Player 837884 — OGILVIE

Player 8378841B DSL Cubs Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+38

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .246 / .234

PA75

HR0

K%35

BB%6

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	72	64	13	0	0	0	6	23	2	3	0	203	292	203	495		317	32	8	242	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	72	66	8	0	0	0	4	28	2	3	0	121	194	121	316		216	39	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	72	66	8	0	0	0	4	28	2	3	0	121	194	121	316		211	39	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	72	64	13	0	0	0	6	23	2	3	0	203	292	203	495		317	32	8	242	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	72	66	8	0	0	0	4	28	2	3	0	121	194	121	316		216	39	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	72	66	8	0	0	0	4	28	2	3	0	121	194	121	316		216	39	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	200	183	34	4	1	1	12	70	3	3	1	186	248	236	484	50	290	35	6	225	38	-15	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	129	118	23	3	1	1	8	44	2	2	0	189	252	246	498	57	290	34	6	230	42	-9	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	189	252	246	498	57	290	—	—	230	42	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	276	253	43	4	1	1	17	98	5	6	0	170	236	206	442	36	271	36	6	209	28	-14	+1	+0	-4	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	100	9	2	2	40	231	12	14	0	168	235	200	434	32	268	36	6	209	28	-46	+2	+0	-12	+14	-4.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.3	204	1	3	189	248	244	-3	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	4	10	-8.9	+0.0	-3.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837884 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	185/246/234	50	290	0	1	35%	6%	38	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	37→38	36→30	47→50	40	180/237/245	65	265	3	10	32%	6%	37	-3.3	163/213/223	60	309	3	8	45%	5%	23	-4.3	103/146/136	34	238	0	5	54%	4%	-25	-4.5
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Neil Walton 2008 · A	24	39→32	36→30	48→50	35	186/229/257	70	285	3	13	35%	4%	36	-3.4	206/254/284	78	291	4	9	29%	6%	52	-2.2	203/251/268	65	278	3	6	26%	6%	44	-1.8
✕Chandler Seagle 2021 · A	25	41	38→40	49→45	37	191/248/274	83	307	5	6	37%	6%	48	-2.5	191/244/267	76	287	5	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Beau Seabury 2010 · A	25	40	36→30	42→45	36	191/243/254	63	297	4	6	35%	5%	41	-3.0	204/252/280	76	301	5	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	194/236/260	67	285	4	1	32%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	199/280/298	99	306	7	12	35%	7%	67	-1.1	165/264/278	113	272	8	12	38%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Jordan Serena 2017 · A	24	42→44	35→30	48→50	39	197/257/259	61	295	2	11	32%	6%	47	-2.5	194/246/270	76	297	5	10	34%	5%	46	-2.6	158/205/220	62	247	5	11	37%	4%	16	-2.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps