Cohen Achen
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 119
ERA5.28
FIP5.28
K%14.1%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%2.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 10 | 81 | 340 | 68 | 33 | 4 | 45% | 3.7 | 15.4% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 3.35 | 3.93 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 10 | 81 | 340 | 68 | 33 | 4 | 45% | 3.7 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 1.2% | 3.35 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 23 | 0 | 32 | 155 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.9% | 12.5% | -0.7% | 2.0% | 4.73 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 12.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 12.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 102 | 451 | 69 | 57 | 11 | — | — | 15.3% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.11 | 5.11 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.1% | 12.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 47 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 48 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 47 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 87 | 63 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.11 | 4.74 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 138 | 100 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.11 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 10 | 113 | 495 | 71 | 57 | 8 | 22% | 2.5 | 14.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.74 | 4.19 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 18 | 200 | 876 | 125 | 100 | 14 | 22% | 2.5 | 14.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.74 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cohen Achen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 14.1% | 12.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.12 | 16.2% | 4.5% | 206 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 90 |
| Raymar Navarro R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.12 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.2% | .332 | 4.29 | 11.8% | 1.0% | 41 | +0.17 | 4.12 | 108 | 86 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 85 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 84 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 84 |
| Brad Allen R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.3% | .315 | 6.07 | 14.7% | 1.5% | 87 | +1.85 | 4.22 | 149 | 84 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 83 |
| Reece Karalus R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 83 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 83 |
| Zach Nuding R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 82 |
| Kender Villegas R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 82 |
| Dillon McNamara R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .229 | 2.98 | 21.2% | 12.3% | 69 | -2.39 | 1.73 | 244 | 82 |
| James Pugliese R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 81 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 81 |
| Casey Coleman R 2029 · 4.22 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.22 | 12.6% | 11.4% | 1.3% | .349 | 4.18 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 146 | -0.04 | 2.86 | 306 | 81 |
| El'Hajj Muhammad R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .285 | 5.19 | 7.1% | -2.5% | 11 | +0.48 | 4.65 | 113 | 81 |
| Jarod Wright R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.87 | 12.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .282 | 4.28 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 53 | -1.59 | 4.28 | 170 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 15.7% | 11.8% | 1.06 | 5.15 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |