Player 837693 — OGILVIE

Player 8376931B DSL Blue Jays Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+59

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .273 / .280

PA95

HR1

K%24

BB%6

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	131	31	4	0	0	11	14	2	3	1	237	306	267	573	31	261	10	8	265	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	134	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	172	229	194	423	22	183	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	134	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	172	229	194	423	22	193	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	131	31	4	0	0	11	14	2	3	1	237	306	267	573	31	261	10	8	265	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	135	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	170	229	193	422	22	183	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	146	135	23	3	0	0	8	17	2	3	1	170	229	193	422	22	183	12	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	200	184	40	6	1	1	12	48	2	3	1	220	276	283	558	63	287	24	6	255	59	-10	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	163	150	33	5	1	1	10	39	2	3	1	221	278	292	571	71	287	24	6	260	62	-7	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	221	278	292	571	71	287	—	—	260	62	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	404	372	76	11	2	2	24	79	5	7	2	204	262	261	523	56	252	20	6	232	43	-12	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	122	18	3	3	39	127	8	11	3	204	262	259	521	55	251	20	6	232	43	-30	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	258	2	4	222	275	290	-3	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	5	11	-8.9	+0.0	-1.8	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837693 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	218/273/280	63	287	1	1	24%	6%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Michael Suiter 2016 · A	24	40→38	37→40	49→50	38	194/244/266	72	257	5	12	26%	4%	45	-2.7	212/266/304	92	291	9	10	29%	5%	61	-1.5	213/272/311	97	295	12	8	30%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	36	183/235/261	77	267	3	10	31%	4%	40	-3.1	200/260/334	134	278	14	16	32%	5%	68	-1.0	183/246/324	141	255	15	27	33%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	46	199/275/280	82	259	6	12	24%	7%	60	-1.6	213/267/316	103	260	8	9	21%	6%	65	-1.2	211/249/324	113	245	8	5	17%	4%	55	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→33	40→50	46→45	45	206/264/301	94	266	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	199/246/325	126	276	14	6	32%	5%	59	-1.6	191/239/324	133	257	16	5	32%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	204/266/287	83	283	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	217/271/324	107	287	10	7	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Joel Weeks 2010 · A	25	40	36→40	47→45	43	192/249/254	62	262	3	8	27%	7%	43	-2.8	215/263/292	77	277	6	5	23%	6%	57	-1.8	215/263/282	66	275	5	2	23%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→33	38→40	48→50	37	218/259/301	83	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	210/252/315	105	363	9	17	42%	4%	59	-1.7	191/223/297	106	362	9	25	48%	2%	42	-1.2
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→36	40	49→50	42	206/268/304	98	294	7	15	31%	7%	62	-1.4	205/257/312	107	300	8	15	32%	6%	60	-1.6	190/230/303	113	281	7	19	34%	4%	44	-1.0
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Tanner Allen 2023 · A	25	37	39→45	48→45	43	183/236/269	86	224	6	5	22%	5%	42	-2.9	214/269/316	102	264	9	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	219/276/322	104	265	11	9	21%	6%	65	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps