Cohen Achen
P
Frederick Keys
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%10.6%
IP72
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL4545
CMD3535
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 22 | 10 | 81 | 340 | 68 | 33 | 4 | 15.4% | 10.9% | 1.5% | 3.35 | 4.00 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 305 | 57 | 34 | 8 | 18.6% | 11.3% | 2.7% | 4.81 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 75 | 315 | 63 | 34 | 8 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 305 | 59 | 34 | 8 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 4.75 | 4.74 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 303 | 59 | 33 | 8 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.72 | 4.72 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 59 | 32 | 8 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.72 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 13 | 13 | 69 | 292 | 58 | 32 | 8 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.76 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 55 | 31 | 8 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 273 | 53 | 30 | 8 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.85 | 4.89 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 50 | 30 | 8 | 19.0% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 47 | 29 | 8 | 18.7% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 56 | — | 56 | 238 | 44 | 28 | 8 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 40 | 27 | 8 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 5.23 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 5.36 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 24 | 10 | 83 | 350 | 58 | 37 | 5 | 16.7% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 3.25 | 3.83 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 24 | 200 | 843 | 140 | 89 | 12 | 16.7% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 3.25 | 3.83 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cohen Achen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 18.6% | 11.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.73 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 215 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 97 |
| Dylan Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.07 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.87 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.07 | 120 | 93 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 92 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.08 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 3.84 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 73 | -0.24 | 3.84 | 206 | 92 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 91 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 90 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .338 | 3.89 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.64 | 3.89 | 143 | 89 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.84 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .321 | 2.58 | 27.5% | 18.5% | 46 | -2.26 | 2.58 | 199 | 89 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.23 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.35 | 13.7% | 5.0% | 129 | +0.12 | 3.93 | 258 | 89 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 89 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 88 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 88 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.60 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.45 | 3.20 | 386 | 88 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .273 | 2.95 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -2.21 | 2.59 | 302 | 88 |
| Confesor Lara R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.26 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 111 | 88 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 88 |
| Merrick Baldo R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.61 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 116 | 87 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.0% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .293 | 3.40 | 12.8% | 1.8% | 17 | -0.56 | 3.40 | 134 | 87 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 87 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .315 | 4.08 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 107 | +0.02 | 4.04 | 214 | 87 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.