Player 837693 DSL Blue Jays Red
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 64 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+63
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .266 / .250
PA64
HR0
K%17
BB%6
BABIP265
ISO33
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.32627
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKDSL Blue Jays Red 9488 21300 570 21 239280273552 34256 75 245 46 -6 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.5
YTD ROKDSL Blue Jays Red 9485 24400 850 21 282344329673 47296 59 307 93 -1 +0 +0 -2 +3 0.0
ROS ROK 0% 6460 13200 4110 10 217266250516 33283 176 267 63 -3 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.2
ROS MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 283 267 63 +0 -0
FULL ROK 9489 21300 570 21 236280270549 34253 75 245 46 -6 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.5
TOT ROK 158148 34500 9180 31 230274264537 34260 116 254 53 -8 +0 +0 -3 +4 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLB 0% 160148 35611 10291 21 236289311600 74283 186 274 68 -6 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.4
202725 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 283 274 68 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 224208 48811 14401 31 231283293576 62280 186 272 66 -9 +0 +0 -4 +6 -0.6
/ 162G 650604 1392333 411163 93 230283293576 63279 186 272 66 -25 +1 +0 -12 +18 -1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA
82,3891724246315322+2+92.52.7
/16266457+0.5+2.50.7pk7: 3
#2Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
231825237288311-5+0-0.6-0.3
/162664510-9.5+0.0-1.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 837693 (OGILVIE) 25 230/274/264 34260 03 11% 6% 53 -0.7
Robbie Shields
2013 · A
25 42→36 39→40 47→45 44 205/260/294 89264 68 24% 6% 51 -1.7 196/249/271 75276 47 28% 6% 40 -2.4 175/225/238622502529%6%17-2.4
Wagner Lagrange
2021 · A
25 44→43 41→45 49→40 40 214/257/316 102281 75 26% 5% 55 -1.4 222/265/338 116285 127 26% 5% 65 -0.7 218/256/33311527214525%4%57-0.6
Nick Vickerson
2014 · A
25 36 42→40 49→50 47 183/268/285 102256 1013 31% 9% 54 -1.4 203/302/300 97289 811 29% 11% 72 -0.2 190/312/2718127271129%13%66-0.4
Tyler Reichenborn
2023 · A
25 41→43 39→45 47→50 45 200/275/283 83276 713 29% 8% 56 -1.3 207/278/312 105288 1011 30% 8% 64 -0.8 165/242/29312822216833%8%42-0.6
JJ Schwarz
2021 · A
25 38 40→50 48→30 43 190/254/280 90264 96 30% 7% 46 -2.0 212/278/349 137295 173 32% 8% 74 -0.1 203/274/34213927918132%9%67-0.3
Tyler Stubblefield
2013 · A
25 42 38→45 51→50 47 200/279/278 78260 512 24% 8% 56 -1.3 214/270/318 104261 99 21% 6% 62 -0.9 211/252/3271172439517%5%52-0.7
Michael Helman
2021 · A
25 43→41 38→55 45→55 42 206/248/289 84253 58 21% 5% 44 -2.1 216/273/377 161261 2021 25% 7% 79 +0.3 219/280/378159264212825%7%79+0.2
Will Piwnica-Worms
2014 · A
24 43 38→40 50 50 205/285/287 82263 69 23% 9% 61 -1.0 207/276/302 95284 88 28% 8% 60 -1.0 181/247/265842529530%7%39-0.9
Jimmy Herron
2021 · A
25 39→45 40→45 48→55 48 189/266/279 90247 814 26% 8% 51 -1.7 208/286/327 119270 1218 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/289/340128261152424%8%74-0.1
Duke Sardinha
2006 · A
25 42→34 40→55 46→45 45 207/265/301 95267 88 25% 7% 55 -1.4 204/253/336 132284 156 33% 5% 59 -1.1 198/248/34014226817532%5%56-0.7
Devlin Granberg
2021 · A
25 45→44 40→45 46→45 42 215/280/307 92291 76 27% 6% 64 -0.8 239/298/388 149291 168 23% 5% 92 +1.2 243/303/40215929018822%5%94+0.8
D' Vontrey Richardson
2013 · A
25 47→36 40 44→50 39 223/271/322 98318 610 30% 5% 63 -0.9 242/285/333 91319 617 25% 5% 71 -0.3 250/291/3388832552124%5%71-0.1
Stephen Wickens
2014 · A
25 47→44 37→40 51→55 51 221/300/301 80269 414 18% 8% 71 -0.3 219/280/293 74278 416 21% 7% 59 -1.1 224/278/2815728522021%6%53-0.7
Andrés Alvarez
2021 · A
24 41→30 37→45 48→50 42 195/261/270 74275 47 29% 7% 46 -2.0 201/266/321 120293 1315 34% 7% 62 -0.9 177/245/298121254151535%7%45-1.1
Michael Suiter
2016 · A
24 40→38 38→40 49→50 37 196/245/270 75262 612 27% 4% 39 -2.5 211/265/302 91297 810 30% 5% 56 -1.3 210/270/3019130010832%6%55-0.5
Ryan McCarthy
2008 · A
25 43 39→45 48→45 43 206/269/289 83286 66 29% 7% 54 -1.4 220/275/329 109291 107 26% 6% 67 -0.5 214/263/33512126912425%6%58-0.4
Jeremy Cruz
2012 · A
25 44→42 41→45 45 39 215/258/314 99290 87 28% 5% 56 -1.3 222/267/342 120305 127 30% 5% 67 -0.5 232/263/40116931620033%2%76+0.0
Tanner Allen
2023 · A
25 37 40→50 48→45 43 184/240/274 90227 75 22% 6% 38 -2.6 217/274/329 112267 128 23% 6% 66 -0.6 223/282/34011726914922%6%68-0.2
Camden Duzenack
2019 · A
24 40→37 39→50 46→50 42 193/255/280 87254 511 25% 6% 46 -2.0 185/240/307 122256 159 33% 5% 47 -1.9 203/253/332129265151029%5%56-0.7
T.J. White
2017 · AA
25 43→44 39→45 52→45 42 206/268/297 90269 610 25% 6% 56 -1.3 209/270/340 131276 146 28% 6% 68 -0.5 198/262/34815025218229%6%64-0.3