/310	102	271	8	2	26%	3%	51	-1.4
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	193/270/272	79	283	7	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	215/305/341	126	282	13	8	26%	10%	86	+0.3	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕John Ziznewski 2015 · A	24	42	35→40	48→50	43	197/257/253	56	293	2	7	32%	7%	46	-2.6	216/278/294	78	339	4	10	34%	7%	63	-1.3	223/290/307	84	357	4	13	36%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Cam Balego 2019 · A	24	43→40	37→45	42→30	41	206/261/282	76	275	3	5	25%	5%	55	-2.0	210/287/319	109	274	11	4	26%	7%	74	-0.6	201/287/314	113	257	14	1	26%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Joel Weeks 2010 · A	25	40	36→40	47→45	43	192/249/254	62	262	3	8	27%	7%	43	-2.8	215/263/292	77	277	6	5	23%	6%	57	-1.8	215/263/282	66	275	5	2	23%	6%	54	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps