Player 837618 — OGILVIE

Player 8376181B DSL Cardinals

Age — —/— ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .239 / .276

PA66

HR1

K%34

BB%5

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	39	37	6	2	0	1	2	12	0	2	0	162	205	297	502	135	208	31	5	225	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	39	38	3	1	0	0	1	15	0	2	0	79	103	105	208	26	132	38	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	39	38	3	1	0	0	1	15	0	2	0	79	103	105	208	26	130	38	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	39	37	6	2	0	1	2	12	0	2	0	162	205	297	502	135	208	31	5	225	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	39	38	3	1	0	0	1	15	0	2	0	79	103	105	208	26	132	38	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	39	38	3	1	0	0	1	15	0	2	0	79	103	105	208	26	132	38	3	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	0%	200	186	36	8	1	2	11	69	1	3	1	193	241	278	519	85	290	34	6	234	45	-13	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	0%	114	106	21	4	1	1	6	39	1	2	0	195	245	285	530	89	290	34	5	239	48	-7	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	196	246	285	531	88	292	—	—	240	48	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	219	206	35	7	1	2	11	77	1	5	0	170	216	243	458	73	258	35	5	217	33	-11	+1	+0	-3	+4	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	611	104	21	3	6	33	229	3	15	0	170	216	244	460	74	259	35	5	217	33	-41	+2	+0	-12	+14	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837618 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	191/239/276	84	290	1	1	34%	5%	45	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	38	42→45	53→50	36	183/253/287	104	309	10	12	41%	7%	54	-2.0	197/260/292	95	358	8	14	44%	7%	57	-1.8	166/230/234	68	350	5	22	50%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	202/254/301	99	322	8	8	38%	6%	56	-1.9	183/241/291	108	277	11	8	36%	5%	50	-2.3	169/229/274	105	250	11	8	35%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Scott Schreiber 2021 · A	25	38	43→45	47→45	34	187/237/295	108	309	11	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	221/273/358	137	301	16	10	31%	5%	77	-0.3	225/273/365	140	298	18	10	30%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Jon Townsend 2010 · A	25	40	41→40	47→50	38	199/251/289	90	277	9	9	31%	5%	53	-2.1	213/267/308	95	317	9	9	34%	6%	63	-1.4	212/268/300	88	320	9	9	35%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Josh Richmond 2013 · A	24	34→40	41→45	48→45	36	175/225/277	101	253	8	8	34%	5%	40	-3.1	200/253/324	124	279	11	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	202/257/338	136	275	13	7	30%	5%	63	-0.8
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Doran Turchin 2021 · A	24	39	42→45	48→50	39	188/259/291	104	294	9	7	37%	7%	57	-1.8	198/271/317	119	329	12	10	40%	7%	68	-1.0	160/245/279	119	272	12	11	43%	8%	48	-1.1
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	196/246/310	114	289	12	9	36%	4%	56	-1.9	191/245/288	97	289	10	6	36%	5%	51	-2.3	154/207/216	62	234	8	0	36%	5%	17	-2.0
✕Bubba Alleyne 2024 · A	25	35→29	41→40	54→55	38	177/232/272	95	256	8	20	33%	6%	41	-3.0	192/250/282	90	284	8	18	33%	6%	51	-2.3	189/252/277	88	283	8	21	34%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2