Player 836591 — OGILVIE

Player 8365911B DSL Mariners

Age — —/— ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 154 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .274 / .279

PA154

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	219	174	54	14	3	3	36	48	5	9	2	310	442	477	919	167	402	22	16	405	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	185	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	195	307	281	588	86	257	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	185	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	195	307	281	588	86	269	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	219	174	54	14	3	3	36	48	5	9	2	310	442	477	919	167	402	22	16	405	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	187	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	193	307	278	585	86	257	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	219	187	36	9	2	1	25	58	5	9	2	193	307	278	585	86	257	26	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	269	240	47	9	2	2	24	80	3	5	1	196	277	281	558	85	280	30	9	257	60	-13	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	209	187	37	7	2	2	18	61	2	4	1	199	279	290	569	91	280	29	9	261	63	-9	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	197	277	286	564	89	278	—	—	259	63	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	582	510	99	21	5	4	56	165	9	16	4	194	285	278	564	84	274	28	10	263	64	-17	+1	+0	-6	+8	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	110	23	6	4	63	184	10	18	4	193	285	275	560	82	272	28	10	263	64	-30	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	363	3	6	199	276	288	-5	+0	-0.9	-0.5
/162	664	6	11	-9.1	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836591 (OGILVIE)	25	41	32	50	61	195/274/279	84	280	1	3	30%	9%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46	40	51→50	43	219/283/319	100	307	7	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	215/284/319	104	288	8	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	197/272/296	98	255	8	12	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Tim Smalling 2013 · A	25	47→43	39→40	51→45	45	223/277/312	88	292	5	8	24%	7%	67	-1.1	210/261/290	80	274	5	8	24%	6%	56	-1.9	203/253/276	73	260	5	8	23%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A	24	44	40→30	45→50	44	210/283/299	88	306	7	9	32%	8%	68	-1.0	201/297/276	75	292	6	9	30%	10%	68	-1.0	179/293/237	58	260	6	9	30%	11%	57	-1.2
✕Danny Oriente 2022 · A	24	45	37→30	43→50	44	211/277/280	69	294	4	7	28%	7%	60	-1.6	215/282/286	71	281	5	11	24%	7%	63	-1.3	208/280/246	37	263	3	16	20%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Carter Howell 2024 · A	25	47→51	42→40	50	44	226/283/334	108	303	8	9	27%	7%	74	-0.5	217/277/311	94	289	6	11	25%	7%	67	-1.1	211/273/299	88	280	4	11	25%	6%	60	-1.2
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	221/275/299	78	279	4	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	228/276/306	78	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/300	70	292	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	207/287/286	78	267	5	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	209/275/301	92	287	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	182/244/266	84	253	9	5	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Shea Vucinich 2014 · AA	25	42→45	39→40	46→50	44	198/275/285	87	285	6	10	30%	8%	61	-1.5	199/273/291	92	283	6	12	29%	8%	61	-1.5	172/252/261	89	243	4	14	29%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Angel Zarate 2024 · A	25	45	37→40	53→50	44	214/279/292	78	292	4	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	207/276/289	82	269	6	14	23%	8%	62	-1.4	159/247/204	45	192	3	19	18%	9%	34	-0.8
✕Najee Gaskins 2022 · A	24	44	39→30	51→50	36	209/259/295	86	315	7	12	34%	5%	57	-1.8	213/283/290	77	359	4	9	39%	6%	65	-1.2	209/294/267	58	376	2	10	40%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→36	40	49→50	42	206/268/304	98	294	7	15	31%	7%	62	-1.4	205/257/312	107	300	8	15	32%	6%	60	-1.6	190/230/303	113	281	7	19	34%	4%	44	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps